AEP
American Electric Power Company Inc. Utilities - Electric Investor Relations →
American Electric Power Company Inc. (AEP) closed at $120.00 as of 2026-09-18, trading 26.1% above its 200-week moving average of $95.20. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 29.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 41, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.4x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.86 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 3328 weeks of data, AEP has crossed below its 200-week moving average 31 times. On average, these episodes lasted 24 weeks. Historically, investors who bought AEP at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +2.0%.
With a market cap of $65.3 billion, AEP is a large-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 10.1%. The stock trades at 2.0x book value.
Share count has increased 5.3% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 33.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in AEP would have grown to $1720, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. AEP has returned 8.8% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: AEP vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After AEP Crosses Below the Line?
Across 12 historical episodes, buying AEP when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +14.1% after 12 months (median +17.0%), compared to +12.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 75% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +30.8% vs +22.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment AEP crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. AEP currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | $1.48 | $1.36 | -8.2% |
| 2026-05-05 | $1.57 | $1.64 | +4.6% |
| 2026-02-12 | $1.15 | $1.19 | +3.6% |
| 2025-10-29 | $1.81 | $1.80 | -0.3% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from AEP's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
AEP has crossed below its 200-week MA 31 times with an average 1-year return of +2.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1962 | Dec 1962 | 1 | 0.1% | +15.6% | +14247.7% |
| Feb 1963 | Mar 1963 | 1 | 1.6% | +28.4% | +14291.9% |
| Feb 1966 | Mar 1966 | 4 | 7.7% | +6.0% | +11877.4% |
| Mar 1966 | Oct 1966 | 31 | 17.1% | +4.7% | +11916.3% |
| Nov 1966 | Jan 1967 | 9 | 3.6% | -10.0% | +11655.6% |
| Feb 1967 | Nov 1968 | 90 | 19.8% | -8.4% | +11523.7% |
| Dec 1968 | Jan 1969 | 7 | 6.2% | -26.1% | +11857.3% |
| Feb 1969 | May 1969 | 13 | 7.9% | -22.1% | +12375.4% |
| May 1969 | Dec 1971 | 133 | 34.0% | -26.3% | +12194.1% |
| Apr 1972 | May 1972 | 4 | 2.7% | -3.2% | +14131.7% |
| May 1972 | Jul 1972 | 6 | 4.5% | +2.7% | +14234.9% |
| Mar 1973 | Apr 1973 | 2 | 0.1% | +3.8% | +14595.1% |
| Aug 1973 | Aug 1973 | 1 | 0.3% | -34.0% | +14588.1% |
| Nov 1973 | Dec 1973 | 5 | 5.4% | -33.7% | +14701.2% |
| Apr 1974 | Oct 1975 | 79 | 40.1% | -24.2% | +14277.6% |
| Sep 1979 | Apr 1980 | 31 | 15.3% | +0.2% | +10916.2% |
| Aug 1980 | Sep 1980 | 2 | 1.0% | +7.7% | +10577.9% |
| Sep 1980 | Jan 1981 | 15 | 11.0% | +4.4% | +10892.0% |
| Jan 1981 | Jun 1981 | 20 | 7.2% | +12.2% | +10973.4% |
| Jun 1994 | Jul 1994 | 2 | 3.3% | +36.5% | +1814.9% |
| Jun 1999 | Sep 2000 | 63 | 30.9% | -11.3% | +904.9% |
| Sep 2000 | Sep 2000 | 1 | 2.8% | +35.6% | +909.3% |
| Jul 2002 | Jan 2004 | 81 | 49.3% | -13.7% | +817.2% |
| Apr 2004 | Aug 2004 | 16 | 7.0% | +15.1% | +835.0% |
| Sep 2008 | Dec 2009 | 63 | 32.3% | -12.0% | +554.5% |
| Jan 2010 | Jul 2010 | 23 | 9.6% | +8.7% | +556.2% |
| Feb 2021 | Mar 2021 | 1 | 0.1% | +23.7% | +95.2% |
| May 2023 | Jun 2023 | 2 | 1.5% | +12.9% | +64.3% |
| Jun 2023 | Jun 2023 | 1 | 0.2% | +8.8% | +61.8% |
| Jul 2023 | Jan 2024 | 22 | 12.8% | +30.8% | +66.3% |
| Jan 2024 | Feb 2024 | 4 | 5.0% | +30.3% | +70.2% |
| Average | 24 | — | +2.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AEP below its 200-week moving average?
No. American Electric Power Company Inc. (AEP) is currently 26.1% above its 200-week moving average of $95.20. It would need to fall to $95.20 to cross below the line.
What is AEP's 200-week moving average price?
American Electric Power Company Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $95.20 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when AEP drops below its 200-week moving average?
AEP has crossed below its 200-week moving average 31 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +2.0%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 24 weeks on average.
Is AEP a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about AEP as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 41. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 10.1%. Price-to-book is 2.0x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does AEP compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.8 years, $100 invested in AEP would have grown to $1720, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. That's 8.8% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. AEP has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does AEP pay a dividend?
Yes. American Electric Power Company Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 312.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18