ABM
ABM Industries Incorporated Industrials - Specialty Business Services Investor Relations →
ABM Industries Incorporated (ABM) closed at $47.91 as of 2026-07-31, trading 8.7% above its 200-week moving average of $44.06. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 8.5% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 71, ABM is in overbought territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.1x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.34 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2371 weeks of data, ABM has crossed below its 200-week moving average 47 times. On average, these episodes lasted 7 weeks. Historically, investors who bought ABM at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +25.9%.
With a market cap of $2.8 billion, ABM is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 10.1%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 8.9%. The stock trades at 1.6x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 8.3% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ABM would have grown to $2303, compared to $3098 for the S&P 500. ABM has returned 9.8% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: ABM vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After ABM Crosses Below the Line?
Across 39 historical episodes, buying ABM when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +22.7% after 12 months (median +29.0%), compared to +13.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 86% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +34.4% vs +25.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ABM crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices ABM would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where ABM's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-09-03.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $33.06 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $35.74 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $38.90 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $42.67 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $47.25 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from ABM's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
ABM has crossed below its 200-week MA 47 times with an average 1-year return of +25.9% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1981 | Sep 1981 | 2 | 4.4% | +58.8% | +11748.9% |
| Jan 1986 | Feb 1986 | 3 | 4.5% | +12.9% | +5888.7% |
| Feb 1986 | Mar 1986 | 2 | 2.8% | +15.6% | +5717.6% |
| Oct 1986 | Oct 1986 | 1 | 2.3% | +7.1% | +5347.0% |
| Nov 1986 | Jan 1987 | 10 | 8.0% | -23.8% | +5258.7% |
| Jul 1987 | Jul 1987 | 1 | 0.1% | +14.5% | +5199.5% |
| Oct 1987 | Apr 1988 | 24 | 32.6% | +50.0% | +6106.7% |
| Jan 1991 | Jan 1991 | 1 | 0.4% | +56.1% | +3349.6% |
| Aug 1993 | Oct 1993 | 9 | 9.9% | +46.0% | +2483.6% |
| Oct 1993 | Nov 1993 | 1 | 0.4% | +30.2% | +2327.6% |
| Sep 1999 | Sep 1999 | 1 | 5.5% | +25.5% | +698.4% |
| Oct 1999 | Oct 1999 | 1 | 1.9% | +16.1% | +659.5% |
| Nov 1999 | Feb 2000 | 14 | 15.3% | +27.4% | +661.6% |
| Mar 2000 | Apr 2000 | 3 | 3.4% | +36.3% | +637.6% |
| May 2000 | Jul 2000 | 9 | 6.0% | +36.3% | +621.2% |
| Jul 2000 | Aug 2000 | 1 | 1.6% | +55.2% | +609.0% |
| Sep 2001 | Nov 2001 | 7 | 7.0% | +9.5% | +554.4% |
| Sep 2002 | Oct 2002 | 4 | 3.2% | +11.0% | +497.6% |
| Mar 2003 | Apr 2003 | 8 | 6.1% | +42.7% | +515.5% |
| May 2003 | May 2003 | 2 | 2.9% | +35.8% | +487.5% |
| Sep 2003 | Sep 2003 | 1 | 0.7% | +47.7% | +465.8% |
| Jul 2006 | Aug 2006 | 6 | 3.6% | +60.3% | +350.4% |
| Dec 2007 | Jan 2008 | 3 | 4.0% | +0.2% | +276.8% |
| Oct 2008 | Jul 2009 | 41 | 38.1% | +47.7% | +394.7% |
| Oct 2009 | Nov 2009 | 5 | 4.9% | +23.1% | +267.4% |
| Jan 2010 | Feb 2010 | 1 | 0.4% | +33.9% | +253.1% |
| Aug 2010 | Aug 2010 | 1 | 2.7% | -2.2% | +248.8% |
| Aug 2011 | Oct 2011 | 9 | 6.6% | +1.8% | +244.5% |
| Nov 2011 | Nov 2011 | 1 | 0.8% | -0.6% | +234.5% |
| Jun 2012 | Aug 2012 | 7 | 7.7% | +29.0% | +231.3% |
| Sep 2012 | Dec 2012 | 14 | 8.5% | +35.4% | +234.8% |
| Dec 2012 | Dec 2012 | 1 | 1.7% | +49.1% | +223.6% |
| Mar 2018 | Jan 2019 | 42 | 24.2% | +6.7% | +76.1% |
| Jan 2019 | Feb 2019 | 2 | 0.3% | +17.0% | +64.4% |
| Mar 2019 | Mar 2019 | 3 | 4.6% | +5.7% | +71.0% |
| Sep 2019 | Oct 2019 | 1 | 1.1% | +7.9% | +58.4% |
| Feb 2020 | Jul 2020 | 22 | 41.5% | +34.2% | +66.6% |
| Oct 2020 | Nov 2020 | 3 | 1.0% | +32.2% | +55.1% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 2 | 2.4% | +5.1% | +36.6% |
| Jun 2023 | Jun 2023 | 1 | 0.2% | +32.6% | +27.1% |
| Sep 2023 | Oct 2023 | 4 | 4.1% | +33.2% | +30.4% |
| Oct 2023 | Nov 2023 | 4 | 4.1% | +39.1% | +26.4% |
| Jan 2024 | Mar 2024 | 5 | 3.3% | +31.7% | +22.7% |
| Jun 2025 | Jun 2025 | 1 | 2.7% | +4.2% | +13.8% |
| Oct 2025 | Oct 2025 | 1 | 0.1% | N/A | +10.0% |
| Oct 2025 | Jan 2026 | 11 | 6.0% | N/A | +13.7% |
| Feb 2026 | Jun 2026 | 17 | 16.0% | N/A | +9.2% |
| Average | 7 | — | +25.9% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ABM below its 200-week moving average?
No. ABM Industries Incorporated (ABM) is currently 8.7% above its 200-week moving average of $44.06. It would need to fall to $44.06 to cross below the line.
What is ABM's 200-week moving average price?
ABM Industries Incorporated's 200-week moving average is $44.06 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when ABM drops below its 200-week moving average?
ABM has crossed below its 200-week moving average 47 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +25.9%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 7 weeks on average.
Is ABM a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about ABM as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 71 (overbought). Free cash flow yield is 10.1%. Return on equity is 8.9%. Price-to-book is 1.6x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does ABM compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.6 years, $100 invested in ABM would have grown to $2303, compared to $3098 for the S&P 500. That's 9.8% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. ABM has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does ABM pay a dividend?
Yes. ABM Industries Incorporated currently pays a dividend yield of 244.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31