APA

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NO
36.3% ABOVE
↑ Moving away Was 20.2% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $28.70
14-Week RSI 89
Rel. Volume (14w) This week's trading vs. the 14-week average 2.3x — Surging
Buyers vs. Sellers (14w) Are up-weeks or down-weeks getting more volume? 1.12

APA Corporation (APA) closed at $39.11 as of 2026-03-20, trading 36.3% above its 200-week moving average of $28.70. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 20.2% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 89, APA is in overbought territory.

A big jump in activity this week — 2.3x the usual volume, and the price went up. Significantly more people than usual decided to buy. This kind of surge, especially on a stock already below its 200-week average, can be an early sign that sentiment is shifting.

Over the past 2396 weeks of data, APA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 27 times. On average, these episodes lasted 37 weeks. Historically, investors who bought APA at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +9.5%.

With a market cap of $13.8 billion, APA is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 14.2%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 25.3%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 2.3x book value.

Share count has increased 13.3% over three years, indicating dilution.

Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in APA would have grown to $660, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. APA has returned 5.8% annualized vs 10.4% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 1 open-market purchase totaling $1,368,615.

Free cash flow has been declining at a -11.3% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.

Business Health

Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.

Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)

Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy

Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)

ROIC Return on invested capital (%)

FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal

Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)

Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)

Growth of $100: APA vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After APA Crosses Below the Line?

Across 17 historical episodes, buying APA when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +14.7% after 12 months (median +15.0%), compared to +11.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 59% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +24.4% vs +23.4% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment APA crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Insider Buying Activity

1 conviction buy in the past 12 months (purchases over $500K with meaningful position increases).

DateInsiderTitleValueSharesPosition +%
2025-04-03JOUNG CHANSOODirector$1,368,61575,000N/A

Historical Touches

APA has crossed below its 200-week MA 27 times with an average 1-year return of +9.5% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Apr 1980May 198022.7%+68.3%+1323.4%
Sep 1981Sep 198110.0%-38.4%+949.9%
Jan 1982Oct 198519547.9%-30.0%+1013.0%
Dec 1985Jan 198624.2%-12.0%+1420.9%
Jan 1986Jan 19875128.0%+5.7%+1501.6%
Jan 1987Feb 198711.8%-16.8%+1470.1%
Feb 1987Mar 198746.6%-15.5%+1470.1%
Apr 1987May 198710.9%-17.8%+1460.7%
Jun 1987Jun 198711.0%-24.4%+1479.7%
Oct 1987Feb 19897231.9%-25.8%+1556.3%
Feb 1992Mar 199244.7%+86.8%+1003.7%
Jun 1998Jun 199810.3%+29.6%+339.5%
Jul 1998Apr 19994237.0%+34.6%+343.0%
Dec 1999Dec 199911.2%+83.5%+313.2%
Feb 2000Feb 200010.7%+84.4%+303.7%
Oct 2008May 20093333.8%+50.7%-19.0%
Jun 2009Jul 2009616.5%+30.3%-28.7%
May 2010Jun 201010.6%+37.2%-39.0%
Jun 2010Jul 201036.8%+50.2%-35.5%
Aug 2011Oct 20111019.5%-7.6%-45.3%
Nov 2011Jan 20121112.5%-23.0%-46.3%
Apr 2012May 201411228.2%-22.0%-44.8%
Sep 2014Dec 201611452.3%-50.2%-40.6%
Dec 2016Oct 202125087.4%-32.1%-21.9%
Dec 2021Dec 202110.2%+82.6%+83.7%
May 2024Jul 202486.2%-40.0%+44.1%
Jul 2024Feb 20268151.2%-32.1%+46.9%
Average37+9.5%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is APA below its 200-week moving average?

No. APA Corporation (APA) is currently 36.3% above its 200-week moving average of $28.70. It would need to fall to $28.70 to cross below the line.

What is APA's 200-week moving average price?

APA Corporation's 200-week moving average is $28.70 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.

What happens when APA drops below its 200-week moving average?

APA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 27 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +9.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 37 weeks on average.

Is APA a good value right now?

Here's what our data says about APA as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 89 (overbought). Free cash flow yield is 14.2%. Return on equity is 25.3%. Price-to-book is 2.3x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.

How does APA compare to the S&P 500?

Over the past 33.2 years, $100 invested in APA would have grown to $660, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. That's 5.8% annualized vs 10.4% for the index. APA has underperformed the broader market over this period.

Does APA pay a dividend?

Yes. APA Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 256.00%.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of week of 2026-03-20