ADPT

Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation Healthcare - Biotechnology Investor Relations →

NO
98.6% ABOVE
↓ Approaching Was 133.5% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $7.94
14-Week RSI 46

Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation (ADPT) closed at $15.77 as of 2026-02-02, trading 98.6% above its 200-week moving average of $7.94. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 133.5% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 46, indicating neutral momentum.

Over the past 297 weeks of data, ADPT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 2 times. On average, these episodes lasted 108 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -71.5%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.

With a market cap of $2.4 billion, ADPT is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 0.1%. Return on equity stands at -37.2%. The stock trades at 11.8x book value.

Share count has increased 4.5% over three years, indicating dilution.

Over the past 5.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ADPT would have grown to $33, compared to $243 for the S&P 500. ADPT has returned -17.4% annualized vs 16.7% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.

Growth of $100: ADPT vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After ADPT Crosses Below the Line?

Across 2 historical episodes, buying ADPT when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -72.5% after 12 months (median -64.0%), compared to +7.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. After 24 months, the average return was -78.5% vs +4.0% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ADPT crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

ADPT has crossed below its 200-week MA 2 times with an average 1-year return of +-71.5% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Mar 2021Apr 202135.6%-66.6%-58.7%
May 2021Jun 202521388.9%-76.5%-54.9%
Average108+-71.5%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02