AMP
Ameriprise Financial, Inc. Financial Services - Asset Management Investor Relations →
Ameriprise Financial, Inc. (AMP) closed at $544.33 as of 2026-09-18, trading 27.6% above its 200-week moving average of $426.45. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 31.1% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 75, AMP is in overbought territory.
Over the past 14 weeks, down-weeks have had more trading volume than up-weeks (0.69 buyers-vs-sellers ratio). That means when people are active, they're more often selling than buying. Sellers are still more in control than buyers.
Over the past 1048 weeks of data, AMP has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times. On average, these episodes lasted 14 weeks. Historically, investors who bought AMP at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +21.5%.
With a market cap of $48.1 billion, AMP is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 6.0%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 63.4%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 7.6x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 13.3% over the past three years.
Over the past 20.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in AMP would have grown to $1790, compared to $844 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 15.4% vs 11.2% for the index — confirming AMP as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 24.5% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: AMP vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After AMP Crosses Below the Line?
Across 12 historical episodes, buying AMP when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +29.4% after 12 months (median +46.0%), compared to +9.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 75% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +69.0% vs +31.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment AMP crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices AMP would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where AMP's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-10-29.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $492.38 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $510.51 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $530.04 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $551.11 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $573.93 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | $10.81 | $11.07 | +2.4% |
| 2026-04-23 | $10.21 | $11.26 | +10.2% |
| 2026-01-29 | $10.31 | $10.83 | +5.0% |
| 2025-10-30 | $9.76 | $9.87 | +1.1% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from AMP's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
AMP has crossed below its 200-week MA 12 times with an average 1-year return of +21.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2008 | Jan 2008 | 2 | 3.0% | -56.2% | +1524.7% |
| Feb 2008 | Mar 2008 | 5 | 4.1% | -67.8% | +1481.7% |
| Apr 2008 | Mar 2010 | 97 | 74.2% | -43.5% | +1572.2% |
| May 2010 | Jul 2010 | 10 | 13.3% | +56.1% | +1787.9% |
| Aug 2011 | Aug 2011 | 1 | 4.8% | +45.0% | +1817.5% |
| Sep 2011 | Oct 2011 | 3 | 3.6% | +48.3% | +1782.3% |
| Jan 2016 | Apr 2016 | 13 | 14.8% | +28.3% | +632.2% |
| Apr 2016 | May 2016 | 3 | 2.9% | +37.5% | +602.7% |
| Jun 2016 | Aug 2016 | 11 | 8.4% | +38.8% | +591.4% |
| Sep 2016 | Nov 2016 | 8 | 12.3% | +44.7% | +567.9% |
| Dec 2018 | Jan 2019 | 6 | 15.9% | +46.3% | +440.6% |
| Mar 2020 | May 2020 | 11 | 30.4% | +80.2% | +378.8% |
| Average | 14 | — | +21.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AMP below its 200-week moving average?
No. Ameriprise Financial, Inc. (AMP) is currently 27.6% above its 200-week moving average of $426.45. It would need to fall to $426.45 to cross below the line.
What is AMP's 200-week moving average price?
Ameriprise Financial, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $426.45 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when AMP drops below its 200-week moving average?
AMP has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +21.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 14 weeks on average.
Is AMP a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about AMP as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 75 (overbought). Free cash flow yield is 6.0%. Return on equity is 63.4%. Price-to-book is 7.6x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does AMP compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 20.2 years, $100 invested in AMP would have grown to $1790, compared to $844 for the S&P 500. That's 15.4% annualized vs 11.2% for the index. AMP has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does AMP pay a dividend?
Yes. Ameriprise Financial, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 125.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18