ARLP
Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. Energy - Thermal Coal Investor Relations →
Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. (ARLP) closed at $24.37 as of 2026-02-02, trading 31.0% above its 200-week moving average of $18.61. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 25.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 57, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 1333 weeks of data, ARLP has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times. On average, these episodes lasted 51 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -21.6%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $3.1 billion, ARLP is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 7.4%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 17.1%, a solid level. The stock trades at 1.7x book value.
ARLP passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 25.7 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ARLP would have grown to $4912, compared to $763 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 16.4% vs 8.2% for the index — confirming ARLP as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: ARLP vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After ARLP Crosses Below the Line?
Across 6 historical episodes, buying ARLP when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -23.0% after 12 months (median +3.0%), compared to +9.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 50% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +27.2% vs +33.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ARLP crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
ARLP has crossed below its 200-week MA 6 times with an average 1-year return of +-21.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2008 | Apr 2009 | 31 | 43.5% | +19.5% | +560.9% |
| Jun 2009 | Jun 2009 | 1 | 1.7% | +58.7% | +529.1% |
| Mar 2015 | May 2018 | 166 | 63.6% | -58.3% | +121.2% |
| Jun 2018 | Jul 2018 | 4 | 4.2% | +3.6% | +175.2% |
| Aug 2019 | Aug 2019 | 1 | 2.2% | -74.4% | +191.7% |
| Sep 2019 | Sep 2021 | 104 | 79.7% | -78.9% | +195.9% |
| Average | 51 | — | +-21.6% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02