ARCT
Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc. Healthcare - Biotechnology Investor Relations →
Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc. (ARCT) closed at $7.57 as of 2026-02-02, trading 63.0% below its 200-week moving average of $20.43. This places ARCT in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -63.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 34, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 615 weeks of data, ARCT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 8 times. On average, these episodes lasted 60 weeks. Historically, investors who bought ARCT at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +114.7%.
With a market cap of $215 million, ARCT is a small-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at -27.4%. The stock trades at 0.9x book value.
Share count has increased 2.4% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 11.9 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ARCT would have grown to $6, compared to $448 for the S&P 500. ARCT has returned -20.7% annualized vs 13.4% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: ARCT vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After ARCT Crosses Below the Line?
Across 8 historical episodes, buying ARCT when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +65.8% after 12 months (median -34.0%), compared to +13.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 25% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +3.4% vs +32.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ARCT crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
ARCT has crossed below its 200-week MA 8 times with an average 1-year return of +114.7% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 2014 | May 2014 | 1 | 1.5% | -59.9% | -93.2% |
| Sep 2014 | Sep 2014 | 2 | 0.5% | -54.4% | -93.5% |
| Sep 2014 | Jan 2020 | 276 | 89.5% | -59.2% | -92.3% |
| Jan 2020 | Feb 2020 | 1 | 10.9% | +603.5% | -26.5% |
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2020 | 1 | 15.9% | +431.5% | -18.7% |
| Jan 2022 | Jul 2023 | 77 | 52.7% | -23.5% | -69.2% |
| Aug 2023 | Jan 2024 | 25 | 44.3% | -34.9% | -72.7% |
| Mar 2024 | Ongoing | 99+ | 70.7% | Ongoing | -77.7% |
| Average | 60 | — | +114.7% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02