ALL

The Allstate Corporation Financial Services - Insurance Investor Relations →

NO
35.2% ABOVE
↑ Moving away Was 30.0% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $153.47
14-Week RSI 59

The Allstate Corporation (ALL) closed at $207.55 as of 2026-02-02, trading 35.2% above its 200-week moving average of $153.47. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 30.0% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 59, indicating neutral momentum.

Over the past 1657 weeks of data, ALL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 15 times. On average, these episodes lasted 25 weeks. Historically, investors who bought ALL at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +25.0%.

With a market cap of $54.3 billion, ALL is a large-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 39.5%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 1.9x book value.

The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 5.7% over the past three years.

Over the past 31.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ALL would have grown to $3416, compared to $2650 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 11.7% vs 10.8% for the index — confirming ALL as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.

Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.

Growth of $100: ALL vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After ALL Crosses Below the Line?

Across 15 historical episodes, buying ALL when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +23.2% after 12 months (median +38.0%), compared to +14.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 80% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +43.9% vs +21.3% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ALL crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

ALL has crossed below its 200-week MA 15 times with an average 1-year return of +25.0% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
May 1994Feb 19954113.8%+33.1%+3455.8%
Aug 1999Oct 20005947.3%-8.6%+1088.2%
Jul 2001Sep 2001109.3%+8.3%+1035.0%
Oct 2001Feb 2002188.5%+9.3%+1005.3%
Feb 2003Mar 200364.1%+51.9%+1057.8%
Oct 2007Nov 200712.0%-46.8%+531.9%
Nov 2007Apr 201117970.2%-55.6%+546.6%
May 2011Jan 20123826.2%+10.9%+788.7%
Mar 2020Apr 2020316.4%+57.0%+223.0%
Jul 2020Jul 202013.9%+57.2%+172.9%
Sep 2020Sep 202020.3%+47.1%+158.5%
Oct 2020Nov 202033.7%+43.7%+158.6%
Mar 2023Mar 202324.6%+58.8%+110.4%
May 2023Jun 202321.5%+54.9%+101.9%
Jun 2023Sep 2023138.7%+53.2%+103.9%
Average25+25.0%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02