AOSL
Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited Technology - Semiconductors Investor Relations →
Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited (AOSL) closed at $48.04 as of 2026-06-19, trading 64.0% above its 200-week moving average of $29.30. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 54.5% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 78, AOSL is in overbought territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.7x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.80 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 794 weeks of data, AOSL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 17 times. On average, these episodes lasted 25 weeks. Historically, investors who bought AOSL at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +10.2%.
With a market cap of $1438 million, AOSL is a small-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at -12.6%. The stock trades at 1.8x book value.
Share count has increased 9.6% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 15.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in AOSL would have grown to $339, compared to $716 for the S&P 500. AOSL has returned 8.3% annualized vs 13.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: AOSL vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After AOSL Crosses Below the Line?
Across 17 historical episodes, buying AOSL when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +5.5% after 12 months (median -10.0%), compared to +9.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 47% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +47.4% vs +27.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment AOSL crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. AOSL currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from AOSL's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
AOSL has crossed below its 200-week MA 17 times with an average 1-year return of +10.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2011 | Apr 2011 | 3 | 1.4% | -26.5% | +275.9% |
| Jun 2011 | Jun 2011 | 1 | 1.6% | -27.0% | +274.7% |
| Jul 2011 | Sep 2014 | 164 | 41.9% | -25.5% | +299.7% |
| Sep 2014 | Dec 2014 | 11 | 8.1% | -9.8% | +431.4% |
| Dec 2014 | Jan 2015 | 1 | 1.0% | +4.0% | +443.4% |
| Jan 2015 | Feb 2015 | 1 | 0.9% | +8.9% | +447.8% |
| Feb 2015 | Feb 2015 | 1 | 0.0% | +35.0% | +446.5% |
| Apr 2015 | Jun 2015 | 8 | 4.2% | +58.9% | +464.5% |
| Jul 2015 | Oct 2015 | 13 | 15.0% | +64.7% | +468.5% |
| Jan 2016 | Jan 2016 | 1 | 2.9% | +153.8% | +483.7% |
| Jul 2018 | Aug 2018 | 2 | 5.4% | -22.6% | +249.6% |
| Sep 2018 | Oct 2020 | 109 | 60.5% | -9.7% | +254.5% |
| Mar 2023 | May 2023 | 10 | 10.9% | -4.1% | +92.4% |
| Oct 2023 | Jun 2024 | 36 | 36.3% | +40.9% | +75.5% |
| Sep 2024 | Sep 2024 | 1 | 2.0% | -12.9% | +49.7% |
| Nov 2024 | Nov 2024 | 2 | 20.4% | -23.3% | +81.4% |
| Feb 2025 | Apr 2026 | 59 | 48.1% | -30.6% | +58.7% |
| Average | 25 | — | +10.2% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AOSL below its 200-week moving average?
No. Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited (AOSL) is currently 64.0% above its 200-week moving average of $29.30. It would need to fall to $29.30 to cross below the line.
What is AOSL's 200-week moving average price?
Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited's 200-week moving average is $29.30 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when AOSL drops below its 200-week moving average?
AOSL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 17 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +10.2%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 25 weeks on average.
Is AOSL a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about AOSL as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 78 (overbought). Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is -12.6%. Price-to-book is 1.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does AOSL compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 15.2 years, $100 invested in AOSL would have grown to $339, compared to $716 for the S&P 500. That's 8.3% annualized vs 13.8% for the index. AOSL has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19