AHH
Armada Hoffler Properties, Inc. Real Estate - REIT - Diversified Investor Relations →
Armada Hoffler Properties, Inc. (AHH) closed at $7.18 as of 2026-02-02, trading 19.9% below its 200-week moving average of $8.97. This places AHH in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -22.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 65, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 617 weeks of data, AHH has crossed below its 200-week moving average 11 times. On average, these episodes lasted 19 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -2.0%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $744 million, AHH is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 15.4%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 3.6%. The stock trades at 1.2x book value.
Share count has increased 26.5% over three years, indicating dilution. This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.
Over the past 11.9 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in AHH would have grown to $154, compared to $448 for the S&P 500. AHH has returned 3.7% annualized vs 13.4% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 7.1% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Growth of $100: AHH vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After AHH Crosses Below the Line?
Across 11 historical episodes, buying AHH when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -0.9% after 12 months (median -5.0%), compared to +23.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 45% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +6.8% vs +42.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment AHH crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
AHH has crossed below its 200-week MA 11 times with an average 1-year return of +-2.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2014 | Dec 2014 | 33 | 6.7% | +16.7% | +53.1% |
| Mar 2020 | Feb 2021 | 50 | 46.9% | +14.6% | -18.2% |
| Mar 2021 | Mar 2021 | 1 | 1.3% | +20.9% | -21.4% |
| Jun 2022 | Jun 2022 | 1 | 1.0% | +3.2% | -25.7% |
| Sep 2022 | Jan 2023 | 19 | 17.9% | -3.8% | -26.3% |
| Mar 2023 | Jul 2023 | 17 | 7.1% | -4.9% | -24.9% |
| Aug 2023 | Nov 2023 | 15 | 10.5% | +9.4% | -23.6% |
| Feb 2024 | Apr 2024 | 10 | 5.1% | -9.5% | -21.1% |
| Sep 2024 | Sep 2024 | 1 | 0.7% | -32.8% | -26.2% |
| Oct 2024 | Nov 2024 | 1 | 1.1% | -34.2% | -26.3% |
| Dec 2024 | Ongoing | 62+ | 35.4% | Ongoing | -27.1% |
| Average | 19 | — | +-2.0% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02