AMP
Ameriprise Financial, Inc. Financial Services - Asset Management Investor Relations →
Ameriprise Financial, Inc. (AMP) closed at $467.43 as of 2026-06-19, trading 13.9% above its 200-week moving average of $410.39. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 12.2% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 64, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.1x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.00 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1035 weeks of data, AMP has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times. On average, these episodes lasted 14 weeks. Historically, investors who bought AMP at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +21.5%.
With a market cap of $42.0 billion, AMP is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 8.0%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 66.9%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 6.8x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 13.3% over the past three years.
Over the past 19.9 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in AMP would have grown to $1532, compared to $826 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 14.7% vs 11.2% for the index — confirming AMP as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 24.5% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: AMP vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After AMP Crosses Below the Line?
Across 12 historical episodes, buying AMP when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +29.4% after 12 months (median +46.0%), compared to +10.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 75% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +68.9% vs +31.3% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment AMP crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices AMP would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where AMP's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-07-23.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $376.56 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $402.50 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $432.28 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $466.82 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $507.36 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from AMP's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
AMP has crossed below its 200-week MA 12 times with an average 1-year return of +21.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2008 | Jan 2008 | 2 | 3.0% | -56.2% | +1290.8% |
| Feb 2008 | Mar 2008 | 5 | 4.1% | -67.8% | +1254.0% |
| Apr 2008 | Mar 2010 | 97 | 74.2% | -43.5% | +1331.5% |
| May 2010 | Jul 2010 | 10 | 13.3% | +56.1% | +1516.2% |
| Aug 2011 | Aug 2011 | 1 | 4.7% | +45.0% | +1541.5% |
| Sep 2011 | Oct 2011 | 3 | 3.6% | +48.3% | +1511.4% |
| Jan 2016 | Apr 2016 | 13 | 15.4% | +28.3% | +526.8% |
| Apr 2016 | May 2016 | 3 | 3.7% | +37.5% | +501.6% |
| Jun 2016 | Aug 2016 | 11 | 8.3% | +38.8% | +491.9% |
| Sep 2016 | Nov 2016 | 8 | 13.1% | +44.7% | +471.8% |
| Dec 2018 | Jan 2019 | 6 | 15.8% | +46.3% | +362.8% |
| Mar 2020 | May 2020 | 11 | 30.4% | +80.2% | +309.9% |
| Average | 14 | — | +21.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AMP below its 200-week moving average?
No. Ameriprise Financial, Inc. (AMP) is currently 13.9% above its 200-week moving average of $410.39. It would need to fall to $410.39 to cross below the line.
What is AMP's 200-week moving average price?
Ameriprise Financial, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $410.39 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when AMP drops below its 200-week moving average?
AMP has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +21.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 14 weeks on average.
Is AMP a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about AMP as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 64. Free cash flow yield is 8.0%. Return on equity is 66.9%. Price-to-book is 6.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does AMP compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 19.9 years, $100 invested in AMP would have grown to $1532, compared to $826 for the S&P 500. That's 14.7% annualized vs 11.2% for the index. AMP has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does AMP pay a dividend?
Yes. Ameriprise Financial, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 144.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19