APA
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APA Corporation (APA) closed at $40.13 as of 2026-05-01, trading 40.4% above its 200-week moving average of $28.58. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 31.4% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 73, APA is in overbought territory.
Trading volume is running at 0.9x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.90 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2402 weeks of data, APA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 27 times. On average, these episodes lasted 37 weeks. Historically, investors who bought APA at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +9.5%.
With a market cap of $14.2 billion, APA is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 13.8%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 25.3%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 2.3x book value.
Share count has increased 13.3% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 33.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in APA would have grown to $682, compared to $2973 for the S&P 500. APA has returned 5.9% annualized vs 10.7% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -11.3% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: APA vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After APA Crosses Below the Line?
Across 17 historical episodes, buying APA when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +14.7% after 12 months (median +15.0%), compared to +11.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 59% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +24.4% vs +23.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment APA crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
APA has crossed below its 200-week MA 27 times with an average 1-year return of +9.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1980 | May 1980 | 2 | 2.7% | +68.3% | +1370.3% |
| Sep 1981 | Sep 1981 | 1 | 0.0% | -38.4% | +984.5% |
| Jan 1982 | Oct 1985 | 195 | 47.9% | -30.0% | +1049.7% |
| Dec 1985 | Jan 1986 | 2 | 4.2% | -12.0% | +1471.0% |
| Jan 1986 | Jan 1987 | 51 | 28.0% | +5.7% | +1554.4% |
| Jan 1987 | Feb 1987 | 1 | 1.8% | -16.8% | +1521.9% |
| Feb 1987 | Mar 1987 | 4 | 6.6% | -15.5% | +1521.9% |
| Apr 1987 | May 1987 | 1 | 0.9% | -17.8% | +1512.1% |
| Jun 1987 | Jun 1987 | 1 | 1.0% | -24.4% | +1531.8% |
| Oct 1987 | Feb 1989 | 72 | 31.9% | -25.8% | +1610.9% |
| Feb 1992 | Mar 1992 | 4 | 4.7% | +86.8% | +1040.0% |
| Jun 1998 | Jun 1998 | 1 | 0.3% | +29.6% | +354.0% |
| Jul 1998 | Apr 1999 | 42 | 37.0% | +34.6% | +357.6% |
| Dec 1999 | Dec 1999 | 1 | 1.2% | +83.5% | +326.8% |
| Feb 2000 | Feb 2000 | 1 | 0.7% | +84.4% | +317.0% |
| Oct 2008 | May 2009 | 33 | 33.8% | +50.7% | -16.4% |
| Jun 2009 | Jul 2009 | 6 | 16.5% | +30.3% | -26.3% |
| May 2010 | Jun 2010 | 1 | 0.6% | +37.2% | -37.0% |
| Jun 2010 | Jul 2010 | 3 | 6.8% | +50.2% | -33.4% |
| Aug 2011 | Oct 2011 | 10 | 19.5% | -7.6% | -43.5% |
| Nov 2011 | Jan 2012 | 11 | 12.5% | -23.0% | -44.5% |
| Apr 2012 | May 2014 | 112 | 28.2% | -22.0% | -43.0% |
| Sep 2014 | Dec 2016 | 114 | 52.3% | -50.2% | -38.6% |
| Dec 2016 | Oct 2021 | 250 | 87.4% | -32.1% | -19.3% |
| Dec 2021 | Dec 2021 | 1 | 0.2% | +82.6% | +89.7% |
| May 2024 | Jul 2024 | 8 | 6.2% | -40.0% | +48.9% |
| Jul 2024 | Feb 2026 | 81 | 51.2% | -32.1% | +51.7% |
| Average | 37 | — | +9.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is APA below its 200-week moving average?
No. APA Corporation (APA) is currently 40.4% above its 200-week moving average of $28.58. It would need to fall to $28.58 to cross below the line.
What is APA's 200-week moving average price?
APA Corporation's 200-week moving average is $28.58 as of 2026-05-01. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when APA drops below its 200-week moving average?
APA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 27 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +9.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 37 weeks on average.
Is APA a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about APA as of 2026-05-01: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 73 (overbought). Free cash flow yield is 13.8%. Return on equity is 25.3%. Price-to-book is 2.3x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does APA compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.3 years, $100 invested in APA would have grown to $682, compared to $2973 for the S&P 500. That's 5.9% annualized vs 10.7% for the index. APA has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does APA pay a dividend?
Yes. APA Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 249.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-01