AORT

Artivion, Inc. Healthcare - Medical Devices Investor Relations →

YES
13.8% BELOW
↑ Moving away Was -18.2% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $24.58
14-Week RSI 19 📉
Rel. Volume (14w) This week's trading vs. the 14-week average 1.6x
Buyers vs. Sellers (14w) Are up-weeks or down-weeks getting more volume? 0.82

Artivion, Inc. (AORT) closed at $21.19 as of 2026-06-19, trading 13.8% below its 200-week moving average of $24.58. This places AORT in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -18.2% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 19, AORT is in oversold territory.

Trading volume is running at 1.6x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.82 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.

Over the past 1692 weeks of data, AORT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 21 times. On average, these episodes lasted 33 weeks. Historically, investors who bought AORT at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +50.0%.

With a market cap of $1029 million, AORT is a small-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 3.1%. The stock trades at 2.3x book value.

Share count has increased 18.6% over three years, indicating dilution.

Over the past 32.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in AORT would have grown to $1067, compared to $2753 for the S&P 500. AORT has returned 7.6% annualized vs 10.7% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.

Business Health

Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.

Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)

Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy

Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)

ROIC Return on invested capital (%)

FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal

Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)

Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)

Growth of $100: AORT vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After AORT Crosses Below the Line?

Across 20 historical episodes, buying AORT when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +54.8% after 12 months (median +27.0%), compared to +17.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 65% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +103.7% vs +26.5% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment AORT crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

Bean Score Experimental

The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices AORT would reach each dislocation threshold.

Current Bean Score +2.53σ
Current FCF Yield 1.49%
Baseline Yield 0.88%
Historical σ 0.21pp

Dislocation Price Levels

Prices where AORT's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-08-06.

LevelσPriceSignal
Deep Value+2σ$21.71Unusually cheap — potential buy zone
Value+1σ$25.49Cheap vs. own history
Fair Value+0σ$30.86Historical mean behavior
Expensive-1σ$39.11Expensive vs. own history
Deep Expensive-2σ$53.35Unusually expensive — potential trim zone

Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end

Data depth: 2 quarterly baselines, 22 price observations — Limited history (4+ quarters preferred for reliability)

Signal Accuracy Collecting Data

The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"

11 / 13 weeks minimum

Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.

Dislocation Scores Experimental

Each score measures deviation from AORT's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.

⚠ Earnings quality deteriorating — net income is outrunning free cash flow vs this company's own norm. Cheapness signals here deserve extra scrutiny.
Yield Dislocation -2.35σ Dividend yield vs own 10-yr norm
Drawdown Score +0.61σ Distance from line vs own history
Sector-Relative -0.04σ Vs sector median this week
Buyback Acceleration +8.2pp YoY share change vs own 3-yr pace (− = accelerating)
Insider Intensity N/A TTM buys / market cap, percentile of buyers
FCF Yield vs History -0.5pp Vs own recent annual mean
Earnings Quality Deteriorating Accrual gap trend (+8.2pp of revenue)

Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.

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Historical Touches

AORT has crossed below its 200-week MA 21 times with an average 1-year return of +50.0% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Jan 1994Aug 19943132.8%N/A+852.4%
Dec 1994Feb 19951015.4%+107.1%+852.4%
Mar 1995Mar 199528.7%+151.9%+887.7%
Apr 1995May 199556.8%+230.4%+852.4%
Oct 1998Nov 1998617.9%+20.7%+255.6%
Dec 1998Dec 199813.1%+14.8%+191.4%
Jan 1999Aug 19992818.9%+18.7%+177.8%
Sep 1999Nov 1999712.9%+165.7%+169.4%
Nov 1999Jan 2000715.1%+223.1%+156.4%
Jun 2002Sep 200621988.4%-39.7%+38.4%
Oct 2006Oct 200636.5%+33.7%+264.9%
Nov 2007Nov 200720.8%+70.7%+222.1%
Jan 2009Jan 200916.6%-18.7%+191.3%
Feb 2009Aug 20092849.9%+31.2%+317.7%
Sep 2009Sep 201215543.2%-23.2%+183.1%
Oct 2012Oct 201210.6%+42.7%+288.8%
Mar 2020Jan 20214336.7%+15.0%-2.8%
Jan 2021Feb 202110.9%-27.7%-11.5%
Mar 2021Apr 202167.6%-6.5%-8.9%
Sep 2021Mar 202413057.0%-10.4%-14.7%
May 2026Ongoing6+18.2%Ongoing-6.9%
Average33+50.0%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is AORT below its 200-week moving average?

Yes. As of 2026-06-19, Artivion, Inc. (AORT) is trading 13.8% below its 200-week moving average of $24.58. The current price is $21.19.

What is AORT's 200-week moving average price?

Artivion, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $24.58 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.

What happens when AORT drops below its 200-week moving average?

AORT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 21 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +50.0%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 33 weeks on average.

Is AORT a good value right now?

Here's what our data says about AORT as of 2026-06-19: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 19 (oversold). Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 3.1%. Price-to-book is 2.3x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.

How does AORT compare to the S&P 500?

Over the past 32.5 years, $100 invested in AORT would have grown to $1067, compared to $2753 for the S&P 500. That's 7.6% annualized vs 10.7% for the index. AORT has underperformed the broader market over this period.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of week of 2026-06-19