ADSK
Autodesk, Inc. Technology - Software - Application Investor Relations →
Autodesk, Inc. (ADSK) closed at $240.40 as of 2026-02-02, trading 1.0% below its 200-week moving average of $242.78. This places ADSK in the below line zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 4.2% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 23, ADSK is in oversold territory.
Over the past 2071 weeks of data, ADSK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 31 times. On average, these episodes lasted 16 weeks. Historically, investors who bought ADSK at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +31.5%.
With a market cap of $51.2 billion, ADSK is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 5.0%. Return on equity stands at 40.3%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 17.6x book value.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ADSK would have grown to $4419, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 12.1% vs 10.6% for the index — confirming ADSK as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 1 open-market purchase totaling $534,194. Notably, these purchases occurred while ADSK is trading below its 200-week moving average — insiders are buying when the market is most pessimistic.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 0.9% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Growth of $100: ADSK vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After ADSK Crosses Below the Line?
Across 30 historical episodes, buying ADSK when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +30.7% after 12 months (median +28.0%), compared to +8.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 79% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +71.1% vs +24.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ADSK crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
ADSK has crossed below its 200-week MA 31 times with an average 1-year return of +31.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1991 | Jul 1992 | 38 | 37.1% | +39.9% | +5402.7% |
| Mar 1993 | May 1993 | 7 | 5.5% | +40.0% | +4809.8% |
| Jul 1993 | Aug 1993 | 4 | 5.2% | +29.1% | +4963.0% |
| Oct 1993 | Dec 1993 | 7 | 10.3% | +61.3% | +4744.9% |
| Jun 1996 | Jan 1997 | 30 | 29.5% | +33.5% | +3322.9% |
| Feb 1997 | Feb 1997 | 1 | 1.4% | +42.5% | +3272.1% |
| Apr 1997 | Apr 1997 | 1 | 4.9% | +43.6% | +3343.5% |
| Dec 1997 | Dec 1997 | 2 | 2.6% | +26.0% | +2885.8% |
| Jun 1998 | Nov 1998 | 21 | 33.8% | -12.6% | +2833.9% |
| Apr 1999 | Feb 2000 | 44 | 46.0% | +61.8% | +3388.4% |
| Jun 2000 | Jan 2001 | 29 | 41.6% | +0.5% | +2810.1% |
| Mar 2001 | Apr 2001 | 5 | 12.4% | +34.0% | +2839.5% |
| May 2001 | Jun 2001 | 3 | 5.9% | -13.9% | +2829.2% |
| Sep 2001 | Oct 2001 | 2 | 3.6% | -19.9% | +2985.2% |
| May 2002 | Mar 2003 | 46 | 28.0% | +11.1% | +3183.9% |
| Apr 2003 | May 2003 | 2 | 0.9% | +127.9% | +3032.9% |
| May 2003 | Jun 2003 | 3 | 5.1% | +118.2% | +3163.7% |
| Jul 2003 | Aug 2003 | 5 | 6.9% | +150.1% | +3070.2% |
| Feb 2008 | Apr 2008 | 8 | 15.8% | -59.2% | +673.2% |
| Jun 2008 | Apr 2010 | 96 | 67.9% | -44.3% | +551.8% |
| May 2010 | Oct 2010 | 23 | 25.2% | +47.4% | +699.7% |
| Aug 2011 | Oct 2011 | 10 | 24.3% | +13.1% | +677.5% |
| Sep 2015 | Oct 2015 | 1 | 2.1% | +64.4% | +446.4% |
| Feb 2016 | Feb 2016 | 2 | 3.9% | +82.8% | +420.7% |
| Feb 2022 | Mar 2022 | 2 | 8.7% | -0.1% | +15.8% |
| Apr 2022 | Jul 2022 | 16 | 22.0% | -2.4% | +18.9% |
| Aug 2022 | Dec 2023 | 68 | 16.2% | +3.9% | +15.7% |
| Jan 2024 | Jan 2024 | 1 | 1.8% | +28.1% | +4.7% |
| Apr 2024 | Jun 2024 | 10 | 15.4% | +9.1% | +1.4% |
| Jul 2024 | Aug 2024 | 1 | 3.0% | +28.4% | +3.9% |
| Feb 2026 | Ongoing | 1+ | 1.0% | Ongoing | N/A |
| Average | 16 | — | +31.5% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02