ASIX
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AdvanSix Inc. (ASIX) closed at $20.06 as of 2026-07-31, trading 22.8% below its 200-week moving average of $25.99. This places ASIX in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -19.1% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 40, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.8x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.01 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 467 weeks of data, ASIX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 4 times. On average, these episodes lasted 67 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -38.4%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $541 million, ASIX is a small-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 1.3%. The stock trades at 0.7x book value.
Over the past 9 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ASIX would have grown to $68, compared to $347 for the S&P 500. ASIX has returned -4.2% annualized vs 14.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -67.3% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: ASIX vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After ASIX Crosses Below the Line?
Across 4 historical episodes, buying ASIX when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -23.8% after 12 months (median -10.0%), compared to +12.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 25% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -31.2% vs +40.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ASIX crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. ASIX currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from ASIX's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
ASIX has crossed below its 200-week MA 4 times with an average 1-year return of +-38.4% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2018 | Aug 2018 | 1 | 0.1% | -30.3% | -31.0% |
| Oct 2018 | Feb 2019 | 18 | 27.6% | -23.0% | -27.2% |
| Mar 2019 | Feb 2021 | 102 | 69.3% | -61.8% | -29.4% |
| Oct 2023 | Ongoing | 148+ | 50.3% | Ongoing | -24.8% |
| Average | 67 | — | +-38.4% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ASIX below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-07-31, AdvanSix Inc. (ASIX) is trading 22.8% below its 200-week moving average of $25.99. The current price is $20.06.
What is ASIX's 200-week moving average price?
AdvanSix Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $25.99 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when ASIX drops below its 200-week moving average?
ASIX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 4 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -38.4%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 67 weeks on average.
Is ASIX a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about ASIX as of 2026-07-31: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 40. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 1.3%. Price-to-book is 0.7x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does ASIX compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 9 years, $100 invested in ASIX would have grown to $68, compared to $347 for the S&P 500. That's -4.2% annualized vs 14.8% for the index. ASIX has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does ASIX pay a dividend?
Yes. AdvanSix Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 311.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31