AKR

Acadia Realty Trust Real Estate - Retail Investor Relations →

NO
13.2% ABOVE
↓ Approaching Was 16.4% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Signal Threshold $17.46
14-Week RSI 33
Rel. Volume (14w) This week's trading vs. the 14-week average 0.8x
Buyers vs. Sellers (14w) Are up-weeks or down-weeks getting more volume? 1.01

Acadia Realty Trust (AKR) closed at $19.77 as of 2026-09-11, trading 13.2% above its 200-week moving average of $17.46. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 16.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 33, indicating neutral momentum.

Trading volume is running at 0.8x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.01 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.

Over the past 1689 weeks of data, AKR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 30 times. On average, these episodes lasted 22 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -13.8%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.

With a market cap of $2.9 billion, AKR is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 6.5%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 5.7%. The stock trades at 1.2x book value.

Share count has increased 37.8% over three years, indicating dilution.

Over the past 32.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in AKR would have grown to $712, compared to $2948 for the S&P 500. AKR has returned 6.2% annualized vs 11.0% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been growing at a 7.8% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.

Business Health

Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.

Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)

Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy

Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)

ROIC Return on invested capital (%)

FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal

Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)

Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)

Growth of $100: AKR vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After AKR Crosses Below the Line?

Across 30 historical episodes, buying AKR when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -12.0% after 12 months (median -4.0%), compared to +11.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 33% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -5.8% vs +34.6% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment AKR crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

Bean Score Experimental

The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices AKR would reach each dislocation threshold.

Current Bean Score +2.03σ
Current FCF Yield 6.11%
Baseline Yield 5.68%
Historical σ 0.39pp

Dislocation Price Levels

Prices where AKR's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-10-27.

LevelσPriceSignal
Deep Value+2σ$19.81Unusually cheap — analysis point
Value+1σ$21.15Cheap vs. own history
Fair Value+0σ$22.68Historical mean behavior
Expensive-1σ$24.46Expensive vs. own history
Deep Expensive-2σ$26.54Unusually expensive — analysis point

Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end

Recent Earnings

DateEPS Est.EPS ActualSurprise
2026-07-28$0.04$0.07+68.2%
2026-04-28$0.05$0.03-23.8%
2026-02-10$0.07$0.10+44.6%
2025-10-28$0.07$0.09+28.1%
Data depth: 2 quarterly baselines, 23 price observations — Limited history (4+ quarters preferred for reliability)

Signal Accuracy Collecting Data

The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"

12 / 13 weeks minimum

the write-ups I read Simply Wall St · Visual company reports and write-ups. Free tier covers five reports a month. referral

Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.

Dislocation Scores Experimental

Each score measures deviation from AKR's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.

⚠ Earnings quality deteriorating — net income is outrunning free cash flow vs this company's own norm. Cheapness signals here deserve extra scrutiny.
Yield Dislocation -0.46σ Dividend yield vs own 10-yr norm
Drawdown Score +0.02σ Distance from line vs own history
Sector-Relative N/A Vs sector median this week
Buyback Acceleration -1.8pp YoY share change vs own 3-yr pace (− = accelerating)
Insider Intensity N/A TTM buys / market cap, percentile of buyers
FCF Yield vs History -1.8pp Vs own recent annual mean
Earnings Quality Deteriorating Accrual gap trend (+5.1pp of revenue)

Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.

Historical Touches

AKR has crossed below its 200-week MA 30 times with an average 1-year return of +-13.8% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
May 1994May 19955315.8%-6.4%+617.3%
Jun 1995Jul 199553.7%-11.0%+631.8%
Aug 1995Feb 19962719.5%+0.1%+624.8%
Mar 1996Oct 19963216.4%+5.8%+649.1%
Nov 1996Jan 1997106.5%-9.1%+650.3%
May 1997Dec 200018545.2%-19.1%+654.0%
Dec 2000Jan 200123.9%+20.7%+960.3%
Oct 2008Apr 20108055.5%-12.1%+119.8%
May 2010Jun 201056.1%+22.0%+110.5%
Jun 2010Jul 201059.3%+19.6%+107.0%
Aug 2010Aug 201032.8%+18.8%+105.2%
May 2017Jul 2017125.4%-12.7%-1.9%
Aug 2017Sep 201741.6%-3.9%-3.1%
Sep 2017Oct 201721.4%+3.0%-2.9%
Oct 2017Nov 20185424.2%+1.4%-3.0%
Nov 2018Nov 201811.3%-0.8%-5.3%
Dec 2018Jan 2019714.8%-3.7%-3.6%
Feb 2019Apr 201953.4%-14.7%-5.9%
May 2019Jun 201911.4%-54.8%-4.9%
Jun 2019Jul 201910.4%-51.3%-6.0%
Jul 2019Jul 201912.5%-53.0%-4.0%
Aug 2019Sep 201921.1%-56.1%-5.4%
Nov 2019May 20217959.7%-43.7%-4.5%
Jun 2021Jun 202112.5%-22.4%+16.2%
Jul 2021Jul 202121.9%-22.0%+14.6%
Aug 2021Aug 202113.2%-13.7%+18.0%
Sep 2021Sep 202135.6%-15.0%+21.4%
Dec 2021Dec 202112.3%-27.4%+17.8%
Jan 2022Feb 202247.8%-22.3%+18.8%
May 2022Nov 20238234.9%-29.3%+18.5%
Average22+-13.8%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is AKR below its 200-week moving average?

No. Acadia Realty Trust (AKR) is currently 13.2% above its 200-week moving average of $17.46. It would need to fall to $17.46 to cross below the line.

What is AKR's 200-week moving average price?

Acadia Realty Trust's 200-week moving average is $17.46 as of 2026-09-11. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.

What happens when AKR drops below its 200-week moving average?

AKR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 30 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -13.8%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 22 weeks on average.

Is AKR a good value right now?

Here's what our data says about AKR as of 2026-09-11: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 33. Free cash flow yield is 6.5%. Return on equity is 5.7%. Price-to-book is 1.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.

How does AKR compare to the S&P 500?

Over the past 32.4 years, $100 invested in AKR would have grown to $712, compared to $2948 for the S&P 500. That's 6.2% annualized vs 11.0% for the index. AKR has underperformed the broader market over this period.

Does AKR pay a dividend?

Yes. Acadia Realty Trust currently pays a dividend yield of 402.00%.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of week of 2026-09-11