AMWD
American Woodmark Corporation Consumer Cyclical - Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances Investor Relations →
American Woodmark Corporation (AMWD) closed at $48.09 as of 2026-05-29, trading 29.4% below its 200-week moving average of $68.13. This places AMWD in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -42.9% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 42, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.5x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.92 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2032 weeks of data, AMWD has crossed below its 200-week moving average 30 times. On average, these episodes lasted 30 weeks. Historically, investors who bought AMWD at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +8.4%.
With a market cap of $701 million, AMWD is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 6.6%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 1.9%. The stock trades at 0.8x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 11.8% over the past three years. This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.
Over the past 33.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in AMWD would have grown to $2851, compared to $3129 for the S&P 500. AMWD has returned 10.5% annualized vs 10.9% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: AMWD vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After AMWD Crosses Below the Line?
Across 27 historical episodes, buying AMWD when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +11.7% after 12 months (median -12.0%), compared to +12.4% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 44% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +38.7% vs +23.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment AMWD crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices AMWD would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where AMWD's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-01-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $35.41 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $40.46 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $47.18 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $56.59 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $70.69 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from AMWD's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
AMWD has crossed below its 200-week MA 30 times with an average 1-year return of +8.4% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1987 | Mar 1989 | 79 | 49.0% | -30.6% | +797.5% |
| Mar 1989 | Apr 1989 | 3 | 2.4% | -28.1% | +989.1% |
| Aug 1989 | Jul 1993 | 202 | 74.2% | -63.2% | +1014.1% |
| Jul 1993 | Oct 1993 | 13 | 17.6% | +29.4% | +2750.8% |
| Nov 1993 | Nov 1993 | 1 | 2.4% | +43.3% | +2837.2% |
| Nov 1993 | Dec 1993 | 5 | 14.6% | +53.8% | +3289.1% |
| Dec 1995 | Apr 1996 | 18 | 11.4% | +203.1% | +2491.7% |
| Oct 1999 | Oct 1999 | 1 | 1.2% | -7.3% | +448.3% |
| Nov 1999 | Nov 1999 | 3 | 11.7% | -12.4% | +505.8% |
| Jan 2000 | Apr 2001 | 64 | 37.2% | +15.5% | +517.4% |
| Jan 2003 | Feb 2003 | 2 | 0.8% | +80.2% | +204.0% |
| Nov 2005 | Nov 2005 | 1 | 2.2% | +22.0% | +80.6% |
| Nov 2005 | Jan 2006 | 8 | 16.4% | +51.6% | +105.6% |
| Feb 2006 | Feb 2006 | 1 | 2.9% | +59.4% | +83.5% |
| Jul 2007 | Dec 2010 | 177 | 54.2% | -34.8% | +58.3% |
| Jan 2011 | Mar 2011 | 9 | 12.4% | -29.4% | +134.0% |
| Apr 2011 | Apr 2011 | 2 | 2.4% | -13.9% | +146.5% |
| May 2011 | Aug 2012 | 65 | 41.4% | -15.2% | +146.6% |
| Sep 2018 | Feb 2019 | 21 | 31.3% | +9.8% | -38.7% |
| Mar 2019 | Mar 2019 | 3 | 7.8% | +5.0% | -39.8% |
| May 2019 | Jun 2019 | 4 | 13.6% | -13.4% | -33.7% |
| Jul 2019 | Sep 2019 | 10 | 15.3% | -10.5% | -41.7% |
| Feb 2020 | Aug 2020 | 23 | 57.3% | +11.5% | -42.6% |
| Aug 2020 | Oct 2020 | 5 | 13.5% | -15.3% | -41.2% |
| Oct 2020 | Nov 2020 | 2 | 5.5% | -20.6% | -44.6% |
| Nov 2020 | Dec 2020 | 1 | 0.4% | -25.0% | -45.1% |
| Jan 2021 | Feb 2021 | 1 | 2.0% | -31.0% | -44.4% |
| May 2021 | Jun 2023 | 109 | 46.6% | -39.0% | -44.7% |
| Oct 2023 | Oct 2023 | 2 | 5.7% | +48.9% | -29.1% |
| Feb 2025 | Ongoing | 67+ | 48.2% | Ongoing | -32.0% |
| Average | 30 | — | +8.4% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AMWD below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-05-29, American Woodmark Corporation (AMWD) is trading 29.4% below its 200-week moving average of $68.13. The current price is $48.09.
What is AMWD's 200-week moving average price?
American Woodmark Corporation's 200-week moving average is $68.13 as of 2026-05-29. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when AMWD drops below its 200-week moving average?
AMWD has crossed below its 200-week moving average 30 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +8.4%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 30 weeks on average.
Is AMWD a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about AMWD as of 2026-05-29: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 42. Free cash flow yield is 6.6%. Return on equity is 1.9%. Price-to-book is 0.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does AMWD compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.4 years, $100 invested in AMWD would have grown to $2851, compared to $3129 for the S&P 500. That's 10.5% annualized vs 10.9% for the index. AMWD has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-29