APTV
Aptiv PLC Consumer Cyclical - Auto Parts Investor Relations →
Aptiv PLC (APTV) closed at $82.38 as of 2026-02-02, trading 1.5% below its 200-week moving average of $83.65. This places APTV in the below line zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -9.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 51, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 694 weeks of data, APTV has crossed below its 200-week moving average 8 times. On average, these episodes lasted 27 weeks. Historically, investors who bought APTV at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +37.7%.
With a market cap of $17.9 billion, APTV is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 6.5%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 1.9%. The stock trades at 1.9x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 13.1% over the past three years.
Over the past 13.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in APTV would have grown to $327, compared to $616 for the S&P 500. APTV has returned 9.2% annualized vs 14.5% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 38.3% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Growth of $100: APTV vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After APTV Crosses Below the Line?
Across 8 historical episodes, buying APTV when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +43.5% after 12 months (median +47.0%), compared to +24.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 62% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +49.8% vs +47.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment APTV crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
APTV has crossed below its 200-week MA 8 times with an average 1-year return of +37.7% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2016 | Oct 2016 | 2 | 1.3% | +53.8% | +59.3% |
| Nov 2016 | Dec 2016 | 1 | 2.5% | +64.7% | +59.1% |
| Dec 2018 | Jan 2019 | 6 | 12.9% | +41.3% | +24.4% |
| May 2019 | Jun 2019 | 2 | 10.2% | +6.8% | +22.4% |
| Mar 2020 | Jul 2020 | 18 | 43.0% | +127.0% | +23.9% |
| May 2022 | Nov 2022 | 27 | 26.8% | -8.3% | -19.1% |
| Nov 2022 | Jan 2023 | 9 | 15.8% | -21.5% | -22.2% |
| Mar 2023 | Ongoing | 152+ | 52.1% | Ongoing | -23.2% |
| Average | 27 | — | +37.7% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02