AGCO
AGCO Corporation Industrials - Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery Investor Relations →
AGCO Corporation (AGCO) closed at $118.51 as of 2026-05-01, trading 10.2% above its 200-week moving average of $107.57. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 8.1% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 53, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.0x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.08 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1728 weeks of data, AGCO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times. On average, these episodes lasted 21 weeks. Historically, investors who bought AGCO at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +24.1%.
With a market cap of $8.6 billion, AGCO is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 9.9%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 16.7%, a solid level. The stock trades at 2.0x book value.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in AGCO would have grown to $3033, compared to $2890 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 10.8% vs 10.7% for the index — confirming AGCO as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 18.1% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: AGCO vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After AGCO Crosses Below the Line?
Across 24 historical episodes, buying AGCO when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +24.0% after 12 months (median +24.0%), compared to +15.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 81% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +61.0% vs +32.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment AGCO crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
AGCO has crossed below its 200-week MA 24 times with an average 1-year return of +24.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1998 | Oct 2001 | 178 | 74.4% | -50.3% | +555.0% |
| Mar 2005 | Jun 2005 | 10 | 10.3% | +15.2% | +741.7% |
| Jun 2005 | Jun 2005 | 1 | 0.4% | +22.2% | +705.9% |
| Sep 2005 | Feb 2006 | 22 | 23.5% | +26.0% | +692.4% |
| Mar 2006 | Mar 2006 | 1 | 1.9% | +96.7% | +699.9% |
| Oct 2008 | Sep 2010 | 100 | 57.3% | -12.9% | +394.6% |
| Sep 2010 | Oct 2010 | 1 | 3.5% | -8.5% | +301.1% |
| Aug 2011 | Aug 2011 | 4 | 14.8% | +11.8% | +281.2% |
| Sep 2011 | Oct 2011 | 5 | 14.9% | +24.3% | +302.8% |
| Jul 2014 | Feb 2015 | 28 | 15.4% | +15.1% | +211.2% |
| Mar 2015 | Apr 2015 | 8 | 4.0% | +8.1% | +205.4% |
| Aug 2015 | Nov 2015 | 14 | 11.3% | +3.2% | +203.7% |
| Dec 2015 | Feb 2016 | 12 | 11.3% | +24.4% | +201.8% |
| Apr 2016 | Apr 2016 | 1 | 2.1% | +26.6% | +203.4% |
| May 2016 | May 2016 | 1 | 0.1% | +30.1% | +195.5% |
| Jun 2016 | Oct 2016 | 16 | 6.8% | +39.6% | +204.5% |
| Oct 2016 | Nov 2016 | 1 | 1.4% | +40.5% | +196.2% |
| Oct 2018 | Nov 2018 | 5 | 8.9% | +34.4% | +159.9% |
| Dec 2018 | Dec 2018 | 3 | 5.0% | +41.9% | +162.5% |
| Feb 2020 | Jul 2020 | 22 | 36.3% | +116.2% | +135.2% |
| May 2024 | Jun 2025 | 59 | 27.0% | +2.0% | +12.7% |
| Jul 2025 | Jul 2025 | 1 | 0.2% | N/A | +11.6% |
| Oct 2025 | Oct 2025 | 1 | 3.2% | N/A | +14.8% |
| Oct 2025 | Jan 2026 | 10 | 3.8% | N/A | +15.4% |
| Average | 21 | — | +24.1% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AGCO below its 200-week moving average?
No. AGCO Corporation (AGCO) is currently 10.2% above its 200-week moving average of $107.57. It would need to fall to $107.57 to cross below the line.
What is AGCO's 200-week moving average price?
AGCO Corporation's 200-week moving average is $107.57 as of 2026-05-01. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when AGCO drops below its 200-week moving average?
AGCO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +24.1%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 21 weeks on average.
Is AGCO a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about AGCO as of 2026-05-01: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 53. Free cash flow yield is 9.9%. Return on equity is 16.7%. Price-to-book is 2.0x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does AGCO compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.2 years, $100 invested in AGCO would have grown to $3033, compared to $2890 for the S&P 500. That's 10.8% annualized vs 10.7% for the index. AGCO has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does AGCO pay a dividend?
Yes. AGCO Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 101.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-01