ASTS
AST SpaceMobile Inc. Telecommunications Investor Relations →
AST SpaceMobile Inc. (ASTS) closed at $101.79 as of 2026-02-02, trading 390.6% above its 200-week moving average of $20.75. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 448.1% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 59, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 279 weeks of data, ASTS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times. On average, these episodes lasted 24 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -34.2%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $37.4 billion, ASTS is a large-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at -39.0%. The stock trades at 22.3x book value.
Share count has increased 302.4% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 5.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ASTS would have grown to $1013, compared to $228 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 53.3% vs 16.4% for the index — confirming ASTS as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: ASTS vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After ASTS Crosses Below the Line?
Across 6 historical episodes, buying ASTS when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -28.2% after 12 months (median -29.0%), compared to -1.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. After 24 months, the average return was -3.3% vs +17.3% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ASTS crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
ASTS has crossed below its 200-week MA 6 times with an average 1-year return of +-34.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2021 | Jun 2021 | 12 | 32.1% | +0.2% | +917.9% |
| Aug 2021 | Aug 2021 | 3 | 20.9% | -25.6% | +857.6% |
| Sep 2021 | Oct 2021 | 4 | 5.9% | -31.5% | +865.7% |
| Nov 2021 | Mar 2022 | 16 | 49.8% | -37.0% | +1001.6% |
| Apr 2022 | Aug 2022 | 18 | 37.2% | -56.5% | +915.9% |
| Sep 2022 | May 2024 | 89 | 73.4% | -54.9% | +1094.7% |
| Average | 24 | — | +-34.2% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02