ARLP
Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. Energy - Thermal Coal Investor Relations →
Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. (ARLP) closed at $27.95 as of 2026-03-20, trading 46.7% above its 200-week moving average of $19.05. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 43.8% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 78, ARLP is in overbought territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.1x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.02 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1339 weeks of data, ARLP has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times. On average, these episodes lasted 51 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -21.6%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $3.6 billion, ARLP is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 6.5%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 17.1%, a solid level. The stock trades at 1.9x book value.
ARLP passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 25.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ARLP would have grown to $5633, compared to $718 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 16.9% vs 8.0% for the index — confirming ARLP as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -9.7% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: ARLP vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After ARLP Crosses Below the Line?
Across 6 historical episodes, buying ARLP when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -23.0% after 12 months (median +3.0%), compared to +9.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 50% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +27.2% vs +33.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ARLP crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
ARLP has crossed below its 200-week MA 6 times with an average 1-year return of +-21.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2008 | Apr 2009 | 31 | 43.5% | +19.5% | +658.0% |
| Jun 2009 | Jun 2009 | 1 | 1.7% | +58.7% | +621.5% |
| Mar 2015 | May 2018 | 166 | 63.6% | -58.3% | +153.7% |
| Jun 2018 | Jul 2018 | 4 | 4.2% | +3.6% | +215.6% |
| Aug 2019 | Aug 2019 | 1 | 2.2% | -74.4% | +234.6% |
| Sep 2019 | Sep 2021 | 104 | 79.7% | -78.9% | +239.4% |
| Average | 51 | — | +-21.6% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ARLP below its 200-week moving average?
No. Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. (ARLP) is currently 46.7% above its 200-week moving average of $19.05. It would need to fall to $19.05 to cross below the line.
What is ARLP's 200-week moving average price?
Alliance Resource Partners, L.P.'s 200-week moving average is $19.05 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when ARLP drops below its 200-week moving average?
ARLP has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -21.6%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 51 weeks on average.
Is ARLP a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about ARLP as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 78 (overbought). Free cash flow yield is 6.5%. Return on equity is 17.1%. Price-to-book is 1.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does ARLP compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 25.8 years, $100 invested in ARLP would have grown to $5633, compared to $718 for the S&P 500. That's 16.9% annualized vs 8.0% for the index. ARLP has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does ARLP pay a dividend?
Yes. Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. currently pays a dividend yield of 894.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20