AGCO
AGCO Corporation Industrials - Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery Investor Relations →
AGCO Corporation (AGCO) closed at $132.57 as of 2026-02-02, trading 24.1% above its 200-week moving average of $106.85. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 6.2% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 85, AGCO is in overbought territory.
Over the past 1716 weeks of data, AGCO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times. On average, these episodes lasted 21 weeks. Historically, investors who bought AGCO at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +24.1%.
With a market cap of $9.9 billion, AGCO is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 9.2%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 16.7%, a solid level. The stock trades at 2.3x book value.
Over the past 33 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in AGCO would have grown to $3386, compared to $2770 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 11.3% vs 10.6% for the index — confirming AGCO as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: AGCO vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After AGCO Crosses Below the Line?
Across 24 historical episodes, buying AGCO when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +24.0% after 12 months (median +24.0%), compared to +15.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 81% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +61.0% vs +32.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment AGCO crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
AGCO has crossed below its 200-week MA 24 times with an average 1-year return of +24.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1998 | Oct 2001 | 178 | 74.4% | -50.3% | +631.2% |
| Mar 2005 | Jun 2005 | 10 | 10.3% | +15.2% | +839.6% |
| Jun 2005 | Jun 2005 | 1 | 0.4% | +22.2% | +799.6% |
| Sep 2005 | Feb 2006 | 22 | 23.5% | +26.0% | +784.6% |
| Mar 2006 | Mar 2006 | 1 | 1.9% | +96.7% | +793.0% |
| Oct 2008 | Sep 2010 | 100 | 57.3% | -12.9% | +452.2% |
| Sep 2010 | Oct 2010 | 1 | 3.5% | -8.5% | +347.8% |
| Aug 2011 | Aug 2011 | 4 | 14.8% | +11.8% | +325.6% |
| Sep 2011 | Oct 2011 | 5 | 14.9% | +24.3% | +349.7% |
| Jul 2014 | Feb 2015 | 28 | 15.4% | +15.1% | +247.4% |
| Mar 2015 | Apr 2015 | 8 | 4.0% | +8.1% | +240.9% |
| Aug 2015 | Nov 2015 | 14 | 11.3% | +3.2% | +239.1% |
| Dec 2015 | Feb 2016 | 12 | 11.3% | +24.4% | +236.9% |
| Apr 2016 | Apr 2016 | 1 | 2.1% | +26.6% | +238.7% |
| May 2016 | May 2016 | 1 | 0.1% | +30.1% | +229.9% |
| Jun 2016 | Oct 2016 | 16 | 6.8% | +39.6% | +239.9% |
| Oct 2016 | Nov 2016 | 1 | 1.4% | +40.5% | +230.7% |
| Oct 2018 | Nov 2018 | 5 | 8.9% | +34.4% | +190.1% |
| Dec 2018 | Dec 2018 | 3 | 5.0% | +41.9% | +193.1% |
| Feb 2020 | Jul 2020 | 22 | 36.3% | +116.2% | +162.6% |
| May 2024 | Jun 2025 | 59 | 27.0% | +2.0% | +25.8% |
| Jul 2025 | Jul 2025 | 1 | 0.2% | N/A | +24.5% |
| Oct 2025 | Oct 2025 | 1 | 3.2% | N/A | +28.1% |
| Oct 2025 | Jan 2026 | 10 | 3.8% | N/A | +28.9% |
| Average | 21 | — | +24.1% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02