AKR
Acadia Realty Trust Real Estate - Retail Investor Relations →
Acadia Realty Trust (AKR) closed at $22.47 as of 2026-07-31, trading 30.7% above its 200-week moving average of $17.19. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 30.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 63, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.1x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.85 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1683 weeks of data, AKR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 30 times. On average, these episodes lasted 22 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -13.8%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $3.3 billion, AKR is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 5.7%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 5.7%. The stock trades at 1.3x book value.
Share count has increased 37.8% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 32.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in AKR would have grown to $809, compared to $2882 for the S&P 500. AKR has returned 6.7% annualized vs 11.0% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 7.8% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: AKR vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After AKR Crosses Below the Line?
Across 30 historical episodes, buying AKR when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -12.0% after 12 months (median -4.0%), compared to +11.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 33% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -5.8% vs +34.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment AKR crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices AKR would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where AKR's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-03-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $17.68 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $18.79 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $20.06 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $21.51 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $23.19 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from AKR's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
AKR has crossed below its 200-week MA 30 times with an average 1-year return of +-13.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1994 | May 1995 | 53 | 15.8% | -6.4% | +715.3% |
| Jun 1995 | Jul 1995 | 5 | 3.7% | -11.0% | +731.8% |
| Aug 1995 | Feb 1996 | 27 | 19.5% | +0.1% | +723.8% |
| Mar 1996 | Oct 1996 | 32 | 16.4% | +5.8% | +751.4% |
| Nov 1996 | Jan 1997 | 10 | 6.5% | -9.1% | +752.8% |
| May 1997 | Dec 2000 | 185 | 45.2% | -19.1% | +757.0% |
| Dec 2000 | Jan 2001 | 2 | 3.9% | +20.7% | +1105.1% |
| Oct 2008 | Apr 2010 | 80 | 55.5% | -12.1% | +149.8% |
| May 2010 | Jun 2010 | 5 | 6.1% | +22.0% | +139.3% |
| Jun 2010 | Jul 2010 | 5 | 9.3% | +19.6% | +135.3% |
| Aug 2010 | Aug 2010 | 3 | 2.8% | +18.8% | +133.2% |
| May 2017 | Jul 2017 | 12 | 5.4% | -12.7% | +11.5% |
| Aug 2017 | Sep 2017 | 4 | 1.6% | -3.9% | +10.1% |
| Sep 2017 | Oct 2017 | 2 | 1.4% | +3.0% | +10.4% |
| Oct 2017 | Nov 2018 | 54 | 24.2% | +1.4% | +10.2% |
| Nov 2018 | Nov 2018 | 1 | 1.3% | -0.8% | +7.7% |
| Dec 2018 | Jan 2019 | 7 | 14.8% | -3.7% | +9.5% |
| Feb 2019 | Apr 2019 | 5 | 3.4% | -14.7% | +6.9% |
| May 2019 | Jun 2019 | 1 | 1.4% | -54.8% | +8.1% |
| Jun 2019 | Jul 2019 | 1 | 0.4% | -51.3% | +6.9% |
| Jul 2019 | Jul 2019 | 1 | 2.5% | -53.0% | +9.1% |
| Aug 2019 | Sep 2019 | 2 | 1.1% | -56.1% | +7.5% |
| Nov 2019 | May 2021 | 79 | 59.7% | -43.7% | +8.6% |
| Jun 2021 | Jun 2021 | 1 | 2.5% | -22.4% | +32.0% |
| Jul 2021 | Jul 2021 | 2 | 1.9% | -22.0% | +30.3% |
| Aug 2021 | Aug 2021 | 1 | 3.2% | -13.7% | +34.1% |
| Sep 2021 | Sep 2021 | 3 | 5.6% | -15.0% | +37.9% |
| Dec 2021 | Dec 2021 | 1 | 2.3% | -27.4% | +33.9% |
| Jan 2022 | Feb 2022 | 4 | 7.8% | -22.3% | +35.0% |
| May 2022 | Nov 2023 | 82 | 34.9% | -29.3% | +34.7% |
| Average | 22 | — | +-13.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AKR below its 200-week moving average?
No. Acadia Realty Trust (AKR) is currently 30.7% above its 200-week moving average of $17.19. It would need to fall to $17.19 to cross below the line.
What is AKR's 200-week moving average price?
Acadia Realty Trust's 200-week moving average is $17.19 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when AKR drops below its 200-week moving average?
AKR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 30 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -13.8%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 22 weeks on average.
Is AKR a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about AKR as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 63. Free cash flow yield is 5.7%. Return on equity is 5.7%. Price-to-book is 1.3x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does AKR compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 32.2 years, $100 invested in AKR would have grown to $809, compared to $2882 for the S&P 500. That's 6.7% annualized vs 11.0% for the index. AKR has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does AKR pay a dividend?
Yes. Acadia Realty Trust currently pays a dividend yield of 357.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31