ACM
AECOM Industrials - Engineering & Construction Investor Relations →
AECOM (ACM) closed at $68.81 as of 2026-06-19, trading 25.5% below its 200-week moving average of $92.34. This places ACM in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -24.1% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 23, ACM is in oversold territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.3x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.98 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 949 weeks of data, ACM has crossed below its 200-week moving average 27 times. On average, these episodes lasted 9 weeks. Historically, investors who bought ACM at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +9.8%.
With a market cap of $8.8 billion, ACM is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 5.0%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 28.6%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 3.9x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 5.1% over the past three years.
Over the past 18.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ACM would have grown to $249, compared to $754 for the S&P 500. ACM has returned 5.1% annualized vs 11.7% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 5.9% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: ACM vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After ACM Crosses Below the Line?
Across 27 historical episodes, buying ACM when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +13.1% after 12 months (median +8.0%), compared to +14.4% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 68% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +26.8% vs +31.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ACM crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices ACM would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where ACM's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-08-03.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $68.27 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $73.52 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $79.64 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $86.87 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $95.55 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from ACM's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
ACM has crossed below its 200-week MA 27 times with an average 1-year return of +9.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2008 | Apr 2008 | 1 | 0.4% | -6.0% | +165.0% |
| Sep 2008 | Dec 2008 | 13 | 44.0% | +0.7% | +156.2% |
| Jan 2009 | Mar 2009 | 11 | 21.6% | +8.6% | +170.0% |
| Apr 2009 | May 2009 | 2 | 6.5% | +20.6% | +181.8% |
| Sep 2009 | Dec 2009 | 13 | 10.1% | -6.4% | +174.1% |
| Jan 2010 | Feb 2010 | 2 | 7.0% | +6.8% | +166.3% |
| Feb 2010 | Mar 2010 | 1 | 0.9% | +5.0% | +165.0% |
| May 2010 | Nov 2010 | 26 | 19.1% | +5.3% | +172.0% |
| Nov 2010 | Nov 2010 | 2 | 3.2% | -22.2% | +167.6% |
| Jan 2011 | Jan 2011 | 1 | 1.1% | -20.8% | +168.3% |
| Mar 2011 | May 2011 | 7 | 4.1% | -13.8% | +167.4% |
| Jun 2011 | Jun 2011 | 3 | 3.4% | -40.6% | +163.4% |
| Jul 2011 | Jan 2013 | 78 | 39.9% | -36.2% | +173.0% |
| Jan 2015 | Feb 2015 | 3 | 5.1% | +1.3% | +178.3% |
| Aug 2015 | Oct 2015 | 7 | 6.1% | +19.3% | +163.5% |
| Jan 2016 | Feb 2016 | 8 | 14.7% | +32.8% | +158.2% |
| Sep 2016 | Nov 2016 | 9 | 12.6% | +14.6% | +148.8% |
| Jul 2017 | Aug 2017 | 5 | 3.4% | +3.0% | +127.4% |
| May 2018 | May 2018 | 1 | 0.3% | -2.8% | +121.2% |
| Sep 2018 | Sep 2018 | 1 | 0.1% | +16.5% | +121.4% |
| Oct 2018 | Nov 2018 | 5 | 7.3% | +13.9% | +121.2% |
| Nov 2018 | Apr 2019 | 21 | 22.3% | +34.5% | +126.5% |
| May 2019 | Jun 2019 | 2 | 2.8% | +13.5% | +127.5% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 7 | 26.5% | +87.7% | +115.0% |
| May 2020 | May 2020 | 1 | 7.9% | +108.8% | +124.3% |
| Feb 2026 | Feb 2026 | 1 | 3.3% | N/A | -21.8% |
| Mar 2026 | Ongoing | 15+ | 25.5% | Ongoing | -24.2% |
| Average | 9 | — | +9.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ACM below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-06-19, AECOM (ACM) is trading 25.5% below its 200-week moving average of $92.34. The current price is $68.81.
What is ACM's 200-week moving average price?
AECOM's 200-week moving average is $92.34 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when ACM drops below its 200-week moving average?
ACM has crossed below its 200-week moving average 27 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +9.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 9 weeks on average.
Is ACM a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about ACM as of 2026-06-19: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 23 (oversold). Free cash flow yield is 5.0%. Return on equity is 28.6%. Price-to-book is 3.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does ACM compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 18.2 years, $100 invested in ACM would have grown to $249, compared to $754 for the S&P 500. That's 5.1% annualized vs 11.7% for the index. ACM has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does ACM pay a dividend?
Yes. AECOM currently pays a dividend yield of 167.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19