AHH
Armada Hoffler Properties, Inc. Real Estate - REIT - Diversified Investor Relations →
Armada Hoffler Properties, Inc. (AHH) closed at $6.08 as of 2026-05-01, trading 28.3% below its 200-week moving average of $8.48. This places AHH in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -29.0% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 42, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.5x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.14 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 629 weeks of data, AHH has crossed below its 200-week moving average 11 times. On average, these episodes lasted 20 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -2.0%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $648 million, AHH is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 28.1%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at -0.1%. The stock trades at 1.1x book value.
Share count has increased 18.4% over three years, indicating dilution. This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.
Over the past 12.1 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in AHH would have grown to $132, compared to $468 for the S&P 500. AHH has returned 2.3% annualized vs 13.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -18.1% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: AHH vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After AHH Crosses Below the Line?
Across 11 historical episodes, buying AHH when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -0.9% after 12 months (median -5.0%), compared to +23.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 45% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +5.4% vs +42.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment AHH crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
AHH has crossed below its 200-week MA 11 times with an average 1-year return of +-2.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2014 | Dec 2014 | 33 | 6.7% | +16.7% | +31.3% |
| Mar 2020 | Feb 2021 | 50 | 47.0% | +14.6% | -28.9% |
| Mar 2021 | Mar 2021 | 1 | 1.3% | +20.9% | -31.7% |
| Jun 2022 | Jun 2022 | 1 | 1.0% | +3.2% | -35.5% |
| Sep 2022 | Jan 2023 | 19 | 17.9% | -3.8% | -36.0% |
| Mar 2023 | Jul 2023 | 17 | 7.1% | -4.9% | -34.8% |
| Aug 2023 | Nov 2023 | 15 | 10.5% | +9.4% | -33.6% |
| Feb 2024 | Apr 2024 | 10 | 5.1% | -9.5% | -31.5% |
| Sep 2024 | Sep 2024 | 1 | 0.7% | -32.8% | -35.8% |
| Oct 2024 | Nov 2024 | 1 | 1.1% | -34.2% | -35.9% |
| Dec 2024 | Ongoing | 74+ | 41.5% | Ongoing | -36.6% |
| Average | 20 | — | +-2.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AHH below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-05-01, Armada Hoffler Properties, Inc. (AHH) is trading 28.3% below its 200-week moving average of $8.48. The current price is $6.08.
What is AHH's 200-week moving average price?
Armada Hoffler Properties, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $8.48 as of 2026-05-01. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when AHH drops below its 200-week moving average?
AHH has crossed below its 200-week moving average 11 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -2.0%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 20 weeks on average.
Is AHH a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about AHH as of 2026-05-01: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 42. Free cash flow yield is 28.1%. Return on equity is -0.1%. Price-to-book is 1.1x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does AHH compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 12.1 years, $100 invested in AHH would have grown to $132, compared to $468 for the S&P 500. That's 2.3% annualized vs 13.6% for the index. AHH has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does AHH pay a dividend?
Yes. Armada Hoffler Properties, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 8.92%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-01