ALGN

Align Technology, Inc. Healthcare - Medical Instruments & Supplies Investor Relations →

YES
22.1% BELOW
↑ Moving away Was -32.6% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $240.65
14-Week RSI 76

Align Technology, Inc. (ALGN) closed at $187.60 as of 2026-02-02, trading 22.1% below its 200-week moving average of $240.65. This places ALGN in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -32.6% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 76, ALGN is in overbought territory.

Over the past 1257 weeks of data, ALGN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times. On average, these episodes lasted 37 weeks. Historically, investors who bought ALGN at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +39.0%.

With a market cap of $13.6 billion, ALGN is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.0%. Return on equity stands at 10.4%. The stock trades at 3.3x book value.

The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 6.2% over the past three years.

Over the past 24.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ALGN would have grown to $3790, compared to $946 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 16.2% vs 9.7% for the index — confirming ALGN as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.

Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.

Growth of $100: ALGN vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After ALGN Crosses Below the Line?

Across 12 historical episodes, buying ALGN when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +46.2% after 12 months (median +62.0%), compared to +3.4% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 58% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +133.8% vs +22.5% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ALGN crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

ALGN has crossed below its 200-week MA 12 times with an average 1-year return of +39.0% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Jan 2002Mar 20036170.8%-39.0%+3453.0%
Jan 2005Sep 20068745.2%-4.1%+2041.6%
Jan 2008Feb 200817.2%-34.7%+1455.6%
Feb 2008May 20081221.2%-39.1%+1363.3%
Jun 2008Aug 2008814.1%-10.7%+1425.2%
Sep 2008Aug 20094754.0%+29.7%+1570.5%
May 2010Jun 201014.7%+71.1%+1260.4%
Jun 2010Jul 201033.1%+62.0%+1221.1%
Sep 2011Sep 201110.6%+152.9%+1154.0%
Aug 2019Oct 201997.2%+66.8%+2.3%
Mar 2020May 20201031.7%+173.9%-4.2%
Apr 2022Ongoing199+54.4%Ongoing-48.0%
Average37+39.0%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02