AMPH

Amphastar Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Healthcare - Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic Investor Relations →

YES
22.6% BELOW
↑ Moving away Was -30.1% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $37.83
14-Week RSI 61

Amphastar Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (AMPH) closed at $29.26 as of 2026-02-02, trading 22.6% below its 200-week moving average of $37.83. This places AMPH in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -30.1% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 61, indicating neutral momentum.

Over the past 558 weeks of data, AMPH has crossed below its 200-week moving average 14 times. On average, these episodes lasted 10 weeks. Historically, investors who bought AMPH at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +42.2%.

With a market cap of $1360 million, AMPH is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 8.2%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 14.8%. The stock trades at 1.8x book value.

This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.

Over the past 10.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in AMPH would have grown to $170, compared to $402 for the S&P 500. AMPH has returned 5.0% annualized vs 13.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been growing at a 34.7% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.

Growth of $100: AMPH vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After AMPH Crosses Below the Line?

Across 14 historical episodes, buying AMPH when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +30.3% after 12 months (median +34.0%), compared to +13.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 86% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +73.6% vs +22.2% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment AMPH crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

AMPH has crossed below its 200-week MA 14 times with an average 1-year return of +42.2% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Sep 2015Nov 2015612.3%+76.1%+156.7%
Jan 2016May 20161815.0%+41.5%+126.3%
Mar 2017Mar 201724.1%+44.8%+112.8%
May 2018May 201813.0%+50.3%+96.2%
Jun 2018Jul 201812.1%+38.3%+91.7%
Nov 2019Nov 201924.5%+12.5%+69.9%
Feb 2020May 20201431.8%+1.1%+60.1%
Sep 2020Sep 202013.6%+3.8%+62.3%
Nov 2020Dec 202043.4%+11.7%+59.4%
Jan 2021May 2021179.2%+35.7%+56.6%
May 2021Jun 202121.6%+105.4%+54.7%
Aug 2021Sep 202167.5%+78.7%+54.9%
Oct 2021Nov 202133.2%+49.3%+53.1%
Dec 2024Ongoing58+45.2%Ongoing-19.4%
Average10+42.2%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02