AEP
American Electric Power Company Inc. Utilities - Electric Investor Relations →
American Electric Power Company Inc. (AEP) closed at $127.69 as of 2026-06-19, trading 37.7% above its 200-week moving average of $92.73. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 39.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 45, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 14 weeks, down-weeks have had more trading volume than up-weeks (0.68 buyers-vs-sellers ratio). That means when people are active, they're more often selling than buying. Sellers are still more in control than buyers.
Over the past 3315 weeks of data, AEP has crossed below its 200-week moving average 32 times. On average, these episodes lasted 23 weeks. Historically, investors who bought AEP at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +3.0%.
With a market cap of $69.5 billion, AEP is a large-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 12.6%. The stock trades at 2.2x book value.
Share count has increased 5.3% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in AEP would have grown to $1817, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. AEP has returned 9.0% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: AEP vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After AEP Crosses Below the Line?
Across 13 historical episodes, buying AEP when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +14.6% after 12 months (median +17.0%), compared to +12.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 77% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +29.8% vs +21.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment AEP crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. AEP currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from AEP's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
AEP has crossed below its 200-week MA 32 times with an average 1-year return of +3.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1962 | Dec 1962 | 1 | 0.1% | +15.6% | +15051.8% |
| Feb 1963 | Mar 1963 | 1 | 1.6% | +28.4% | +15098.5% |
| Feb 1966 | Mar 1966 | 4 | 7.7% | +6.0% | +12559.1% |
| Mar 1966 | Oct 1966 | 31 | 17.1% | +4.7% | +12589.8% |
| Nov 1966 | Jan 1967 | 9 | 3.6% | -10.0% | +12314.4% |
| Feb 1967 | Nov 1968 | 90 | 19.9% | -8.4% | +12175.1% |
| Dec 1968 | Jan 1969 | 7 | 6.2% | -26.1% | +12527.5% |
| Feb 1969 | May 1969 | 13 | 7.9% | -22.1% | +13074.6% |
| May 1969 | Dec 1971 | 133 | 34.0% | -26.3% | +12883.1% |
| Apr 1972 | May 1972 | 4 | 2.7% | -3.2% | +14929.3% |
| May 1972 | Jul 1972 | 6 | 4.4% | +2.7% | +15038.3% |
| Aug 1973 | Aug 1973 | 2 | 1.0% | -26.9% | +15540.3% |
| Nov 1973 | Dec 1973 | 5 | 5.2% | -33.7% | +15530.7% |
| Apr 1974 | Oct 1975 | 78 | 40.0% | -23.6% | +15083.4% |
| Sep 1979 | Apr 1980 | 31 | 15.1% | +0.2% | +11533.6% |
| Aug 1980 | Sep 1980 | 4 | 1.5% | +1.2% | +11274.2% |
| Sep 1980 | Jan 1981 | 15 | 10.9% | +4.4% | +11508.0% |
| Jan 1981 | Jun 1981 | 20 | 9.9% | +12.2% | +11594.0% |
| Aug 1981 | Aug 1981 | 1 | 0.5% | +12.7% | +11136.2% |
| Jun 1994 | Jul 1994 | 2 | 3.1% | +36.5% | +1922.2% |
| Jun 1999 | Sep 2000 | 63 | 30.8% | -11.3% | +961.2% |
| Sep 2000 | Sep 2000 | 1 | 2.7% | +35.6% | +965.9% |
| Jul 2002 | Jan 2004 | 81 | 49.3% | -13.7% | +868.6% |
| Apr 2004 | Jun 2004 | 9 | 7.9% | +15.1% | +887.4% |
| Jun 2004 | Aug 2004 | 5 | 4.4% | +21.2% | +854.3% |
| Sep 2008 | Dec 2009 | 63 | 32.3% | -12.0% | +591.2% |
| Jan 2010 | Jul 2010 | 23 | 9.5% | +8.7% | +593.0% |
| Feb 2021 | Mar 2021 | 1 | 0.0% | +23.7% | +106.1% |
| May 2023 | Jun 2023 | 2 | 1.5% | +12.9% | +73.5% |
| Jun 2023 | Jun 2023 | 1 | 0.1% | +8.8% | +70.9% |
| Jul 2023 | Jan 2024 | 22 | 12.7% | +30.8% | +75.6% |
| Jan 2024 | Feb 2024 | 4 | 6.0% | +30.3% | +79.7% |
| Average | 23 | — | +3.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AEP below its 200-week moving average?
No. American Electric Power Company Inc. (AEP) is currently 37.7% above its 200-week moving average of $92.73. It would need to fall to $92.73 to cross below the line.
What is AEP's 200-week moving average price?
American Electric Power Company Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $92.73 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when AEP drops below its 200-week moving average?
AEP has crossed below its 200-week moving average 32 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +3.0%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 23 weeks on average.
Is AEP a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about AEP as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 45. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 12.6%. Price-to-book is 2.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does AEP compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in AEP would have grown to $1817, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's 9.0% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. AEP has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does AEP pay a dividend?
Yes. American Electric Power Company Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 293.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19