APOG
Apogee Enterprises, Inc. Industrials - Building Products Investor Relations →
Apogee Enterprises, Inc. (APOG) closed at $41.27 as of 2026-06-19, trading 11.8% below its 200-week moving average of $46.78. This places APOG in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -14.2% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 68, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.4x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.01 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2724 weeks of data, APOG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 35 times. On average, these episodes lasted 25 weeks. Historically, investors who bought APOG at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +17.2%.
With a market cap of $881 million, APOG is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 8.8%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 10.8%. The stock trades at 1.7x book value.
Management has been repurchasing shares, with a 4.5% reduction over three years. This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.
Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in APOG would have grown to $1427, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. APOG has returned 8.3% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 18.3% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: APOG vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After APOG Crosses Below the Line?
Across 24 historical episodes, buying APOG when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +5.8% after 12 months (median -4.0%), compared to +6.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 48% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +3.5% vs +20.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment APOG crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices APOG would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where APOG's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-06-26.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $31.60 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $34.45 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $37.86 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $42.01 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $47.19 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from APOG's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
APOG has crossed below its 200-week MA 35 times with an average 1-year return of +17.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1974 | Feb 1975 | 44 | 36.5% | +8.0% | +54400.8% |
| Apr 1975 | Jul 1975 | 13 | 16.0% | +108.0% | +54400.8% |
| Jul 1975 | Oct 1975 | 10 | 3.2% | +68.0% | +54400.8% |
| Apr 1984 | Aug 1984 | 18 | 17.8% | +1.5% | +2635.7% |
| Aug 1984 | Jan 1985 | 20 | 24.2% | +7.8% | +2316.0% |
| Feb 1985 | Jul 1985 | 22 | 16.7% | +43.6% | +2285.0% |
| Aug 1985 | Aug 1985 | 1 | 1.3% | +90.0% | +2225.4% |
| Sep 1985 | Nov 1985 | 8 | 3.6% | +23.5% | +2196.7% |
| Sep 1986 | Dec 1986 | 13 | 10.6% | +32.9% | +1893.2% |
| Oct 1987 | Oct 1987 | 1 | 6.8% | +27.0% | +1982.4% |
| Nov 1987 | Dec 1987 | 4 | 12.4% | +24.2% | +1858.5% |
| May 1991 | Aug 1993 | 116 | 39.3% | -10.7% | +1178.0% |
| Aug 1993 | Sep 1993 | 6 | 12.1% | +21.6% | +1161.6% |
| May 1994 | Jun 1994 | 7 | 4.3% | +46.8% | +1200.7% |
| Dec 1997 | Feb 1998 | 9 | 11.2% | +0.4% | +554.0% |
| Mar 1998 | Mar 1998 | 2 | 5.3% | -24.3% | +498.2% |
| Jun 1998 | Jun 1998 | 2 | 0.6% | -13.5% | +446.0% |
| Jul 1998 | May 2001 | 147 | 73.1% | -17.9% | +436.0% |
| Sep 2001 | Sep 2001 | 1 | 4.3% | +36.7% | +692.0% |
| Nov 2002 | Nov 2002 | 1 | 1.3% | +27.4% | +634.6% |
| Dec 2002 | Dec 2002 | 3 | 7.0% | +29.1% | +638.7% |
| Feb 2003 | Mar 2003 | 8 | 8.2% | +35.3% | +624.3% |
| May 2004 | Jun 2004 | 4 | 2.9% | +38.2% | +541.0% |
| Aug 2004 | Aug 2004 | 2 | 4.5% | +53.6% | +528.2% |
| Dec 2007 | Jan 2008 | 4 | 8.3% | -32.0% | +269.7% |
| Feb 2008 | Apr 2008 | 7 | 13.0% | -31.4% | +278.0% |
| Jun 2008 | Jul 2008 | 3 | 8.8% | -17.4% | +245.0% |
| Sep 2008 | Jan 2012 | 173 | 65.4% | -4.5% | +240.4% |
| Aug 2017 | Sep 2017 | 2 | 3.1% | +18.7% | +16.7% |
| Dec 2017 | Dec 2017 | 1 | 2.8% | -37.4% | +13.3% |
| Jan 2018 | Jun 2018 | 23 | 13.1% | -22.8% | +10.1% |
| Sep 2018 | Jan 2021 | 121 | 64.2% | -3.4% | +14.0% |
| Jan 2021 | Feb 2021 | 1 | 3.3% | +29.2% | +32.4% |
| Apr 2021 | May 2021 | 1 | 0.4% | +27.8% | +31.6% |
| Feb 2025 | Ongoing | 70+ | 32.8% | Ongoing | -11.3% |
| Average | 25 | — | +17.2% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is APOG below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-06-19, Apogee Enterprises, Inc. (APOG) is trading 11.8% below its 200-week moving average of $46.78. The current price is $41.27.
What is APOG's 200-week moving average price?
Apogee Enterprises, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $46.78 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when APOG drops below its 200-week moving average?
APOG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 35 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +17.2%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 25 weeks on average.
Is APOG a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about APOG as of 2026-06-19: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 68. Free cash flow yield is 8.8%. Return on equity is 10.8%. Price-to-book is 1.7x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does APOG compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in APOG would have grown to $1427, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's 8.3% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. APOG has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19