AMCR
Amcor plc Consumer Cyclical - Packaging & Containers Investor Relations →
Amcor plc (AMCR) closed at $48.17 as of 2026-02-02, trading 1.9% above its 200-week moving average of $47.27. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -6.4% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 77, AMCR is in overbought territory.
Over the past 668 weeks of data, AMCR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 10 times. On average, these episodes lasted 17 weeks. Historically, investors who bought AMCR at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +10.5%.
With a market cap of $22.3 billion, AMCR is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 2.0%. Return on equity stands at 7.7%. The stock trades at 1.9x book value.
AMCR is a Dividend Aristocrat, having increased its dividend for 25 or more consecutive years. The current yield is 540.00%. Share count has increased 55.0% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 12.9 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in AMCR would have grown to $154, compared to $539 for the S&P 500. AMCR has returned 3.4% annualized vs 13.9% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -6.8% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: AMCR vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After AMCR Crosses Below the Line?
Across 10 historical episodes, buying AMCR when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +10.1% after 12 months (median +13.0%), compared to +20.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 67% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +26.1% vs +39.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment AMCR crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
AMCR has crossed below its 200-week MA 10 times with an average 1-year return of +10.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2016 | Mar 2016 | 8 | 4.3% | +27.3% | +69.9% |
| Jun 2018 | Jun 2018 | 1 | 0.9% | +16.3% | +33.6% |
| Sep 2018 | Feb 2019 | 20 | 9.9% | +3.4% | +33.9% |
| Aug 2019 | Nov 2019 | 13 | 5.8% | +18.4% | +27.6% |
| Feb 2020 | May 2020 | 13 | 31.2% | +22.6% | +32.6% |
| Jun 2020 | Jun 2020 | 1 | 0.9% | +25.0% | +24.9% |
| May 2023 | May 2024 | 53 | 17.3% | +1.2% | +3.7% |
| May 2024 | Jul 2024 | 8 | 5.9% | -5.4% | +3.2% |
| Dec 2024 | Feb 2025 | 8 | 6.6% | -14.6% | -0.1% |
| Mar 2025 | Ongoing | 48+ | 17.3% | Ongoing | -0.1% |
| Average | 17 | — | +10.5% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02