ANDE

The Andersons, Inc. Consumer Defensive - Food Distribution Investor Relations →

NO
53.0% ABOVE
↓ Approaching Was 54.9% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $46.55
14-Week RSI 51
Rel. Volume (14w) This week's trading vs. the 14-week average 1.2x
Buyers vs. Sellers (14w) Are up-weeks or down-weeks getting more volume? 0.75

The Andersons, Inc. (ANDE) closed at $71.22 as of 2026-06-19, trading 53.0% above its 200-week moving average of $46.55. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 54.9% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 51, indicating neutral momentum.

Trading volume is running at 1.2x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.75 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.

Over the past 1534 weeks of data, ANDE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 25 times. On average, these episodes lasted 22 weeks. Historically, investors who bought ANDE at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +13.7%.

With a market cap of $2.4 billion, ANDE is a mid-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 9.9%. The stock trades at 1.9x book value.

Over the past 29.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ANDE would have grown to $3913, compared to $1580 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 13.2% vs 9.8% for the index — confirming ANDE as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.

Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.

Business Health

Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.

Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)

Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy

Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)

ROIC Return on invested capital (%)

FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal

Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)

Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)

Growth of $100: ANDE vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After ANDE Crosses Below the Line?

Across 25 historical episodes, buying ANDE when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +14.8% after 12 months (median +16.0%), compared to +11.6% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 76% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +22.3% vs +24.0% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ANDE crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

Bean Score Experimental

The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. ANDE currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.

Current Bean Score -1.04σ
Current FCF Yield -4.23%
Baseline Yield -4.21%
Historical σ 0.35pp

Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end

Data depth: 2 quarterly baselines, 22 price observations — Limited history (4+ quarters preferred for reliability)

Signal Accuracy Collecting Data

The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"

11 / 13 weeks minimum

Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.

Dislocation Scores Experimental

Each score measures deviation from ANDE's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.

⚠ Earnings quality deteriorating — net income is outrunning free cash flow vs this company's own norm. Cheapness signals here deserve extra scrutiny.
Yield Dislocation -1.32σ Dividend yield vs own 10-yr norm
Drawdown Score -0.55σ Distance from line vs own history
Sector-Relative N/A Vs sector median this week
Buyback Acceleration -0.7pp YoY share change vs own 3-yr pace (− = accelerating)
Insider Intensity N/A TTM buys / market cap, percentile of buyers
FCF Yield vs History -26.8pp Vs own recent annual mean
Earnings Quality Deteriorating Accrual gap trend (+3.2pp of revenue)

Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.

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Historical Touches

ANDE has crossed below its 200-week MA 25 times with an average 1-year return of +13.7% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Jan 1997Mar 199754.4%-5.7%+3813.0%
Mar 1997Sep 1997268.9%-2.7%+3656.5%
Sep 1997Oct 199711.9%+18.2%+3787.4%
Nov 1997Nov 199730.3%+21.5%+3722.0%
Dec 1997Mar 1998158.1%+25.8%+3722.0%
Apr 1998Apr 199811.3%+38.5%+3776.4%
Sep 1999Jun 20003925.3%+0.3%+3676.3%
Jul 2000Jul 200011.6%+0.9%+3547.0%
Jul 2000Jul 20015317.1%+5.2%+3650.5%
Sep 2001Oct 200126.0%+52.8%+3652.8%
Sep 2008Sep 20095066.3%+7.9%+357.6%
Sep 2009Oct 200914.2%+15.8%+324.3%
Oct 2009Apr 20102529.2%+19.1%+324.2%
May 2010Jul 2010117.9%+38.0%+317.5%
Nov 2010Nov 201032.4%+25.3%+325.2%
Oct 2011Oct 201111.7%+16.5%+324.9%
Jun 2015Dec 20167639.7%-6.4%+128.6%
Jan 2017Aug 20188325.2%-18.0%+121.9%
Oct 2018Oct 201810.6%-44.9%+142.3%
Nov 2018Jan 2019918.0%-34.4%+154.8%
Mar 2019Mar 202110262.5%-45.4%+156.0%
Jul 2021Jul 202110.8%+26.9%+201.0%
Dec 2024Jan 202532.9%+38.3%+83.9%
Jan 2025Feb 202532.2%+55.0%+78.5%
Mar 2025Oct 20252819.0%+93.7%+88.4%
Average22+13.7%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is ANDE below its 200-week moving average?

No. The Andersons, Inc. (ANDE) is currently 53.0% above its 200-week moving average of $46.55. It would need to fall to $46.55 to cross below the line.

What is ANDE's 200-week moving average price?

The Andersons, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $46.55 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.

What happens when ANDE drops below its 200-week moving average?

ANDE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 25 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +13.7%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 22 weeks on average.

Is ANDE a good value right now?

Here's what our data says about ANDE as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 51. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 9.9%. Price-to-book is 1.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.

How does ANDE compare to the S&P 500?

Over the past 29.5 years, $100 invested in ANDE would have grown to $3913, compared to $1580 for the S&P 500. That's 13.2% annualized vs 9.8% for the index. ANDE has outperformed the broader market over this period.

Does ANDE pay a dividend?

Yes. The Andersons, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 116.00%.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of week of 2026-06-19