AME
AMETEK Inc. Industrials - Electronic Instruments Investor Relations →
AMETEK Inc. (AME) closed at $241.71 as of 2026-07-31, trading 39.2% above its 200-week moving average of $173.58. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 39.9% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 62, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.1x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.97 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2145 weeks of data, AME has crossed below its 200-week moving average 26 times. On average, these episodes lasted 13 weeks. Historically, investors who bought AME at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +27.0%.
With a market cap of $55.4 billion, AME is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 2.5%. Return on equity stands at 14.6%. The stock trades at 5.1x book value.
Over the past 33.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in AME would have grown to $13654, compared to $3098 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 15.8% vs 10.8% for the index — confirming AME as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 18.3% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: AME vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After AME Crosses Below the Line?
Across 17 historical episodes, buying AME when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +32.2% after 12 months (median +38.0%), compared to +17.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 94% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +57.2% vs +33.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment AME crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices AME would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where AME's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-03-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $216.52 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $223.50 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $230.94 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $238.89 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $247.41 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from AME's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
AME has crossed below its 200-week MA 26 times with an average 1-year return of +27.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1985 | Jul 1985 | 2 | 4.3% | +27.8% | +25232.3% |
| Jul 1985 | Dec 1985 | 19 | 14.3% | +13.8% | +24973.8% |
| Aug 1986 | Aug 1986 | 1 | 2.9% | +54.5% | +23953.8% |
| Oct 1987 | Dec 1987 | 7 | 5.5% | +9.1% | +21748.3% |
| Sep 1988 | Oct 1988 | 2 | 0.5% | +15.2% | +20488.1% |
| Nov 1988 | Nov 1988 | 1 | 0.3% | +2.4% | +20295.7% |
| Dec 1988 | May 1989 | 22 | 6.5% | +2.5% | +20265.5% |
| Oct 1989 | May 1990 | 28 | 11.4% | -27.0% | +20000.8% |
| Jun 1990 | Apr 1991 | 44 | 33.4% | +4.0% | +19104.7% |
| Apr 1991 | May 1991 | 4 | 2.5% | +48.9% | +19955.9% |
| Nov 1993 | Dec 1993 | 4 | 10.7% | +63.6% | +19154.8% |
| Jan 1994 | Mar 1994 | 7 | 6.1% | +34.8% | +17297.2% |
| Mar 1994 | Apr 1994 | 3 | 2.9% | +48.6% | +17040.4% |
| Aug 1998 | Oct 1998 | 9 | 18.9% | +3.6% | +9607.6% |
| Nov 1998 | Apr 1999 | 22 | 19.7% | -2.5% | +9520.7% |
| Aug 1999 | Nov 2000 | 64 | 23.2% | +1.9% | +9267.7% |
| Sep 2001 | Sep 2001 | 1 | 1.4% | +33.3% | +8532.7% |
| Oct 2008 | Jul 2009 | 40 | 24.2% | +4.9% | +1731.6% |
| Jul 2009 | Nov 2009 | 15 | 12.3% | +37.7% | +1776.0% |
| Feb 2010 | Feb 2010 | 1 | 0.4% | +73.2% | +1567.3% |
| Feb 2016 | Feb 2016 | 3 | 2.2% | +14.5% | +472.1% |
| May 2016 | May 2016 | 2 | 2.2% | +29.7% | +453.8% |
| May 2016 | Aug 2016 | 11 | 6.3% | +31.2% | +445.2% |
| Sep 2016 | Dec 2016 | 13 | 9.4% | +35.0% | +440.7% |
| Dec 2016 | Jan 2017 | 1 | 0.8% | +50.0% | +429.6% |
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2020 | 1 | 9.6% | +91.9% | +297.4% |
| Average | 13 | — | +27.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AME below its 200-week moving average?
No. AMETEK Inc. (AME) is currently 39.2% above its 200-week moving average of $173.58. It would need to fall to $173.58 to cross below the line.
What is AME's 200-week moving average price?
AMETEK Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $173.58 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when AME drops below its 200-week moving average?
AME has crossed below its 200-week moving average 26 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +27.0%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 13 weeks on average.
Is AME a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about AME as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 62. Free cash flow yield is 2.5%. Return on equity is 14.6%. Price-to-book is 5.1x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does AME compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.6 years, $100 invested in AME would have grown to $13654, compared to $3098 for the S&P 500. That's 15.8% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. AME has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does AME pay a dividend?
Yes. AMETEK Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 57.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31