AKAM
Akamai Technologies Inc. Technology - Cloud Services Investor Relations →
Akamai Technologies Inc. (AKAM) closed at $124.91 as of 2026-06-19, trading 32.3% above its 200-week moving average of $94.41. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 41.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 57, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.8x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.09 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1342 weeks of data, AKAM has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times. On average, these episodes lasted 22 weeks. Historically, investors who bought AKAM at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +7.3%.
With a market cap of $18.2 billion, AKAM is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.9%. Return on equity stands at 9.2%. The stock trades at 3.7x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 7.5% over the past three years.
Over the past 25.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in AKAM would have grown to $232, compared to $828 for the S&P 500. AKAM has returned 3.3% annualized vs 8.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 2 open-market purchases totaling $3,829,944.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -5% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: AKAM vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After AKAM Crosses Below the Line?
Across 24 historical episodes, buying AKAM when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +7.0% after 12 months (median +17.0%), compared to +10.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 57% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +34.8% vs +30.3% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment AKAM crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices AKAM would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where AKAM's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-08-06.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $95.36 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $111.70 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $134.79 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $169.91 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $229.79 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from AKAM's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
AKAM has crossed below its 200-week MA 24 times with an average 1-year return of +7.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2000 | May 2004 | 188 | 98.7% | -89.5% | +245.2% |
| Jan 2008 | Jan 2008 | 2 | 3.3% | -45.0% | +353.9% |
| Jul 2008 | Apr 2010 | 88 | 66.0% | -30.0% | +431.5% |
| Jun 2011 | Jun 2011 | 3 | 4.5% | +2.3% | +324.1% |
| Jul 2011 | Oct 2011 | 16 | 33.6% | +0.8% | +318.5% |
| Nov 2011 | Dec 2011 | 5 | 11.4% | +29.1% | +346.6% |
| May 2012 | Jun 2012 | 3 | 4.9% | +66.9% | +339.1% |
| Jul 2012 | Jul 2012 | 1 | 0.3% | +49.8% | +317.6% |
| Apr 2013 | Apr 2013 | 1 | 1.4% | +61.8% | +272.3% |
| Dec 2015 | Dec 2015 | 1 | 0.1% | +25.3% | +141.1% |
| Jan 2016 | Feb 2016 | 6 | 17.4% | +45.1% | +159.7% |
| Apr 2016 | Jun 2016 | 12 | 7.0% | +10.9% | +138.5% |
| Jul 2016 | Aug 2016 | 4 | 7.7% | -7.2% | +147.2% |
| Sep 2016 | Oct 2016 | 6 | 7.8% | -12.4% | +137.9% |
| Apr 2017 | Apr 2017 | 2 | 1.2% | +19.3% | +115.0% |
| May 2017 | Dec 2017 | 33 | 23.9% | +38.1% | +139.6% |
| Oct 2018 | Oct 2018 | 1 | 0.6% | +43.9% | +101.6% |
| Dec 2018 | Jan 2019 | 3 | 4.8% | +45.3% | +108.9% |
| May 2022 | May 2022 | 1 | 0.0% | -17.6% | +31.0% |
| Jun 2022 | Aug 2023 | 60 | 27.6% | +2.2% | +39.5% |
| Apr 2024 | Aug 2024 | 18 | 12.9% | -27.6% | +23.1% |
| Sep 2024 | Sep 2024 | 3 | 4.8% | -18.6% | +29.4% |
| Oct 2024 | Jan 2026 | 63 | 26.8% | -25.3% | +24.2% |
| Apr 2026 | Apr 2026 | 1 | 1.3% | N/A | +36.7% |
| Average | 22 | — | +7.3% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AKAM below its 200-week moving average?
No. Akamai Technologies Inc. (AKAM) is currently 32.3% above its 200-week moving average of $94.41. It would need to fall to $94.41 to cross below the line.
What is AKAM's 200-week moving average price?
Akamai Technologies Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $94.41 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when AKAM drops below its 200-week moving average?
AKAM has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +7.3%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 22 weeks on average.
Is AKAM a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about AKAM as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 57. Free cash flow yield is 3.9%. Return on equity is 9.2%. Price-to-book is 3.7x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does AKAM compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 25.8 years, $100 invested in AKAM would have grown to $232, compared to $828 for the S&P 500. That's 3.3% annualized vs 8.6% for the index. AKAM has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19