ANDE
The Andersons, Inc. Consumer Defensive - Food Distribution Investor Relations →
The Andersons, Inc. (ANDE) closed at $69.59 as of 2026-09-18, trading 42.4% above its 200-week moving average of $48.86. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 45.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 48, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.4x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.02 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1547 weeks of data, ANDE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 25 times. On average, these episodes lasted 22 weeks. Historically, investors who bought ANDE at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +13.3%.
With a market cap of $2.4 billion, ANDE is a mid-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 12.2%. The stock trades at 1.8x book value.
Over the past 29.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ANDE would have grown to $3835, compared to $1616 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 13.0% vs 9.8% for the index — confirming ANDE as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: ANDE vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After ANDE Crosses Below the Line?
Across 25 historical episodes, buying ANDE when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +14.8% after 12 months (median +16.0%), compared to +11.6% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 76% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +22.3% vs +24.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ANDE crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices ANDE would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where ANDE's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-11-03.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $60.93 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $64.75 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $69.07 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $74.02 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $79.73 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | $1.48 | $2.15 | +44.9% |
| 2026-05-05 | $0.70 | $1.12 | +60.0% |
| 2026-02-17 | $1.56 | $2.04 | +31.1% |
| 2025-11-04 | $0.46 | $0.84 | +82.6% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
the write-ups I read Simply Wall St · Visual company reports and write-ups. Free tier covers five reports a month. referral
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from ANDE's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
ANDE has crossed below its 200-week MA 25 times with an average 1-year return of +13.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1997 | Mar 1997 | 5 | 4.4% | -5.7% | +3734.7% |
| Mar 1997 | Sep 1997 | 26 | 8.9% | -2.7% | +3581.3% |
| Sep 1997 | Oct 1997 | 1 | 1.6% | +18.2% | +3697.5% |
| Nov 1997 | Nov 1997 | 3 | 0.3% | +21.5% | +3645.5% |
| Dec 1997 | Mar 1998 | 15 | 8.1% | +25.8% | +3645.5% |
| Apr 1998 | Apr 1998 | 1 | 1.3% | +38.5% | +3698.8% |
| Sep 1999 | Jun 2000 | 41 | 24.7% | +0.3% | +3600.7% |
| Jul 2000 | Jul 2000 | 1 | 1.6% | +0.9% | +3474.0% |
| Jul 2000 | Jul 2001 | 53 | 17.1% | +5.2% | +3575.4% |
| Sep 2001 | Oct 2001 | 3 | 6.1% | +43.8% | +3355.4% |
| Sep 2008 | Sep 2009 | 50 | 66.3% | +7.9% | +347.4% |
| Sep 2009 | Oct 2009 | 1 | 4.0% | +15.7% | +314.8% |
| Oct 2009 | Apr 2010 | 25 | 29.2% | +19.1% | +315.7% |
| May 2010 | Jul 2010 | 11 | 8.0% | +38.0% | +309.1% |
| Nov 2010 | Nov 2010 | 3 | 2.4% | +25.3% | +316.7% |
| Oct 2011 | Oct 2011 | 1 | 1.7% | +16.5% | +316.4% |
| Jun 2015 | Dec 2016 | 76 | 39.7% | -6.3% | +123.3% |
| Jan 2017 | Aug 2018 | 83 | 25.3% | -18.0% | +117.4% |
| Oct 2018 | Oct 2018 | 1 | 0.7% | -44.9% | +137.5% |
| Nov 2018 | Jan 2019 | 9 | 18.0% | -34.4% | +149.7% |
| Mar 2019 | Mar 2021 | 102 | 62.5% | -45.4% | +150.9% |
| Jul 2021 | Jul 2021 | 1 | 0.8% | +26.9% | +194.9% |
| Dec 2024 | Jan 2025 | 3 | 2.9% | +38.3% | +80.2% |
| Jan 2025 | Feb 2025 | 3 | 2.3% | +55.0% | +75.0% |
| Mar 2025 | Oct 2025 | 28 | 19.0% | +93.4% | +83.8% |
| Average | 22 | — | +13.3% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ANDE below its 200-week moving average?
No. The Andersons, Inc. (ANDE) is currently 42.4% above its 200-week moving average of $48.86. It would need to fall to $48.86 to cross below the line.
What is ANDE's 200-week moving average price?
The Andersons, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $48.86 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when ANDE drops below its 200-week moving average?
ANDE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 25 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +13.3%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 22 weeks on average.
Is ANDE a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about ANDE as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 48. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 12.2%. Price-to-book is 1.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does ANDE compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 29.8 years, $100 invested in ANDE would have grown to $3835, compared to $1616 for the S&P 500. That's 13.0% annualized vs 9.8% for the index. ANDE has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does ANDE pay a dividend?
Yes. The Andersons, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 111.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18