AMCR
Amcor plc Consumer Cyclical - Packaging & Containers Investor Relations →
Amcor plc (AMCR) closed at $38.28 as of 2026-03-20, trading 17.6% below its 200-week moving average of $46.45. This places AMCR in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -12.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 45, indicating neutral momentum.
A big spike in selling this week — 3.5x the usual volume, and the price dropped. Sometimes this kind of heavy selling marks the end of a decline. The idea is that the last reluctant holders have finally sold, leaving fewer sellers left to push the price lower.
Over the past 674 weeks of data, AMCR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 11 times. On average, these episodes lasted 16 weeks. Historically, investors who bought AMCR at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +7.9%.
With a market cap of $17.7 billion, AMCR is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 2.5%. Return on equity stands at 7.7%. The stock trades at 1.5x book value.
AMCR is a Dividend Aristocrat, having increased its dividend for 25 or more consecutive years. The current yield is 679.00%. Share count has increased 55.0% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 13 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in AMCR would have grown to $124, compared to $508 for the S&P 500. AMCR has returned 1.7% annualized vs 13.3% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -6.8% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: AMCR vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After AMCR Crosses Below the Line?
Across 10 historical episodes, buying AMCR when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +7.6% after 12 months (median +13.0%), compared to +20.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 60% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +26.1% vs +39.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment AMCR crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
AMCR has crossed below its 200-week MA 11 times with an average 1-year return of +7.9% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2016 | Mar 2016 | 8 | 4.3% | +27.3% | +36.8% |
| Jun 2018 | Jun 2018 | 1 | 0.9% | +16.3% | +7.5% |
| Sep 2018 | Feb 2019 | 20 | 9.9% | +3.4% | +7.8% |
| Aug 2019 | Nov 2019 | 13 | 5.8% | +18.4% | +2.7% |
| Feb 2020 | May 2020 | 13 | 31.2% | +22.6% | +6.8% |
| Jun 2020 | Jun 2020 | 1 | 0.9% | +25.0% | +0.5% |
| May 2023 | May 2024 | 53 | 17.3% | +1.2% | -16.5% |
| May 2024 | Jul 2024 | 8 | 5.9% | -5.4% | -16.9% |
| Dec 2024 | Feb 2025 | 8 | 6.6% | -14.6% | -19.5% |
| Mar 2025 | Feb 2026 | 47 | 17.3% | -14.8% | -19.6% |
| Mar 2026 | Ongoing | 3+ | 17.6% | Ongoing | -11.6% |
| Average | 16 | — | +7.9% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AMCR below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-03-20, Amcor plc (AMCR) is trading 17.6% below its 200-week moving average of $46.45. The current price is $38.28.
What is AMCR's 200-week moving average price?
Amcor plc's 200-week moving average is $46.45 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when AMCR drops below its 200-week moving average?
AMCR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 11 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +7.9%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 16 weeks on average.
Is AMCR a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about AMCR as of 2026-03-20: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 45. Free cash flow yield is 2.5%. Return on equity is 7.7%. Price-to-book is 1.5x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does AMCR compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 13 years, $100 invested in AMCR would have grown to $124, compared to $508 for the S&P 500. That's 1.7% annualized vs 13.3% for the index. AMCR has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does AMCR pay a dividend?
Yes. Amcor plc currently pays a dividend yield of 679.00%. It is also a Dividend Aristocrat, meaning it has raised its dividend for 25 or more consecutive years.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20