ANDE
The Andersons, Inc. Consumer Defensive - Food Distribution Investor Relations →
The Andersons, Inc. (ANDE) closed at $70.78 as of 2026-07-31, trading 48.5% above its 200-week moving average of $47.65. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 63.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 44, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.0x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.87 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1540 weeks of data, ANDE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 25 times. On average, these episodes lasted 22 weeks. Historically, investors who bought ANDE at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +13.3%.
With a market cap of $2.4 billion, ANDE is a mid-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 9.9%. The stock trades at 1.9x book value.
Over the past 29.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ANDE would have grown to $3900, compared to $1581 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 13.2% vs 9.8% for the index — confirming ANDE as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: ANDE vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After ANDE Crosses Below the Line?
Across 25 historical episodes, buying ANDE when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +14.8% after 12 months (median +16.0%), compared to +11.6% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 76% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +22.3% vs +24.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ANDE crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. ANDE currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from ANDE's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
ANDE has crossed below its 200-week MA 25 times with an average 1-year return of +13.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1997 | Mar 1997 | 5 | 4.4% | -5.7% | +3800.2% |
| Mar 1997 | Sep 1997 | 26 | 8.9% | -2.7% | +3644.2% |
| Sep 1997 | Oct 1997 | 1 | 1.6% | +18.2% | +3762.5% |
| Nov 1997 | Nov 1997 | 3 | 0.3% | +21.5% | +3709.6% |
| Dec 1997 | Mar 1998 | 15 | 8.1% | +25.8% | +3709.6% |
| Apr 1998 | Apr 1998 | 1 | 1.3% | +38.5% | +3763.8% |
| Sep 1999 | Jun 2000 | 41 | 24.7% | +0.3% | +3664.0% |
| Jul 2000 | Jul 2000 | 1 | 1.6% | +0.9% | +3535.1% |
| Jul 2000 | Jul 2001 | 53 | 17.1% | +5.2% | +3638.3% |
| Sep 2001 | Oct 2001 | 3 | 6.1% | +43.8% | +3414.5% |
| Sep 2008 | Sep 2009 | 50 | 66.3% | +7.9% | +355.1% |
| Sep 2009 | Oct 2009 | 1 | 4.0% | +15.7% | +321.8% |
| Oct 2009 | Apr 2010 | 25 | 29.2% | +19.1% | +322.8% |
| May 2010 | Jul 2010 | 11 | 8.0% | +38.0% | +316.1% |
| Nov 2010 | Nov 2010 | 3 | 2.4% | +25.3% | +323.8% |
| Oct 2011 | Oct 2011 | 1 | 1.7% | +16.5% | +323.5% |
| Jun 2015 | Dec 2016 | 76 | 39.7% | -6.3% | +127.1% |
| Jan 2017 | Aug 2018 | 83 | 25.3% | -18.0% | +121.1% |
| Oct 2018 | Oct 2018 | 1 | 0.7% | -44.9% | +141.5% |
| Nov 2018 | Jan 2019 | 9 | 18.0% | -34.4% | +154.0% |
| Mar 2019 | Mar 2021 | 102 | 62.5% | -45.4% | +155.2% |
| Jul 2021 | Jul 2021 | 1 | 0.8% | +26.9% | +200.0% |
| Dec 2024 | Jan 2025 | 3 | 2.9% | +38.3% | +83.3% |
| Jan 2025 | Feb 2025 | 3 | 2.3% | +55.0% | +78.0% |
| Mar 2025 | Oct 2025 | 28 | 19.0% | +93.4% | +87.0% |
| Average | 22 | — | +13.3% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ANDE below its 200-week moving average?
No. The Andersons, Inc. (ANDE) is currently 48.5% above its 200-week moving average of $47.65. It would need to fall to $47.65 to cross below the line.
What is ANDE's 200-week moving average price?
The Andersons, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $47.65 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when ANDE drops below its 200-week moving average?
ANDE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 25 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +13.3%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 22 weeks on average.
Is ANDE a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about ANDE as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 44. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 9.9%. Price-to-book is 1.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does ANDE compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 29.6 years, $100 invested in ANDE would have grown to $3900, compared to $1581 for the S&P 500. That's 13.2% annualized vs 9.8% for the index. ANDE has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does ANDE pay a dividend?
Yes. The Andersons, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 113.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31