AAL
American Airlines Group Inc. Industrials - Airlines Investor Relations →
American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) closed at $15.24 as of 2026-02-02, trading 10.5% above its 200-week moving average of $13.79. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -3.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 61, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 1014 weeks of data, AAL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 9 times. On average, these episodes lasted 70 weeks. Historically, investors who bought AAL at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +0.2%.
With a market cap of $10.1 billion, AAL is a large-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. The stock trades at -2.7x book value.
Over the past 19.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in AAL would have grown to $36, compared to $743 for the S&P 500. AAL has returned -5.0% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 37.9% compound annual rate, with 2 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Growth of $100: AAL vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After AAL Crosses Below the Line?
Across 8 historical episodes, buying AAL when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +4.9% after 12 months (median +6.0%), compared to +10.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 50% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +12.3% vs +18.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment AAL crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
AAL has crossed below its 200-week MA 9 times with an average 1-year return of +0.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2007 | May 2011 | 210 | 93.4% | -80.7% | -56.5% |
| May 2011 | Jun 2011 | 3 | 8.3% | +42.2% | +81.8% |
| Jul 2011 | Jan 2012 | 29 | 41.4% | +68.9% | +96.9% |
| May 2016 | Jul 2016 | 7 | 15.7% | +55.5% | -49.9% |
| Apr 2018 | May 2018 | 2 | 1.7% | -18.0% | -63.6% |
| Jun 2018 | Jun 2023 | 264 | 75.8% | -27.5% | -63.9% |
| Jul 2023 | Dec 2024 | 72 | 39.7% | -39.3% | -12.5% |
| Feb 2025 | Nov 2025 | 40 | 37.7% | N/A | +0.1% |
| Jan 2026 | Ongoing | 2+ | 3.6% | Ongoing | +14.6% |
| Average | 70 | — | +0.2% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02