AHH
Armada Hoffler Properties, Inc. Real Estate - REIT - Diversified Investor Relations →
Armada Hoffler Properties, Inc. (AHH) closed at $5.71 as of 2026-03-20, trading 35.4% below its 200-week moving average of $8.84. This places AHH in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -38.2% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 35, indicating neutral momentum.
A big jump in activity this week — 4.0x the usual volume, and the price went up. Significantly more people than usual decided to buy. This kind of surge, especially on a stock already below its 200-week average, can be an early sign that sentiment is shifting.
Over the past 623 weeks of data, AHH has crossed below its 200-week moving average 11 times. On average, these episodes lasted 20 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -2.0%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $648 million, AHH is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 28.1%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at -0.1%. The stock trades at 1.1x book value.
Share count has increased 18.4% over three years, indicating dilution. This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.
Over the past 12 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in AHH would have grown to $121, compared to $422 for the S&P 500. AHH has returned 1.6% annualized vs 12.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -18.1% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: AHH vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After AHH Crosses Below the Line?
Across 11 historical episodes, buying AHH when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -0.9% after 12 months (median -5.0%), compared to +23.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 45% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +5.4% vs +42.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment AHH crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
AHH has crossed below its 200-week MA 11 times with an average 1-year return of +-2.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2014 | Dec 2014 | 33 | 6.7% | +16.7% | +20.2% |
| Mar 2020 | Feb 2021 | 50 | 47.0% | +14.6% | -35.0% |
| Mar 2021 | Mar 2021 | 1 | 1.3% | +20.9% | -37.5% |
| Jun 2022 | Jun 2022 | 1 | 1.0% | +3.2% | -40.9% |
| Sep 2022 | Jan 2023 | 19 | 17.9% | -3.8% | -41.4% |
| Mar 2023 | Jul 2023 | 17 | 7.1% | -4.9% | -40.3% |
| Aug 2023 | Nov 2023 | 15 | 10.5% | +9.4% | -39.2% |
| Feb 2024 | Apr 2024 | 10 | 5.1% | -9.5% | -37.3% |
| Sep 2024 | Sep 2024 | 1 | 0.7% | -32.8% | -41.3% |
| Oct 2024 | Nov 2024 | 1 | 1.1% | -34.2% | -41.4% |
| Dec 2024 | Ongoing | 68+ | 38.2% | Ongoing | -42.0% |
| Average | 20 | — | +-2.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AHH below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-03-20, Armada Hoffler Properties, Inc. (AHH) is trading 35.4% below its 200-week moving average of $8.84. The current price is $5.71.
What is AHH's 200-week moving average price?
Armada Hoffler Properties, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $8.84 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when AHH drops below its 200-week moving average?
AHH has crossed below its 200-week moving average 11 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -2.0%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 20 weeks on average.
Is AHH a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about AHH as of 2026-03-20: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 35. Free cash flow yield is 28.1%. Return on equity is -0.1%. Price-to-book is 1.1x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does AHH compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 12 years, $100 invested in AHH would have grown to $121, compared to $422 for the S&P 500. That's 1.6% annualized vs 12.8% for the index. AHH has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does AHH pay a dividend?
Yes. Armada Hoffler Properties, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 8.92%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20