ALEC
Alector, Inc. Healthcare - Biotechnology Investor Relations →
Alector, Inc. (ALEC) closed at $2.05 as of 2026-03-20, trading 61.0% below its 200-week moving average of $5.26. This places ALEC in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -58.5% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 63, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.1x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.79 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 323 weeks of data, ALEC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 4 times. On average, these episodes lasted 66 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -5.1%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $226 million, ALEC is a small-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at -181.6%. The stock trades at 7.4x book value.
Share count has increased 33.1% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 6.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ALEC would have grown to $7, compared to $221 for the S&P 500. ALEC has returned -34.2% annualized vs 13.5% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: ALEC vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After ALEC Crosses Below the Line?
Across 4 historical episodes, buying ALEC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -14.5% after 12 months (median -18.0%), compared to +8.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 25% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -56.5% vs +12.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ALEC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
ALEC has crossed below its 200-week MA 4 times with an average 1-year return of +-5.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2020 | Feb 2021 | 27 | 53.1% | +53.4% | -86.9% |
| Feb 2021 | May 2021 | 15 | 15.5% | -7.5% | -88.4% |
| Nov 2021 | Dec 2021 | 2 | 4.2% | -61.1% | -89.7% |
| Jan 2022 | Ongoing | 220+ | 90.5% | Ongoing | -88.6% |
| Average | 66 | — | +-5.1% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ALEC below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-03-20, Alector, Inc. (ALEC) is trading 61.0% below its 200-week moving average of $5.26. The current price is $2.05.
What is ALEC's 200-week moving average price?
Alector, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $5.26 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when ALEC drops below its 200-week moving average?
ALEC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 4 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -5.1%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 66 weeks on average.
Is ALEC a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about ALEC as of 2026-03-20: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 63. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is -181.6%. Price-to-book is 7.4x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does ALEC compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 6.2 years, $100 invested in ALEC would have grown to $7, compared to $221 for the S&P 500. That's -34.2% annualized vs 13.5% for the index. ALEC has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20