APLE
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Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc. (APLE) closed at $15.55 as of 2026-09-11, trading 22.8% above its 200-week moving average of $12.67. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 23.3% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 52, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.8x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.99 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 542 weeks of data, APLE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 13 times. On average, these episodes lasted 12 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -2.5%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $3.7 billion, APLE is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 9.8%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 5.5%. The stock trades at 1.2x book value.
Share count has increased 3.1% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 10.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in APLE would have grown to $145, compared to $437 for the S&P 500. APLE has returned 3.6% annualized vs 15.1% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -2.9% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: APLE vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After APLE Crosses Below the Line?
Across 13 historical episodes, buying APLE when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -2.7% after 12 months (median +5.0%), compared to +13.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 62% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -1.4% vs +30.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment APLE crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices APLE would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where APLE's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-11-02.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $13.80 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $16.21 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $19.63 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $24.89 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $34.00 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | $0.27 | $0.29 | +8.3% |
| 2026-05-04 | $0.11 | $0.12 | +9.1% |
| 2026-02-23 | $0.10 | $0.10 | +3.5% |
| 2025-11-03 | $0.22 | $0.20 | -10.8% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from APLE's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
APLE has crossed below its 200-week MA 13 times with an average 1-year return of +-2.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 2016 | May 2016 | 1 | 1.2% | +9.9% | +50.6% |
| Jun 2016 | Jun 2016 | 1 | 1.8% | +12.6% | +51.5% |
| Sep 2016 | Sep 2016 | 1 | 0.2% | +7.1% | +47.2% |
| Oct 2016 | Nov 2016 | 4 | 3.0% | +12.9% | +49.8% |
| Feb 2018 | Mar 2018 | 1 | 2.2% | +3.7% | +43.6% |
| Mar 2018 | Mar 2018 | 1 | 3.0% | +2.7% | +44.8% |
| Oct 2018 | Feb 2019 | 18 | 15.3% | +6.0% | +42.6% |
| Mar 2019 | Mar 2019 | 1 | 0.8% | -64.1% | +41.0% |
| May 2019 | Aug 2019 | 13 | 4.8% | -29.9% | +44.6% |
| Jan 2020 | Feb 2021 | 56 | 64.8% | -13.5% | +38.0% |
| Mar 2021 | Mar 2021 | 1 | 0.3% | +25.4% | +49.1% |
| Sep 2024 | Sep 2024 | 1 | 0.2% | +0.6% | +29.0% |
| Mar 2025 | Apr 2026 | 57 | 17.3% | -6.4% | +28.6% |
| Average | 12 | — | +-2.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is APLE below its 200-week moving average?
No. Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc. (APLE) is currently 22.8% above its 200-week moving average of $12.67. It would need to fall to $12.67 to cross below the line.
What is APLE's 200-week moving average price?
Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $12.67 as of 2026-09-11. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when APLE drops below its 200-week moving average?
APLE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 13 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -2.5%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 12 weeks on average.
Is APLE a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about APLE as of 2026-09-11: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 52. Free cash flow yield is 9.8%. Return on equity is 5.5%. Price-to-book is 1.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does APLE compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 10.5 years, $100 invested in APLE would have grown to $145, compared to $437 for the S&P 500. That's 3.6% annualized vs 15.1% for the index. APLE has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does APLE pay a dividend?
Yes. Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 617.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-11