ATHM
Autohome Inc. Communication Services - Internet Content & Information Investor Relations →
Autohome Inc. (ATHM) closed at $18.09 as of 2026-06-19, trading 29.5% below its 200-week moving average of $25.66. This places ATHM in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -31.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 46, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.2x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.83 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 605 weeks of data, ATHM has crossed below its 200-week moving average 7 times. On average, these episodes lasted 51 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -19.8%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $2.1 billion, ATHM is a mid-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 4.3%. The stock trades at 0.6x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 6.0% over the past three years.
Over the past 11.7 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ATHM would have grown to $50, compared to $439 for the S&P 500. ATHM has returned -5.8% annualized vs 13.5% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -31.9% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: ATHM vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After ATHM Crosses Below the Line?
Across 7 historical episodes, buying ATHM when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -19.6% after 12 months (median -33.0%), compared to +16.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 20% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -29.2% vs +29.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ATHM crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from ATHM's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
ATHM has crossed below its 200-week MA 7 times with an average 1-year return of +-19.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2014 | Feb 2015 | 10 | 8.3% | -17.2% | -43.4% |
| Jul 2015 | Apr 2017 | 91 | 44.5% | -44.1% | -44.5% |
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2020 | 1 | 3.3% | +61.4% | -66.5% |
| May 2021 | Mar 2025 | 198 | 71.4% | -62.5% | -73.3% |
| Mar 2025 | Jul 2025 | 17 | 11.2% | -36.8% | -36.5% |
| Jul 2025 | Aug 2025 | 1 | 0.2% | N/A | -33.3% |
| Oct 2025 | Ongoing | 37+ | 36.1% | Ongoing | -31.7% |
| Average | 51 | — | +-19.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ATHM below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-06-19, Autohome Inc. (ATHM) is trading 29.5% below its 200-week moving average of $25.66. The current price is $18.09.
What is ATHM's 200-week moving average price?
Autohome Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $25.66 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when ATHM drops below its 200-week moving average?
ATHM has crossed below its 200-week moving average 7 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -19.8%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 51 weeks on average.
Is ATHM a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about ATHM as of 2026-06-19: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 46. Return on equity is 4.3%. Price-to-book is 0.6x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does ATHM compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 11.7 years, $100 invested in ATHM would have grown to $50, compared to $439 for the S&P 500. That's -5.8% annualized vs 13.5% for the index. ATHM has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19