ACMR

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NO
342.9% ABOVE
↑ Moving away Was 286.0% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $24.81
14-Week RSI 80
Rel. Volume (14w) This week's trading vs. the 14-week average 1.5x
Buyers vs. Sellers (14w) Are up-weeks or down-weeks getting more volume? 1.32

ACM Research, Inc. (ACMR) closed at $109.87 as of 2026-06-19, trading 342.9% above its 200-week moving average of $24.81. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 286.0% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 80, ACMR is in overbought territory.

Trading volume is running at 1.5x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.32 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.

Over the past 402 weeks of data, ACMR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 7 times. On average, these episodes lasted 19 weeks. Historically, investors who bought ACMR at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +78.7%.

With a market cap of $7.6 billion, ACMR is a mid-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 7.6%. The stock trades at 4.6x book value.

Share count has increased 9.9% over three years, indicating dilution.

Over the past 7.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ACMR would have grown to $3290, compared to $310 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 56.9% vs 15.7% for the index — confirming ACMR as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.

Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.

Business Health

Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.

Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)

Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy

Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)

ROIC Return on invested capital (%)

FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal

Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)

Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)

Growth of $100: ACMR vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After ACMR Crosses Below the Line?

Across 7 historical episodes, buying ACMR when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +93.3% after 12 months (median +88.0%), compared to +17.4% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 86% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +390.8% vs +35.0% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ACMR crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

Bean Score Experimental

The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. ACMR currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.

Current Bean Score +1.77σ
Current FCF Yield -2.21%
Baseline Yield -4.16%
Historical σ 0.69pp

Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end

Data depth: 2 quarterly baselines, 22 price observations — Limited history (4+ quarters preferred for reliability)

Signal Accuracy Collecting Data

The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"

11 / 13 weeks minimum

Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.

Dislocation Scores Experimental

Each score measures deviation from ACMR's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.

Yield Dislocation N/A Dividend yield vs own 10-yr norm
Drawdown Score -2.91σ Distance from line vs own history
Sector-Relative -0.85σ Vs sector median this week
Buyback Acceleration +1.0pp YoY share change vs own 3-yr pace (− = accelerating)
Insider Intensity N/A TTM buys / market cap, percentile of buyers
FCF Yield vs History +5.5pp Vs own recent annual mean
Earnings Quality Improving Accrual gap trend (-13.2pp of revenue)

Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.

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Historical Touches

ACMR has crossed below its 200-week MA 7 times with an average 1-year return of +78.7% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Oct 2018Nov 201826.0%+41.8%+3387.9%
Jan 2019Feb 201958.4%+269.4%+3273.7%
Apr 2022Aug 20221620.2%-36.6%+560.3%
Aug 2022Feb 20248065.8%-21.5%+563.1%
Jul 2024Sep 20241125.6%+49.6%+446.3%
Oct 2024Jan 20251526.3%+98.2%+471.9%
Apr 2025Apr 202521.2%+150.0%+471.3%
Average19+78.7%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is ACMR below its 200-week moving average?

No. ACM Research, Inc. (ACMR) is currently 342.9% above its 200-week moving average of $24.81. It would need to fall to $24.81 to cross below the line.

What is ACMR's 200-week moving average price?

ACM Research, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $24.81 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.

What happens when ACMR drops below its 200-week moving average?

ACMR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 7 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +78.7%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 19 weeks on average.

Is ACMR a good value right now?

Here's what our data says about ACMR as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 80 (overbought). Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 7.6%. Price-to-book is 4.6x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.

How does ACMR compare to the S&P 500?

Over the past 7.8 years, $100 invested in ACMR would have grown to $3290, compared to $310 for the S&P 500. That's 56.9% annualized vs 15.7% for the index. ACMR has outperformed the broader market over this period.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of week of 2026-06-19