AIN
Albany International Corp. Industrials - Aerospace Composites Investor Relations →
Albany International Corp. (AIN) closed at $74.51 as of 2026-07-31, trading 2.7% below its 200-week moving average of $76.55. This places AIN in the below line zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -1.4% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 80, AIN is in overbought territory.
Trading volume is running at 0.8x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.28 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1978 weeks of data, AIN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 28 times. On average, these episodes lasted 20 weeks. Historically, investors who bought AIN at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +5.5%.
With a market cap of $2.1 billion, AIN is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 1.5%. Return on equity stands at -7.2%. The stock trades at 2.9x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 9.0% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in AIN would have grown to $870, compared to $3098 for the S&P 500. AIN has returned 6.7% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 36.5% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: AIN vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After AIN Crosses Below the Line?
Across 24 historical episodes, buying AIN when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +4.1% after 12 months (median +11.0%), compared to +7.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 52% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +20.9% vs +19.1% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment AIN crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices AIN would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where AIN's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-03-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $48.70 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $53.37 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $59.03 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $66.02 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $74.90 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from AIN's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
AIN has crossed below its 200-week MA 28 times with an average 1-year return of +5.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1988 | Dec 1988 | 3 | 2.3% | +27.1% | +815.4% |
| Mar 1990 | Apr 1990 | 3 | 3.8% | -10.4% | +715.5% |
| Apr 1990 | May 1990 | 4 | 3.1% | -13.0% | +728.0% |
| Jun 1990 | May 1991 | 51 | 43.1% | +4.3% | +730.1% |
| Nov 1991 | Dec 1991 | 6 | 10.1% | -11.8% | +736.4% |
| Jun 1992 | Mar 1993 | 41 | 26.0% | +9.9% | +751.5% |
| Jan 1996 | Jan 1996 | 1 | 1.0% | +31.1% | +586.5% |
| Aug 1996 | Aug 1996 | 1 | 0.1% | +44.0% | +551.7% |
| Jul 1998 | Apr 1999 | 37 | 21.5% | -9.6% | +456.5% |
| Jul 1999 | Feb 2001 | 86 | 47.6% | -29.9% | +433.1% |
| Mar 2001 | Apr 2001 | 6 | 6.0% | +65.8% | +527.6% |
| Sep 2001 | Oct 2001 | 4 | 17.4% | +35.1% | +634.2% |
| Oct 2002 | Oct 2002 | 1 | 2.1% | +82.5% | +505.7% |
| Nov 2006 | Dec 2006 | 2 | 2.1% | +16.6% | +229.8% |
| Jan 2008 | Jan 2008 | 3 | 4.8% | -60.0% | +204.3% |
| Feb 2008 | Mar 2008 | 3 | 1.8% | -74.4% | +200.6% |
| Apr 2008 | Apr 2008 | 1 | 0.7% | -73.4% | +200.7% |
| May 2008 | Dec 2010 | 135 | 84.0% | -67.0% | +203.3% |
| Jan 2011 | Jan 2011 | 1 | 0.4% | +5.7% | +311.5% |
| Mar 2011 | Mar 2011 | 1 | 0.4% | +7.2% | +319.1% |
| Aug 2011 | Oct 2011 | 9 | 14.3% | N/A | +359.8% |
| May 2012 | Jul 2012 | 10 | 6.3% | +83.0% | +405.4% |
| Sep 2015 | Oct 2015 | 4 | 5.1% | +41.9% | +193.3% |
| Mar 2020 | Nov 2020 | 35 | 38.3% | +98.0% | +83.9% |
| Jun 2024 | Jun 2024 | 1 | 0.0% | -18.2% | -7.5% |
| Jul 2024 | Jul 2024 | 1 | 1.7% | -11.2% | -6.6% |
| Sep 2024 | Sep 2024 | 2 | 0.9% | -25.2% | -9.2% |
| Sep 2024 | Ongoing | 96+ | 44.6% | Ongoing | -1.2% |
| Average | 20 | — | +5.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AIN below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-07-31, Albany International Corp. (AIN) is trading 2.7% below its 200-week moving average of $76.55. The current price is $74.51.
What is AIN's 200-week moving average price?
Albany International Corp.'s 200-week moving average is $76.55 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when AIN drops below its 200-week moving average?
AIN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 28 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +5.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 20 weeks on average.
Is AIN a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about AIN as of 2026-07-31: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 80 (overbought). Free cash flow yield is 1.5%. Return on equity is -7.2%. Price-to-book is 2.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does AIN compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.6 years, $100 invested in AIN would have grown to $870, compared to $3098 for the S&P 500. That's 6.7% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. AIN has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does AIN pay a dividend?
Yes. Albany International Corp. currently pays a dividend yield of 151.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31