ATHM
Autohome Inc. Communication Services - Internet Content & Information Investor Relations โ
Autohome Inc. (ATHM) closed at $20.90 as of 2026-02-02, trading 21.7% below its 200-week moving average of $26.69. This places ATHM in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -17.5% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 26, ATHM is in oversold territory.
Over the past 586 weeks of data, ATHM has crossed below its 200-week moving average 7 times. On average, these episodes lasted 48 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -15.6%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $2.5 billion, ATHM is a mid-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 5.8%. The stock trades at 0.7x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 5.1% over the past three years.
Over the past 11.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ATHM would have grown to $58, compared to $404 for the S&P 500. ATHM has returned -4.8% annualized vs 13.1% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -28% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny โ the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: ATHM vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After ATHM Crosses Below the Line?
Across 7 historical episodes, buying ATHM when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -16.2% after 12 months (median -8.0%), compared to +15.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 25% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -29.2% vs +29.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ATHM crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
ATHM has crossed below its 200-week MA 7 times with an average 1-year return of +-15.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2014 | Feb 2015 | 10 | 8.3% | -17.2% | -34.6% |
| Jul 2015 | Apr 2017 | 91 | 44.5% | -44.1% | -35.8% |
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2020 | 1 | 3.3% | +61.4% | -61.4% |
| May 2021 | Mar 2025 | 198 | 71.4% | -62.5% | -69.2% |
| Mar 2025 | Jul 2025 | 17 | 11.2% | N/A | -26.7% |
| Jul 2025 | Aug 2025 | 1 | 0.2% | N/A | -22.9% |
| Oct 2025 | Ongoing | 18+ | 21.7% | Ongoing | -21.1% |
| Average | 48 | โ | +-15.6% | โ |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02