ARKK
ARK Innovation ETF ETF - Growth Investor Relations โ
ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) closed at $70.41 as of 2026-02-02, trading 37.9% above its 200-week moving average of $51.05. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 46.8% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 28, ARKK is in oversold territory.
Over the past 540 weeks of data, ARKK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times. On average, these episodes lasted 34 weeks. Historically, investors who bought ARKK at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +29.7%.
Over the past 10.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ARKK would have grown to $392, compared to $394 for the S&P 500. ARKK has returned 14.0% annualized vs 14.1% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Growth of $100: ARKK vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After ARKK Crosses Below the Line?
Across 6 historical episodes, buying ARKK when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +31.8% after 12 months (median +34.0%), compared to +13.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 67% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +90.6% vs +30.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ARKK crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
ARKK has crossed below its 200-week MA 6 times with an average 1-year return of +29.7% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2015 | Nov 2015 | 7 | 4.5% | +11.9% | +293.6% |
| Jan 2016 | Jul 2016 | 26 | 25.1% | +13.5% | +305.3% |
| Oct 2016 | Nov 2016 | 1 | 3.1% | +83.3% | +296.4% |
| Nov 2016 | Dec 2016 | 1 | 0.4% | +88.9% | +285.5% |
| Jan 2022 | Jan 2025 | 157 | 57.6% | -49.0% | -0.7% |
| Feb 2025 | May 2025 | 11 | 26.1% | N/A | +26.5% |
| Average | 34 | โ | +29.7% | โ |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02