ASLE
AerSale Corporation Industrials - Airports & Air Services Investor Relations →
AerSale Corporation (ASLE) closed at $6.16 as of 2026-03-20, trading 43.4% below its 200-week moving average of $10.87. This places ASLE in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -42.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 38, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.9x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.77 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 320 weeks of data, ASLE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times. On average, these episodes lasted 22 weeks. Historically, investors who bought ASLE at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +20.6%.
With a market cap of $291 million, ASLE is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 10.9%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 1.9%. The stock trades at 0.7x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 7.8% over the past three years. This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.
Over the past 6.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ASLE would have grown to $61, compared to $240 for the S&P 500. ASLE has returned -7.8% annualized vs 15.2% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: ASLE vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After ASLE Crosses Below the Line?
Across 6 historical episodes, buying ASLE when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +6.2% after 12 months (median +24.0%), compared to +33.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 50% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +21.0% vs +43.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ASLE crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
ASLE has crossed below its 200-week MA 6 times with an average 1-year return of +20.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2020 | 1 | 0.9% | +26.8% | -37.8% |
| Oct 2020 | Nov 2020 | 1 | 2.3% | +127.5% | -37.3% |
| Feb 2021 | Mar 2021 | 3 | 7.7% | +60.7% | -37.5% |
| Aug 2023 | Aug 2023 | 3 | 20.6% | -53.0% | -43.9% |
| Nov 2023 | Nov 2023 | 2 | 5.3% | -58.9% | -54.0% |
| Dec 2023 | Ongoing | 119+ | 65.3% | Ongoing | -54.7% |
| Average | 22 | — | +20.6% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ASLE below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-03-20, AerSale Corporation (ASLE) is trading 43.4% below its 200-week moving average of $10.87. The current price is $6.16.
What is ASLE's 200-week moving average price?
AerSale Corporation's 200-week moving average is $10.87 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when ASLE drops below its 200-week moving average?
ASLE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +20.6%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 22 weeks on average.
Is ASLE a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about ASLE as of 2026-03-20: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 38. Free cash flow yield is 10.9%. Return on equity is 1.9%. Price-to-book is 0.7x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does ASLE compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 6.2 years, $100 invested in ASLE would have grown to $61, compared to $240 for the S&P 500. That's -7.8% annualized vs 15.2% for the index. ASLE has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20