ABNB
Airbnb Inc. Consumer Discretionary - Travel Services Investor Relations →
Airbnb Inc. (ABNB) closed at $122.18 as of 2026-02-02, trading 4.5% below its 200-week moving average of $127.87. This places ABNB in the below line zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 1.0% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 47, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 221 weeks of data, ABNB has crossed below its 200-week moving average 11 times. On average, these episodes lasted 15 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -14.7%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $74.8 billion, ABNB is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.3%. Return on equity stands at 30.8%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 8.6x book value.
ABNB passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 4.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ABNB would have grown to $73, compared to $161 for the S&P 500. ABNB has returned -6.9% annualized vs 11.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 25% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Growth of $100: ABNB vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After ABNB Crosses Below the Line?
Across 10 historical episodes, buying ABNB when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -12.4% after 12 months (median -9.0%), compared to +12.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. After 24 months, the average return was -4.3% vs +33.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ABNB crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
ABNB has crossed below its 200-week MA 11 times with an average 1-year return of +-14.7% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2021 | Feb 2022 | 10 | 14.3% | -39.4% | -26.7% |
| Feb 2022 | Mar 2022 | 3 | 14.1% | -20.8% | -21.2% |
| Apr 2022 | Jul 2023 | 66 | 42.8% | -32.5% | -24.8% |
| Jul 2023 | Sep 2023 | 5 | 11.1% | -8.5% | -12.8% |
| Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | 11 | 18.5% | -0.8% | -7.6% |
| Dec 2023 | Jan 2024 | 3 | 2.5% | -2.0% | -10.3% |
| Jul 2024 | Feb 2025 | 29 | 18.8% | +0.9% | -12.8% |
| Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | 13 | 21.3% | N/A | -9.1% |
| Jun 2025 | Jun 2025 | 1 | 2.0% | N/A | -7.2% |
| Jul 2025 | Dec 2025 | 20 | 11.8% | N/A | -4.6% |
| Feb 2026 | Ongoing | 1+ | 4.4% | Ongoing | N/A |
| Average | 15 | — | +-14.7% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02