AIT
Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. Industrials - Industrial Distribution Investor Relations →
Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. (AIT) closed at $337.96 as of 2026-06-19, trading 68.4% above its 200-week moving average of $200.69. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 60.4% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 93, AIT is in overbought territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.6x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.92 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2365 weeks of data, AIT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 39 times. On average, these episodes lasted 12 weeks. Historically, investors who bought AIT at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +20.8%.
With a market cap of $12.5 billion, AIT is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 2.7%. Return on equity stands at 21.9%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 6.7x book value.
AIT passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in AIT would have grown to $15895, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 16.3% vs 10.8% for the index — confirming AIT as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 40% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: AIT vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After AIT Crosses Below the Line?
Across 26 historical episodes, buying AIT when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +28.7% after 12 months (median +27.0%), compared to +13.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 79% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +69.1% vs +25.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment AIT crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices AIT would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where AIT's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-03-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $260.46 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $273.76 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $288.49 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $304.89 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $323.28 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from AIT's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
AIT has crossed below its 200-week MA 39 times with an average 1-year return of +20.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1981 | Mar 1981 | 3 | 7.4% | +23.4% | +37905.8% |
| Jul 1981 | Aug 1981 | 2 | 1.1% | +11.2% | +34754.1% |
| Sep 1981 | Sep 1981 | 2 | 2.6% | +15.9% | +35447.8% |
| Jun 1982 | Jun 1982 | 2 | 0.6% | +43.7% | +33133.0% |
| Aug 1982 | Aug 1982 | 4 | 2.6% | +33.0% | +33133.0% |
| Jun 1984 | Jul 1984 | 7 | 3.8% | +18.8% | +29671.2% |
| Apr 1985 | May 1985 | 1 | 2.2% | +23.5% | +27920.0% |
| Sep 1985 | Nov 1985 | 8 | 3.6% | +8.5% | +27594.2% |
| Jul 1986 | Jan 1987 | 23 | 8.4% | +26.1% | +26168.7% |
| Jan 1987 | Feb 1987 | 1 | 0.4% | +30.4% | +25237.2% |
| Mar 1987 | Mar 1987 | 1 | 0.0% | +40.4% | +25058.8% |
| Oct 1987 | Dec 1987 | 9 | 12.3% | +71.5% | +27171.4% |
| Aug 1990 | Apr 1991 | 36 | 33.3% | +5.4% | +17258.2% |
| May 1991 | May 1991 | 2 | 1.1% | -3.0% | +16684.6% |
| Jul 1991 | Jan 1992 | 24 | 17.8% | -12.7% | +16753.5% |
| Feb 1992 | Feb 1992 | 1 | 2.0% | +5.0% | +16309.7% |
| Apr 1992 | Apr 1992 | 1 | 0.1% | +14.6% | +16005.1% |
| Apr 1992 | Nov 1992 | 28 | 19.9% | +17.4% | +16580.3% |
| Jul 1998 | Aug 1998 | 2 | 12.0% | -15.3% | +7215.8% |
| Aug 1998 | Dec 2000 | 119 | 37.9% | -13.2% | +7561.0% |
| Jan 2001 | Apr 2001 | 12 | 9.5% | +5.9% | +7100.4% |
| May 2001 | May 2001 | 1 | 0.3% | +20.4% | +6870.3% |
| Sep 2001 | Oct 2001 | 1 | 0.1% | +2.9% | +7159.8% |
| Oct 2001 | Nov 2001 | 4 | 2.3% | +11.3% | +7376.7% |
| Jul 2002 | Aug 2002 | 3 | 6.1% | +48.0% | +7651.3% |
| Aug 2002 | Sep 2002 | 1 | 0.9% | +46.7% | +7423.3% |
| Jan 2003 | Feb 2003 | 3 | 3.0% | +66.1% | +7301.6% |
| Feb 2003 | Mar 2003 | 2 | 3.2% | +29.7% | +7072.9% |
| Jun 2008 | Jul 2008 | 2 | 3.0% | -15.4% | +1934.5% |
| Sep 2008 | Jan 2010 | 66 | 38.5% | -16.2% | +1841.6% |
| Jan 2010 | Mar 2010 | 6 | 8.6% | +39.2% | +1849.5% |
| Jan 2015 | Feb 2015 | 3 | 1.4% | -4.1% | +907.1% |
| Jun 2015 | Mar 2016 | 39 | 11.2% | +11.5% | +877.4% |
| Dec 2018 | Dec 2018 | 2 | 1.2% | +28.6% | +602.6% |
| May 2019 | Jun 2019 | 3 | 1.7% | -7.0% | +572.6% |
| Aug 2019 | Oct 2019 | 12 | 8.5% | +24.2% | +565.1% |
| Mar 2020 | Jun 2020 | 13 | 40.3% | +66.9% | +545.0% |
| Jun 2020 | Jun 2020 | 1 | 0.5% | +54.1% | +510.8% |
| Sep 2020 | Oct 2020 | 4 | 10.5% | +52.2% | +524.2% |
| Average | 12 | — | +20.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AIT below its 200-week moving average?
No. Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. (AIT) is currently 68.4% above its 200-week moving average of $200.69. It would need to fall to $200.69 to cross below the line.
What is AIT's 200-week moving average price?
Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $200.69 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when AIT drops below its 200-week moving average?
AIT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 39 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +20.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 12 weeks on average.
Is AIT a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about AIT as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 93 (overbought). Free cash flow yield is 2.7%. Return on equity is 21.9%. Price-to-book is 6.7x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does AIT compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in AIT would have grown to $15895, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's 16.3% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. AIT has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does AIT pay a dividend?
Yes. Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 63.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19