APOG
Apogee Enterprises, Inc. Industrials - Building Products Investor Relations →
Apogee Enterprises, Inc. (APOG) closed at $39.60 as of 2026-07-31, trading 15.1% below its 200-week moving average of $46.63. This places APOG in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -12.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 53, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.8x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.21 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2730 weeks of data, APOG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 35 times. On average, these episodes lasted 25 weeks. Historically, investors who bought APOG at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +17.1%.
With a market cap of $826 million, APOG is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 12.4%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 13.8%. The stock trades at 1.6x book value.
Management has been repurchasing shares, with a 4.5% reduction over three years. This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.
Over the past 33.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in APOG would have grown to $1371, compared to $3098 for the S&P 500. APOG has returned 8.1% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 18.3% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: APOG vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After APOG Crosses Below the Line?
Across 24 historical episodes, buying APOG when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +5.7% after 12 months (median -4.0%), compared to +6.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 48% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +3.5% vs +20.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment APOG crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices APOG would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where APOG's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-05-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $30.83 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $33.42 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $36.49 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $40.18 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $44.70 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from APOG's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
APOG has crossed below its 200-week MA 35 times with an average 1-year return of +17.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1974 | Feb 1975 | 44 | 36.5% | +8.0% | +52559.9% |
| Apr 1975 | Jul 1975 | 13 | 16.0% | +108.0% | +52559.9% |
| Jul 1975 | Oct 1975 | 10 | 3.2% | +68.0% | +52559.9% |
| Apr 1984 | Aug 1984 | 18 | 17.8% | +1.5% | +2543.3% |
| Aug 1984 | Jan 1985 | 20 | 24.2% | +7.8% | +2234.4% |
| Feb 1985 | Jul 1985 | 22 | 16.7% | +43.6% | +2204.4% |
| Aug 1985 | Aug 1985 | 1 | 1.3% | +90.0% | +2146.8% |
| Sep 1985 | Nov 1985 | 8 | 3.6% | +23.5% | +2119.1% |
| Sep 1986 | Dec 1986 | 13 | 10.6% | +32.9% | +1825.8% |
| Oct 1987 | Oct 1987 | 1 | 6.8% | +27.0% | +1912.1% |
| Nov 1987 | Dec 1987 | 4 | 12.4% | +24.2% | +1792.4% |
| May 1991 | Aug 1993 | 116 | 39.3% | -10.7% | +1134.9% |
| Aug 1993 | Sep 1993 | 6 | 12.1% | +21.6% | +1119.0% |
| May 1994 | Jun 1994 | 7 | 3.8% | +46.6% | +1149.1% |
| Dec 1997 | Feb 1998 | 9 | 11.2% | +0.4% | +531.9% |
| Mar 1998 | Mar 1998 | 2 | 5.3% | -24.3% | +478.0% |
| Jun 1998 | Jun 1998 | 2 | 0.6% | -13.5% | +427.6% |
| Jul 1998 | May 2001 | 147 | 72.8% | -17.9% | +417.9% |
| Sep 2001 | Sep 2001 | 1 | 4.3% | +36.7% | +665.2% |
| Nov 2002 | Nov 2002 | 1 | 1.4% | +27.4% | +609.8% |
| Dec 2002 | Dec 2002 | 3 | 7.0% | +29.1% | +613.8% |
| Feb 2003 | Mar 2003 | 8 | 8.2% | +35.3% | +599.8% |
| May 2004 | Jun 2004 | 4 | 2.9% | +38.2% | +519.4% |
| Aug 2004 | Aug 2004 | 2 | 4.0% | +52.7% | +503.5% |
| Dec 2007 | Jan 2008 | 4 | 8.3% | -32.0% | +257.2% |
| Feb 2008 | Apr 2008 | 7 | 13.0% | -31.4% | +265.3% |
| Jun 2008 | Jul 2008 | 3 | 8.8% | -17.4% | +233.4% |
| Sep 2008 | Jan 2012 | 173 | 65.4% | -4.5% | +228.9% |
| Aug 2017 | Sep 2017 | 2 | 3.1% | +18.7% | +12.7% |
| Dec 2017 | Dec 2017 | 1 | 2.9% | -37.4% | +9.5% |
| Jan 2018 | Jun 2018 | 23 | 13.2% | -22.8% | +6.4% |
| Sep 2018 | Jan 2021 | 121 | 64.2% | -3.4% | +10.2% |
| Jan 2021 | Feb 2021 | 1 | 2.8% | +29.1% | +27.2% |
| Apr 2021 | May 2021 | 1 | 0.4% | +27.8% | +27.1% |
| Feb 2025 | Ongoing | 76+ | 32.8% | Ongoing | -14.3% |
| Average | 25 | — | +17.1% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is APOG below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-07-31, Apogee Enterprises, Inc. (APOG) is trading 15.1% below its 200-week moving average of $46.63. The current price is $39.60.
What is APOG's 200-week moving average price?
Apogee Enterprises, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $46.63 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when APOG drops below its 200-week moving average?
APOG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 35 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +17.1%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 25 weeks on average.
Is APOG a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about APOG as of 2026-07-31: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 53. Free cash flow yield is 12.4%. Return on equity is 13.8%. Price-to-book is 1.6x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does APOG compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.6 years, $100 invested in APOG would have grown to $1371, compared to $3098 for the S&P 500. That's 8.1% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. APOG has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does APOG pay a dividend?
Yes. Apogee Enterprises, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 273.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31