AEIS
Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. Industrials - Electrical Equipment & Parts Investor Relations →
Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. (AEIS) closed at $262.20 as of 2026-09-18, trading 72.6% above its 200-week moving average of $151.91. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 90.2% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 34, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.3x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.71 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1561 weeks of data, AEIS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 39 times. On average, these episodes lasted 13 weeks. Historically, investors who bought AEIS at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +42.0%.
With a market cap of $10.5 billion, AEIS is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 0.3%. Return on equity stands at 16.3%, a solid level. The stock trades at 7.2x book value.
Over the past 30 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in AEIS would have grown to $6487, compared to $1797 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 14.9% vs 10.1% for the index — confirming AEIS as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 0.3% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: AEIS vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After AEIS Crosses Below the Line?
Across 39 historical episodes, buying AEIS when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +46.1% after 12 months (median +16.0%), compared to +10.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 74% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +65.4% vs +27.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment AEIS crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices AEIS would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where AEIS's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-11-03.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $213.49 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $281.09 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $411.32 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $766.45 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $5609.70 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | $2.21 | $2.74 | +23.8% |
| 2026-05-04 | $1.98 | $2.09 | +5.6% |
| 2026-02-10 | $1.78 | $1.94 | +8.8% |
| 2025-11-04 | $1.47 | $1.74 | +18.5% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from AEIS's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
AEIS has crossed below its 200-week MA 39 times with an average 1-year return of +42.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1996 | Jan 1997 | 14 | 46.2% | +502.3% | +6589.9% |
| Feb 1997 | Mar 1997 | 3 | 8.4% | +110.9% | +3792.3% |
| Jan 1998 | Jan 1998 | 1 | 4.2% | +140.7% | +2319.0% |
| Jun 1998 | Oct 1998 | 19 | 42.5% | +157.8% | +2278.6% |
| Oct 2000 | Jan 2001 | 13 | 39.2% | +18.0% | +1521.8% |
| Jan 2001 | Apr 2001 | 10 | 19.8% | -9.0% | +877.5% |
| Aug 2001 | Mar 2002 | 29 | 44.6% | -35.8% | +979.9% |
| Apr 2002 | Nov 2003 | 79 | 78.2% | -65.9% | +753.0% |
| Nov 2003 | Jan 2004 | 7 | 8.6% | -67.6% | +917.5% |
| Jan 2004 | Feb 2006 | 107 | 64.3% | -71.1% | +984.7% |
| Mar 2006 | Mar 2006 | 3 | 5.0% | +53.6% | +1830.7% |
| Jun 2006 | Aug 2006 | 10 | 15.4% | +76.1% | +1844.7% |
| Dec 2007 | Apr 2008 | 20 | 26.4% | -38.9% | +1812.8% |
| Jun 2008 | Aug 2008 | 7 | 8.1% | -34.3% | +1826.5% |
| Sep 2008 | Sep 2008 | 1 | 0.2% | -16.7% | +1775.2% |
| Sep 2008 | Dec 2009 | 64 | 60.6% | +6.0% | +2056.3% |
| Jan 2010 | Feb 2010 | 2 | 7.8% | +12.9% | +1939.6% |
| May 2010 | Jul 2010 | 11 | 15.9% | +22.7% | +2124.4% |
| Sep 2010 | Oct 2010 | 5 | 11.0% | -34.6% | +1792.5% |
| Nov 2010 | Dec 2010 | 6 | 16.6% | -29.0% | +1960.0% |
| Dec 2010 | Jan 2011 | 2 | 2.4% | -21.3% | +1861.9% |
| Jul 2011 | Mar 2012 | 35 | 32.9% | -7.3% | +2027.2% |
| Apr 2012 | Apr 2012 | 3 | 1.9% | +49.4% | +2104.3% |
| Jul 2012 | Jul 2012 | 3 | 5.7% | +89.3% | +2195.0% |
| Oct 2012 | Nov 2012 | 7 | 5.7% | +49.8% | +2115.2% |
| Oct 2018 | Jan 2019 | 16 | 20.2% | +15.4% | +451.1% |
| Feb 2019 | Feb 2019 | 1 | 2.6% | +43.2% | +439.7% |
| Feb 2019 | Apr 2019 | 5 | 9.1% | +16.3% | +423.2% |
| May 2019 | Jun 2019 | 6 | 5.2% | +23.5% | +425.3% |
| Jul 2019 | Jul 2019 | 1 | 0.5% | +29.1% | +400.3% |
| Aug 2019 | Sep 2019 | 4 | 12.3% | +62.2% | +451.9% |
| Oct 2019 | Oct 2019 | 2 | 4.3% | +30.8% | +397.1% |
| Mar 2020 | May 2020 | 10 | 39.3% | +130.2% | +478.7% |
| Sep 2020 | Oct 2020 | 4 | 5.1% | +48.4% | +354.8% |
| Jun 2022 | Jul 2022 | 3 | 4.6% | +53.9% | +278.7% |
| Oct 2022 | Oct 2022 | 2 | 6.3% | +35.2% | +275.4% |
| Apr 2024 | Apr 2024 | 1 | 2.1% | -2.9% | +194.2% |
| Sep 2024 | Sep 2024 | 1 | 1.4% | +64.5% | +180.9% |
| Mar 2025 | Apr 2025 | 4 | 17.8% | +228.6% | +177.4% |
| Average | 13 | — | +42.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AEIS below its 200-week moving average?
No. Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. (AEIS) is currently 72.6% above its 200-week moving average of $151.91. It would need to fall to $151.91 to cross below the line.
What is AEIS's 200-week moving average price?
Advanced Energy Industries, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $151.91 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when AEIS drops below its 200-week moving average?
AEIS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 39 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +42.0%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 13 weeks on average.
Is AEIS a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about AEIS as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 34. Free cash flow yield is 0.3%. Return on equity is 16.3%. Price-to-book is 7.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does AEIS compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 30 years, $100 invested in AEIS would have grown to $6487, compared to $1797 for the S&P 500. That's 14.9% annualized vs 10.1% for the index. AEIS has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does AEIS pay a dividend?
Yes. Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 16.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18