ASLE
AerSale Corporation Industrials - Airports & Air Services Investor Relations →
AerSale Corporation (ASLE) closed at $7.45 as of 2026-02-02, trading 32.9% below its 200-week moving average of $11.10. This places ASLE in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -32.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 50, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 314 weeks of data, ASLE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times. On average, these episodes lasted 20 weeks. Historically, investors who bought ASLE at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +20.6%.
With a market cap of $352 million, ASLE is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 14.6%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 1.4%. The stock trades at 0.8x book value.
Share count has increased 3.1% over three years, indicating dilution. This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.
Over the past 6.1 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ASLE would have grown to $73, compared to $254 for the S&P 500. ASLE has returned -5.0% annualized vs 16.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: ASLE vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After ASLE Crosses Below the Line?
Across 6 historical episodes, buying ASLE when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +6.2% after 12 months (median +24.0%), compared to +33.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 50% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +21.0% vs +43.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ASLE crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
ASLE has crossed below its 200-week MA 6 times with an average 1-year return of +20.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2020 | 1 | 0.9% | +26.8% | -24.7% |
| Oct 2020 | Nov 2020 | 1 | 2.3% | +127.5% | -24.2% |
| Feb 2021 | Mar 2021 | 3 | 7.7% | +60.7% | -24.4% |
| Aug 2023 | Aug 2023 | 3 | 20.6% | -53.0% | -32.1% |
| Nov 2023 | Nov 2023 | 2 | 5.3% | -58.9% | -44.4% |
| Dec 2023 | Ongoing | 113+ | 65.3% | Ongoing | -45.2% |
| Average | 20 | — | +20.6% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02