APH
Amphenol Corporation Technology - Electronic Components Investor Relations →
Amphenol Corporation (APH) closed at $163.96 as of 2026-06-19, trading 124.3% above its 200-week moving average of $73.10. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 112.2% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 62, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.0x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.88 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1758 weeks of data, APH has crossed below its 200-week moving average 19 times. On average, these episodes lasted 6 weeks. Historically, investors who bought APH at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +63.2%.
With a market cap of $201.7 billion, APH is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 1.8%. Return on equity stands at 36.8%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 14.4x book value.
Share count has increased 3.1% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in APH would have grown to $156152, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 24.5% vs 10.8% for the index — confirming APH as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 34.7% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: APH vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After APH Crosses Below the Line?
Across 19 historical episodes, buying APH when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +62.6% after 12 months (median +49.0%), compared to +18.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 95% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +115.2% vs +32.3% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment APH crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices APH would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where APH's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-07-29.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $114.38 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $122.50 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $131.87 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $142.79 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $155.68 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from APH's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
APH has crossed below its 200-week MA 19 times with an average 1-year return of +63.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1992 | Jan 1993 | 13 | 30.9% | +138.8% | +197480.1% |
| Mar 1993 | Apr 1993 | 2 | 11.0% | +103.5% | +169749.6% |
| Oct 1998 | Oct 1998 | 3 | 9.6% | +70.0% | +40749.8% |
| Nov 1998 | Jan 1999 | 8 | 7.3% | +107.0% | +37570.9% |
| Jan 1999 | Feb 1999 | 2 | 4.6% | +110.6% | +37064.7% |
| Mar 2001 | Mar 2001 | 1 | 2.9% | +54.5% | +19837.0% |
| Apr 2001 | Apr 2001 | 1 | 2.3% | +46.1% | +19545.7% |
| Jun 2002 | Aug 2002 | 6 | 9.7% | +30.7% | +16708.0% |
| Sep 2002 | Nov 2002 | 9 | 25.9% | +43.8% | +15678.0% |
| Dec 2002 | Jan 2003 | 4 | 5.6% | +52.4% | +14985.7% |
| Jan 2003 | Apr 2003 | 11 | 7.8% | +62.1% | +14748.8% |
| Oct 2008 | Apr 2009 | 28 | 37.5% | +33.7% | +5154.4% |
| May 2009 | May 2009 | 2 | 2.0% | +38.6% | +4614.4% |
| Jun 2009 | Jul 2009 | 4 | 4.3% | +34.9% | +4634.6% |
| Sep 2011 | Oct 2011 | 2 | 2.4% | +49.2% | +3480.4% |
| Nov 2011 | Nov 2011 | 1 | 0.7% | +48.8% | +3493.3% |
| Dec 2011 | Dec 2011 | 1 | 0.8% | +51.1% | +3489.8% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 5 | 17.1% | +62.7% | +773.6% |
| May 2020 | May 2020 | 1 | 1.3% | +62.8% | +742.1% |
| Average | 6 | — | +63.2% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is APH below its 200-week moving average?
No. Amphenol Corporation (APH) is currently 124.3% above its 200-week moving average of $73.10. It would need to fall to $73.10 to cross below the line.
What is APH's 200-week moving average price?
Amphenol Corporation's 200-week moving average is $73.10 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when APH drops below its 200-week moving average?
APH has crossed below its 200-week moving average 19 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +63.2%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 6 weeks on average.
Is APH a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about APH as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 62. Free cash flow yield is 1.8%. Return on equity is 36.8%. Price-to-book is 14.4x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does APH compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in APH would have grown to $156152, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's 24.5% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. APH has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does APH pay a dividend?
Yes. Amphenol Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 63.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19