ADC
Agree Realty Corporation Real Estate - REIT - Retail Investor Relations →
Agree Realty Corporation (ADC) closed at $74.74 as of 2026-02-02, trading 18.1% above its 200-week moving average of $63.28. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 13.9% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 60, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 1612 weeks of data, ADC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 15 times. On average, these episodes lasted 12 weeks. Historically, investors who bought ADC at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +16.1%.
With a market cap of $8.6 billion, ADC is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 5.0%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 3.5%. The stock trades at 1.5x book value.
Share count has increased 50.4% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 31 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ADC would have grown to $4071, compared to $2374 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 12.7% vs 10.8% for the index — confirming ADC as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 11 open-market purchases totaling $8,160,890. Multiple insiders purchased within a 30-day window — a cluster buy pattern that historically signals management confidence in the company's prospects.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 20.6% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Growth of $100: ADC vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After ADC Crosses Below the Line?
Across 15 historical episodes, buying ADC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +17.4% after 12 months (median +27.0%), compared to +6.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 73% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +38.4% vs +21.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ADC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
ADC has crossed below its 200-week MA 15 times with an average 1-year return of +16.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1995 | May 1995 | 10 | 4.8% | +24.2% | +3907.0% |
| Oct 1995 | Nov 1995 | 6 | 3.9% | +43.5% | +3868.2% |
| Dec 1995 | Jan 1996 | 1 | 1.0% | +57.9% | +3815.9% |
| Oct 1999 | May 2000 | 29 | 16.8% | +3.9% | +2481.3% |
| Aug 2000 | Sep 2000 | 3 | 1.9% | +53.2% | +2382.9% |
| Sep 2000 | Jan 2001 | 14 | 5.2% | +37.1% | +2351.8% |
| Mar 2008 | Mar 2008 | 1 | 0.3% | -57.7% | +644.9% |
| Apr 2008 | Jul 2008 | 15 | 21.4% | -31.7% | +652.0% |
| Aug 2008 | Sep 2009 | 55 | 58.0% | -13.4% | +622.9% |
| Sep 2009 | Oct 2009 | 3 | 8.7% | +28.3% | +729.3% |
| Jan 2010 | Mar 2010 | 5 | 11.5% | +30.1% | +752.7% |
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2020 | 1 | 0.1% | +32.2% | +82.8% |
| Oct 2022 | Oct 2022 | 1 | 0.2% | -9.7% | +36.5% |
| Aug 2023 | Dec 2023 | 19 | 13.5% | +19.1% | +31.5% |
| Jan 2024 | Jun 2024 | 20 | 9.4% | +24.2% | +34.1% |
| Average | 12 | — | +16.1% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02