ATHM
Autohome Inc. Communication Services - Internet Content & Information Investor Relations →
Autohome Inc. (ATHM) closed at $20.98 as of 2026-09-18, trading 14.2% below its 200-week moving average of $24.46. This places ATHM in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -11.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 69, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.0x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.36 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 618 weeks of data, ATHM has crossed below its 200-week moving average 7 times. On average, these episodes lasted 53 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -18.4%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $2.4 billion, ATHM is a mid-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 3.7%. The stock trades at 0.7x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 6.0% over the past three years.
Over the past 11.9 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ATHM would have grown to $60, compared to $449 for the S&P 500. ATHM has returned -4.2% annualized vs 13.4% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -31.9% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: ATHM vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After ATHM Crosses Below the Line?
Across 7 historical episodes, buying ATHM when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -18.2% after 12 months (median -11.0%), compared to +16.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 17% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -29.2% vs +29.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ATHM crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from ATHM's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
ATHM has crossed below its 200-week MA 7 times with an average 1-year return of +-18.4% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2014 | Feb 2015 | 10 | 8.3% | -17.2% | -32.0% |
| Jul 2015 | Apr 2017 | 91 | 44.5% | -44.1% | -33.3% |
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2020 | 1 | 3.3% | +61.4% | -59.8% |
| May 2021 | Mar 2025 | 198 | 71.4% | -62.5% | -67.9% |
| Mar 2025 | Jul 2025 | 17 | 11.3% | -36.8% | -23.7% |
| Jul 2025 | Aug 2025 | 1 | 0.3% | -11.3% | -19.9% |
| Oct 2025 | Ongoing | 50+ | 36.1% | Ongoing | -18.0% |
| Average | 53 | — | +-18.4% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ATHM below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-09-18, Autohome Inc. (ATHM) is trading 14.2% below its 200-week moving average of $24.46. The current price is $20.98.
What is ATHM's 200-week moving average price?
Autohome Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $24.46 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when ATHM drops below its 200-week moving average?
ATHM has crossed below its 200-week moving average 7 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -18.4%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 53 weeks on average.
Is ATHM a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about ATHM as of 2026-09-18: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 69. Return on equity is 3.7%. Price-to-book is 0.7x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does ATHM compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 11.9 years, $100 invested in ATHM would have grown to $60, compared to $449 for the S&P 500. That's -4.2% annualized vs 13.4% for the index. ATHM has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does ATHM pay a dividend?
Yes. Autohome Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 887.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18