AIG
American International Group Inc. Financial Services - Insurance Investor Relations →
American International Group Inc. (AIG) closed at $76.72 as of 2026-02-02, trading 16.4% above its 200-week moving average of $65.92. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 13.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 47, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 2722 weeks of data, AIG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 25 times. On average, these episodes lasted 30 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -7.0%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $42.5 billion, AIG is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 21.4%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 7.7%. The stock trades at 1.0x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 26.0% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in AIG would have grown to $54, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. AIG has returned -1.9% annualized vs 10.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 7 open-market purchases totaling $876,460.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -19.3% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: AIG vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After AIG Crosses Below the Line?
Across 14 historical episodes, buying AIG when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -31.7% after 12 months (median -21.0%), compared to +3.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 14% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -24.7% vs +15.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment AIG crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
AIG has crossed below its 200-week MA 25 times with an average 1-year return of +-7.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1973 | Jan 1974 | 5 | 8.8% | -29.4% | +596.7% |
| Jan 1974 | Apr 1975 | 63 | 52.7% | -22.4% | +599.2% |
| Aug 1975 | Jan 1976 | 21 | 19.1% | +4.0% | +667.1% |
| Mar 1976 | Dec 1977 | 92 | 22.3% | -20.1% | +659.5% |
| Jan 1978 | Jan 1978 | 3 | 3.8% | +42.7% | +766.8% |
| Feb 1978 | Mar 1978 | 1 | 1.1% | +32.9% | +749.0% |
| Mar 1978 | Apr 1978 | 1 | 3.2% | +42.7% | +766.8% |
| Mar 1984 | Mar 1984 | 2 | 3.3% | +39.5% | +222.5% |
| Jul 1984 | Jul 1984 | 1 | 3.7% | +63.2% | +211.8% |
| Mar 1988 | May 1988 | 9 | 6.7% | +48.4% | +51.7% |
| Oct 1990 | Oct 1990 | 2 | 1.6% | +34.7% | +6.3% |
| Apr 2002 | Feb 2004 | 94 | 36.2% | -24.0% | -90.8% |
| Mar 2004 | Mar 2004 | 1 | 1.7% | -20.4% | -90.8% |
| May 2004 | May 2004 | 3 | 1.4% | -22.7% | -90.9% |
| Jul 2004 | Aug 2004 | 6 | 5.1% | -13.6% | -90.8% |
| Sep 2004 | Jan 2005 | 19 | 20.2% | -12.4% | -90.7% |
| Feb 2005 | Oct 2005 | 33 | 23.5% | +1.5% | -90.1% |
| May 2006 | Aug 2006 | 13 | 6.7% | +19.3% | -89.6% |
| Jul 2007 | Aug 2007 | 1 | 4.5% | -55.8% | -89.8% |
| Sep 2007 | Sep 2007 | 1 | 1.9% | -64.3% | -90.1% |
| Oct 2007 | Jun 2012 | 245 | 99.3% | -96.6% | -90.1% |
| Feb 2018 | Jul 2019 | 70 | 32.9% | -21.5% | +67.1% |
| Aug 2019 | Sep 2019 | 2 | 2.7% | -44.2% | +72.9% |
| Oct 2019 | Oct 2019 | 1 | 0.7% | -36.2% | +70.9% |
| Nov 2019 | Mar 2021 | 66 | 63.0% | -21.5% | +71.4% |
| Average | 30 | — | +-7.0% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02