ADEA

Adeia Inc. Technology - Software - Application Investor Relations →

NO
64.0% ABOVE
↓ Approaching Was 64.8% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $11.03
14-Week RSI 54

Adeia Inc. (ADEA) closed at $18.10 as of 2026-02-02, trading 64.0% above its 200-week moving average of $11.03. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 64.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 54, indicating neutral momentum.

Over the past 1112 weeks of data, ADEA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times. On average, these episodes lasted 38 weeks. Historically, investors who bought ADEA at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +11.2%.

With a market cap of $1982 million, ADEA is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 6.9%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 18.5%, a solid level. The stock trades at 4.8x book value.

Share count has increased 4.7% over three years, indicating dilution.

Over the past 21.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ADEA would have grown to $316, compared to $906 for the S&P 500. ADEA has returned 5.5% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been declining at a -4.8% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.

Growth of $100: ADEA vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After ADEA Crosses Below the Line?

Across 12 historical episodes, buying ADEA when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +10.8% after 12 months (median +16.0%), compared to +9.6% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 67% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +32.1% vs +27.2% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ADEA crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

ADEA has crossed below its 200-week MA 12 times with an average 1-year return of +11.2% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Oct 2005Oct 200511.2%+31.3%+231.1%
Nov 2005Jan 200654.5%+38.5%+226.3%
Jun 2006Jul 200656.6%+60.1%+228.3%
Feb 2008Oct 20098471.3%-54.2%+275.1%
Oct 2009Jan 201211742.2%-33.8%+206.6%
Feb 2012Jan 20134828.9%+13.3%+439.8%
Feb 2013Feb 201328.2%+28.4%+423.0%
Jul 2017Apr 20198752.4%-35.3%+128.1%
May 2019Nov 20207844.7%-29.9%+135.5%
Jan 2022Mar 202273.4%+56.4%+168.0%
Apr 2022Oct 20222616.9%+19.7%+181.7%
May 2023May 202314.9%+39.9%+162.1%
Average38+11.2%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02