ARE
Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc. Real Estate - REIT - Office Investor Relations →
Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc. (ARE) closed at $51.03 as of 2026-06-19, trading 44.4% below its 200-week moving average of $91.74. This places ARE in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -42.3% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 55, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.8x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.98 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1468 weeks of data, ARE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 14 times. On average, these episodes lasted 25 weeks. Historically, investors who bought ARE at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +14.6%.
With a market cap of $8.9 billion, ARE is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 15.8%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at -4.1%. The stock trades at 0.6x book value.
Over the past 28.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ARE would have grown to $465, compared to $1116 for the S&P 500. ARE has returned 5.6% annualized vs 8.9% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: ARE vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After ARE Crosses Below the Line?
Across 14 historical episodes, buying ARE when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +10.7% after 12 months (median +18.0%), compared to +21.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 64% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +19.9% vs +37.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ARE crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices ARE would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where ARE's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-08-03.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $39.61 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $42.48 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $45.80 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $49.68 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $54.27 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from ARE's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
ARE has crossed below its 200-week MA 14 times with an average 1-year return of +14.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1998 | Nov 1998 | 9 | 7.2% | +19.7% | +442.7% |
| Mar 1999 | Apr 1999 | 5 | 8.8% | +19.8% | +420.6% |
| Oct 2008 | Oct 2010 | 104 | 61.2% | -25.8% | +23.6% |
| Nov 2010 | Dec 2010 | 6 | 5.2% | -1.3% | +23.1% |
| Aug 2011 | Aug 2011 | 1 | 2.1% | +14.1% | +29.9% |
| Sep 2011 | Oct 2011 | 4 | 10.2% | +27.2% | +42.6% |
| Nov 2011 | Nov 2011 | 1 | 5.2% | +12.4% | +37.1% |
| Jun 2013 | Jul 2013 | 2 | 5.2% | +27.5% | +29.7% |
| Aug 2013 | Oct 2013 | 10 | 7.3% | +30.8% | +29.9% |
| Nov 2013 | Jan 2014 | 10 | 7.7% | +34.6% | +25.5% |
| Feb 2016 | Feb 2016 | 1 | 1.4% | +64.3% | +2.5% |
| Jun 2022 | Jul 2022 | 7 | 15.9% | -14.6% | -57.7% |
| Aug 2022 | Jan 2023 | 21 | 16.4% | -19.2% | -59.2% |
| Feb 2023 | Ongoing | 174+ | 57.9% | Ongoing | -60.2% |
| Average | 25 | — | +14.6% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ARE below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-06-19, Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc. (ARE) is trading 44.4% below its 200-week moving average of $91.74. The current price is $51.03.
What is ARE's 200-week moving average price?
Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $91.74 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when ARE drops below its 200-week moving average?
ARE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 14 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +14.6%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 25 weeks on average.
Is ARE a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about ARE as of 2026-06-19: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 55. Free cash flow yield is 15.8%. Return on equity is -4.1%. Price-to-book is 0.6x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does ARE compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 28.2 years, $100 invested in ARE would have grown to $465, compared to $1116 for the S&P 500. That's 5.6% annualized vs 8.9% for the index. ARE has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does ARE pay a dividend?
Yes. Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 556.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19