ACCO
ACCO Brands Corporation Industrials - Business Equipment & Supplies Investor Relations →
ACCO Brands Corporation (ACCO) closed at $4.17 as of 2026-09-18, trading 2.1% above its 200-week moving average of $4.08. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 3.9% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 55, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.6x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.97 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1052 weeks of data, ACCO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times. On average, these episodes lasted 31 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -9.5%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $385 million, ACCO is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 10.7%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 8.9%. The stock trades at 0.6x book value.
Management has been repurchasing shares, with a 4.4% reduction over three years. This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.
Over the past 20.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ACCO would have grown to $33, compared to $862 for the S&P 500. ACCO has returned -5.3% annualized vs 11.2% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: ACCO vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After ACCO Crosses Below the Line?
Across 24 historical episodes, buying ACCO when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -8.3% after 12 months (median -11.0%), compared to +5.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 39% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -10.2% vs +13.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ACCO crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices ACCO would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where ACCO's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-10-29.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $2.41 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $2.82 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $3.39 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $4.26 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $5.72 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | $0.27 | $0.29 | +8.8% |
| 2026-04-30 | $-0.05 | $0.02 | +137.5% |
| 2026-03-09 | $0.38 | $0.38 | +0.9% |
| 2025-10-30 | $0.22 | $0.21 | -4.5% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from ACCO's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
ACCO has crossed below its 200-week MA 24 times with an average 1-year return of +-9.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2006 | Oct 2006 | 11 | 22.0% | +2.7% | -68.4% |
| Feb 2007 | Mar 2007 | 7 | 9.8% | -41.9% | -72.8% |
| Apr 2007 | May 2007 | 3 | 4.9% | -33.5% | -71.5% |
| Jun 2007 | Aug 2007 | 7 | 11.9% | -50.4% | -72.4% |
| Aug 2007 | Mar 2011 | 187 | 95.3% | -62.5% | -71.9% |
| May 2011 | Oct 2011 | 22 | 34.8% | +15.3% | -21.9% |
| Aug 2012 | Sep 2012 | 1 | 3.3% | N/A | -3.4% |
| Sep 2012 | Oct 2012 | 6 | 12.3% | +11.1% | +1.0% |
| Nov 2012 | Dec 2012 | 5 | 5.8% | -9.4% | -4.0% |
| Feb 2013 | Mar 2013 | 1 | 2.0% | -19.5% | -13.4% |
| Mar 2013 | Aug 2014 | 75 | 25.3% | -10.5% | -8.2% |
| Sep 2014 | Oct 2014 | 7 | 13.9% | -5.7% | -16.3% |
| Feb 2015 | Mar 2015 | 3 | 1.6% | -4.3% | -16.4% |
| May 2015 | Jun 2015 | 4 | 3.6% | +34.0% | -13.4% |
| Jul 2015 | Oct 2015 | 12 | 8.4% | +44.0% | -16.6% |
| Dec 2015 | Feb 2016 | 12 | 22.3% | +74.2% | -15.4% |
| Oct 2018 | May 2021 | 134 | 61.3% | -1.7% | -38.5% |
| Jun 2021 | Jul 2021 | 6 | 7.9% | -18.0% | -31.0% |
| Oct 2021 | Nov 2021 | 1 | 2.8% | -40.9% | -31.2% |
| Nov 2021 | Feb 2022 | 13 | 3.7% | -34.6% | -32.7% |
| Mar 2022 | Jan 2024 | 96 | 41.9% | -30.5% | -30.5% |
| Feb 2024 | Nov 2024 | 40 | 26.3% | -13.6% | -8.9% |
| Dec 2024 | Jun 2026 | 79 | 35.5% | -22.6% | -9.3% |
| Jul 2026 | Jul 2026 | 3 | 6.2% | N/A | +9.4% |
| Average | 31 | — | +-9.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ACCO below its 200-week moving average?
No. ACCO Brands Corporation (ACCO) is currently 2.1% above its 200-week moving average of $4.08. It would need to fall to $4.08 to cross below the line.
What is ACCO's 200-week moving average price?
ACCO Brands Corporation's 200-week moving average is $4.08 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when ACCO drops below its 200-week moving average?
ACCO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -9.5%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 31 weeks on average.
Is ACCO a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about ACCO as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 55. Free cash flow yield is 10.7%. Return on equity is 8.9%. Price-to-book is 0.6x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does ACCO compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 20.2 years, $100 invested in ACCO would have grown to $33, compared to $862 for the S&P 500. That's -5.3% annualized vs 11.2% for the index. ACCO has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does ACCO pay a dividend?
Yes. ACCO Brands Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 690.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18