AMG

Affiliated Managers Group Inc. Financial Services - Asset Management Investor Relations →

NO
80.6% ABOVE
↓ Approaching Was 86.0% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $169.20
14-Week RSI 76

Affiliated Managers Group Inc. (AMG) closed at $305.50 as of 2026-02-02, trading 80.6% above its 200-week moving average of $169.20. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 86.0% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 76, AMG is in overbought territory.

Over the past 1424 weeks of data, AMG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 15 times. On average, these episodes lasted 29 weeks. Historically, investors who bought AMG at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +19.3%.

With a market cap of $8.7 billion, AMG is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 1.8%. Return on equity stands at 16.2%, a solid level. The stock trades at 2.6x book value.

The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 26.3% over the past three years.

Over the past 27.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in AMG would have grown to $2127, compared to $1011 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 11.8% vs 8.8% for the index — confirming AMG as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.

Free cash flow has been declining at a -9.4% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.

Growth of $100: AMG vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After AMG Crosses Below the Line?

Across 15 historical episodes, buying AMG when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +23.7% after 12 months (median +44.0%), compared to +10.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 64% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +66.1% vs +21.6% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment AMG crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

AMG has crossed below its 200-week MA 15 times with an average 1-year return of +19.3% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Oct 1998Dec 1998725.5%+20.2%+2027.4%
Feb 1999May 19991316.3%+31.1%+1535.7%
May 1999Jun 199953.7%+11.3%+1518.3%
Jul 1999Nov 19991618.6%+59.2%+1525.2%
Jul 2002Aug 200236.5%+54.9%+984.4%
Sep 2002Oct 2002415.7%+51.9%+947.2%
Jan 2003May 20031821.2%+67.6%+880.4%
Mar 2008Mar 200832.4%-52.0%+266.9%
Jun 2008Oct 201012079.6%-36.5%+245.5%
Aug 2011Aug 201112.6%+54.5%+309.3%
Nov 2015Nov 201512.5%-13.8%+88.4%
Dec 2015Sep 20179228.7%+5.5%+106.6%
Apr 2018Feb 202114963.6%-33.9%+77.7%
Oct 2023Oct 202333.1%+50.1%+143.9%
Mar 2025Apr 202512.7%N/A+105.3%
Average29+19.3%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02