ABG

Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. Consumer Cyclical - Auto & Truck Dealerships Investor Relations →

NO
3.0% ABOVE
↓ Approaching Was 7.4% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $218.63
14-Week RSI 46

Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. (ABG) closed at $225.21 as of 2026-02-02, trading 3.0% above its 200-week moving average of $218.63. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 7.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 46, indicating neutral momentum.

Over the past 1198 weeks of data, ABG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 21 times. On average, these episodes lasted 13 weeks. Historically, investors who bought ABG at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +31.8%.

With a market cap of $4.4 billion, ABG is a mid-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 13.3%. The stock trades at 1.1x book value.

The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 15.4% over the past three years.

Over the past 23.1 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ABG would have grown to $3395, compared to $1242 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 16.5% vs 11.5% for the index — confirming ABG as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.

In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 1 open-market purchase totaling $10,571,698.

Free cash flow has been declining at a -30.5% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.

Growth of $100: ABG vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After ABG Crosses Below the Line?

Across 21 historical episodes, buying ABG when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +38.0% after 12 months (median +21.0%), compared to +15.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 90% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +56.1% vs +27.8% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ABG crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Insider Buying Activity

1 conviction buy in the past 12 months (purchases over $500K with meaningful position increases).

DateInsiderTitleValueSharesPosition +%
2025-07-30ABRAMS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLCBeneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security$10,571,69846,952+2.2%

Historical Touches

ABG has crossed below its 200-week MA 21 times with an average 1-year return of +31.8% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Feb 2003May 20031248.8%+142.9%+3295.0%
Jul 2004Aug 200476.7%+20.1%+1762.2%
Sep 2004Sep 200412.6%+28.2%+1791.8%
Oct 2004Nov 200434.5%+30.7%+1829.9%
Nov 2004Nov 200410.3%+22.1%+1747.0%
Apr 2005May 200530.0%+40.2%+1716.1%
Oct 2007Apr 201012987.7%-80.8%+1231.3%
May 2010Sep 20102128.4%+24.6%+1592.0%
Jan 2016Feb 2016716.4%+15.8%+322.2%
Mar 2016Apr 201625.8%+5.8%+296.6%
May 2016Jul 2016119.5%+6.0%+300.9%
Aug 2016Dec 20161819.6%-5.7%+291.5%
Dec 2016Jan 201721.1%+3.7%+265.0%
Mar 2017Nov 20173821.8%+13.2%+265.9%
Dec 2017Jan 201832.6%+1.9%+246.2%
Feb 2018Mar 201810.4%+7.6%+240.5%
Mar 2018Mar 201813.8%+4.7%+252.4%
Apr 2018Apr 201810.4%+14.3%+240.2%
Oct 2018Oct 2018310.1%+53.7%+256.5%
Dec 2018Dec 201845.4%+72.4%+250.0%
Mar 2020May 20201040.3%+246.7%+308.7%
Average13+31.8%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02