AIV
Apartment Investment and Management Co. Real Estate - Residential Investor Relations →
Apartment Investment and Management Co. (AIV) closed at $2.90 as of 2026-06-19, trading 1.4% above its 200-week moving average of $2.86. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 0.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 49, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.4x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.90 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1617 weeks of data, AIV has crossed below its 200-week moving average 20 times. On average, these episodes lasted 12 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -3.7%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $417 million, AIV is a small-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 9.6%. The stock trades at 1.1x book value.
Over the past 31.1 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in AIV would have grown to $2180, compared to $2363 for the S&P 500. AIV has returned 10.4% annualized vs 10.7% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: AIV vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After AIV Crosses Below the Line?
Across 19 historical episodes, buying AIV when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -1.1% after 12 months (median +5.0%), compared to +8.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 56% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +19.2% vs +23.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment AIV crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. AIV currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from AIV's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
AIV has crossed below its 200-week MA 20 times with an average 1-year return of +-3.7% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2002 | Nov 2002 | 5 | 6.6% | +23.3% | +615.5% |
| Dec 2002 | Dec 2002 | 4 | 2.6% | -0.7% | +594.6% |
| Jan 2003 | Apr 2003 | 13 | 5.5% | -0.7% | +596.1% |
| May 2003 | Jul 2003 | 11 | 5.8% | -14.3% | +590.6% |
| Aug 2003 | Aug 2003 | 1 | 0.5% | -4.7% | +575.9% |
| Nov 2003 | Aug 2004 | 42 | 21.9% | +10.2% | +567.9% |
| Nov 2007 | Nov 2007 | 3 | 4.1% | -50.0% | +401.9% |
| Dec 2007 | Jan 2008 | 6 | 11.3% | -57.3% | +429.8% |
| Feb 2008 | Apr 2008 | 12 | 10.2% | -70.6% | +385.6% |
| Jun 2008 | Jul 2008 | 7 | 11.5% | -57.3% | +362.9% |
| Sep 2008 | Apr 2010 | 82 | 80.6% | -46.7% | +353.1% |
| May 2010 | Jun 2010 | 5 | 7.2% | +24.1% | +445.6% |
| Jun 2010 | Jul 2010 | 4 | 11.4% | +20.3% | +443.9% |
| Aug 2010 | Aug 2010 | 3 | 5.1% | +24.0% | +468.9% |
| Mar 2020 | Nov 2020 | 37 | 37.9% | +101.7% | +203.3% |
| Oct 2023 | Nov 2023 | 4 | 9.0% | +39.7% | +31.5% |
| Oct 2025 | Nov 2025 | 3 | 25.7% | N/A | +40.3% |
| Feb 2026 | Mar 2026 | 1 | 18.6% | N/A | +25.9% |
| Mar 2026 | Apr 2026 | 4 | 3.3% | N/A | +2.8% |
| Jun 2026 | Jun 2026 | 1 | 26.4% | N/A | +37.5% |
| Average | 12 | — | +-3.7% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AIV below its 200-week moving average?
No. Apartment Investment and Management Co. (AIV) is currently 1.4% above its 200-week moving average of $2.86. It would need to fall to $2.86 to cross below the line.
What is AIV's 200-week moving average price?
Apartment Investment and Management Co.'s 200-week moving average is $2.86 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when AIV drops below its 200-week moving average?
AIV has crossed below its 200-week moving average 20 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -3.7%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 12 weeks on average.
Is AIV a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about AIV as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 49. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 9.6%. Price-to-book is 1.1x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does AIV compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 31.1 years, $100 invested in AIV would have grown to $2180, compared to $2363 for the S&P 500. That's 10.4% annualized vs 10.7% for the index. AIV has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19