APA
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APA Corporation (APA) closed at $27.46 as of 2026-02-02, trading 4.8% below its 200-week moving average of $28.84. This places APA in the below line zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -8.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 70, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 2390 weeks of data, APA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 27 times. On average, these episodes lasted 37 weeks. Historically, investors who bought APA at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +11.1%.
With a market cap of $9.8 billion, APA is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 32.3%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 27.4%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 1.6x book value.
Share count has increased 5.3% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in APA would have grown to $463, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. APA has returned 4.7% annualized vs 10.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 1 open-market purchase totaling $1,368,615. Notably, these purchases occurred while APA is trading below its 200-week moving average — insiders are buying when the market is most pessimistic.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -33.3% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: APA vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After APA Crosses Below the Line?
Across 17 historical episodes, buying APA when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +14.7% after 12 months (median +15.0%), compared to +11.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 59% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +24.4% vs +23.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment APA crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
APA has crossed below its 200-week MA 27 times with an average 1-year return of +11.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1980 | May 1980 | 2 | 2.7% | +68.3% | +899.4% |
| Sep 1981 | Sep 1981 | 1 | 0.0% | -38.4% | +637.1% |
| Jan 1982 | Oct 1985 | 195 | 47.9% | -30.0% | +681.5% |
| Dec 1985 | Jan 1986 | 2 | 4.2% | -12.0% | +967.9% |
| Jan 1986 | Jan 1987 | 51 | 28.0% | +5.7% | +1024.5% |
| Jan 1987 | Feb 1987 | 1 | 1.8% | -16.8% | +1002.4% |
| Feb 1987 | Mar 1987 | 4 | 6.6% | -15.5% | +1002.4% |
| Apr 1987 | May 1987 | 1 | 0.9% | -17.8% | +995.8% |
| Jun 1987 | Jun 1987 | 1 | 1.0% | -24.4% | +1009.2% |
| Oct 1987 | Feb 1989 | 72 | 31.9% | -25.8% | +1062.9% |
| Feb 1992 | Mar 1992 | 4 | 4.7% | +86.8% | +674.9% |
| Jun 1998 | Jun 1998 | 1 | 0.3% | +29.6% | +208.6% |
| Jul 1998 | Apr 1999 | 42 | 37.0% | +34.6% | +211.1% |
| Dec 1999 | Dec 1999 | 1 | 1.2% | +83.5% | +190.1% |
| Feb 2000 | Feb 2000 | 1 | 0.7% | +84.4% | +183.4% |
| Oct 2008 | May 2009 | 33 | 33.8% | +50.7% | -43.1% |
| Jun 2009 | Jul 2009 | 6 | 16.5% | +30.3% | -49.9% |
| May 2010 | Jun 2010 | 1 | 0.6% | +37.2% | -57.2% |
| Jun 2010 | Jul 2010 | 3 | 6.8% | +50.2% | -54.7% |
| Aug 2011 | Oct 2011 | 10 | 19.5% | -7.6% | -61.6% |
| Nov 2011 | Jan 2012 | 11 | 12.5% | -23.0% | -62.3% |
| Apr 2012 | May 2014 | 112 | 28.2% | -22.0% | -61.3% |
| Sep 2014 | Dec 2016 | 114 | 52.3% | -50.2% | -58.3% |
| Dec 2016 | Oct 2021 | 250 | 87.4% | -32.1% | -45.2% |
| Dec 2021 | Dec 2021 | 1 | 0.2% | +82.6% | +29.0% |
| May 2024 | Jul 2024 | 8 | 6.2% | -40.0% | +1.2% |
| Jul 2024 | Ongoing | 80+ | 51.2% | Ongoing | +3.1% |
| Average | 37 | — | +11.1% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02